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Money Ball 7-10-2015

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Posted: #51
another lead off single lol...
 
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Posted: #52
well this bet is dead, forgot santana gives up the long ball all the time...i remember him burning me when he pitched for the cws
 
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Posted: #53
This bet was over before it started

#Ervinneedspeds


 
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Posted: #54
God damn! 3 run homer by Cespedes! 1 run HR by Martinez! 6-0 Detriot. The way Verlander is pitching, this play has $HIT the bed is a FUÇKING LOSS! 

Barring a miracle, this will mean Key has gone 4-10 the last 14. Jesus H. Christ!  


 
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Posted: #55
Geeeez this is a awesome fade from what I've seen the last couple of weeks 
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:

God damn! 3 run homer by Cespedes! 1 run HR by Martinez! 6-0 Detriot. The way Verlander is pitching, this play has $HIT the bed is a FUÇKING LOSS! Barring a miracle, this will mean Key has gone 4-10 the last 14. Jesus H. Christ!

What goes up must come down
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by D300Rage:

This bet was over before it started

#Ervinneedspeds




I see your point. The line movement was the true indicator. The squares and Joe Public (including me) bet the Twins when the line opened, while the SHARP money from the pro gamblers was flowing on Detroit.

The pros will make money on this game! This scenario was exactly the same as yesterday's Atlanta - Colorado game, where the public sheep (including me) bet on Atlanta, and then all the sharp money was coming in on Colorado as the game approached start time. Colorado won easily, as Detroit is now.
 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by nyjrkm06:


What goes up must come down


Agreed. Tailing or fading a handicapper is like dealing with stocks. One needs to know when to buy (tail) or short sell (fade). That's not easy to do, but money can be made if timed correctly.
 
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Posted: #59
not bashing anyone here, but Keys always sticks to his belief NO MATTER the live moves or not, this game is a Tigers in the bank game after that huge chunk of money moved on their side and you guys still bet the Twins? , i am not saying Tigers would win this game 100%, but most of the time line moved like that means the other team would win, check back last 2 weeks and see if i am wrong, i was about to get Twins too but after that line moved, i got Tigers, will show ticket after the game, remember this next time, just cancel it or bet the opposite team, GL the rest tonight, stay thirsty my friends 
 
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Posted: #60
If you guys would need to compensate this Loss, jump on ANGELS now before it's too late, this is my gift for tonight with this Twinkie sucker bet, this week Vegas set up too much since it's closer to ALL STAR break, every year has the same tendency --> very unpredictable results when it gets closer to All Stars break, GL and stay thirsty my friends 
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by PhoTauBay:

If you guys would need to compensate this Loss, jump on ANGELS now before it's too late, this is my gift for tonight with this Twinkie sucker bet, this week Vegas set up too much since it's closer to ALL STAR break, every year has the same tendency --> very unpredictable results when it gets closer to All Stars break, GL and stay thirsty my friends 

 Seattle ML to the bank
 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by PhoTauBay:

not bashing anyone here, but Keys always sticks to his belief NO MATTER the live moves or not, this game is a Tigers in the bank game after that huge chunk of money moved on their side and you guys still bet the Twins? , i am not saying Tigers would win this game 100%, but most of the time line moved like that means the other team would win, check back last 2 weeks and see if i am wrong, i was about to get Twins too but after that line moved, i got Tigers, will show ticket after the game, remember this next time, just cancel it or bet the opposite team, GL the rest tonight, stay thirsty my friends 


Great post! 

I bet the Twins when Key posted at -135. Right before the game started, my book had them at -120. The SHARP money was flowing in hard on Detroit.

At that point, I should've bought out my Twins bet by betting Detroit. I would've eaten the juice gladly instead of what I lost now.

My stubbornness (and loyalty) in following Key blindly cost me here. 

I'll jump on the Angels play of your's to try to recoup this debacle. Thanks! 
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:



Great post! 

I bet the Twins when Key posted at -135. Right before the game started, my book had them at -120. The SHARP money was flowing in hard on Detroit.

At that point, I should've bought out my Twins bet by betting Detroit. I would've eaten the juice gladly instead of what I lost now.

My stubbornness (and loyalty) in following Key blindly cost me here. 

I'll jump on the Angels play of your's to try to recoup this debacle. Thanks! 

 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Britman1:

CHARLIEX stop your wining u bash me for telling u KEY was on a slump and how u will follow him to the bitter end and NOW you are BITTER complaining little wimp. Maybe u should have listened to me instead of bashing me. Isn't this funny 2 days in a row KEYS picks have had big line movements and the win has gone the other way. This was obvious I put my money on the Tigers. Don't go blind on everything KEY does otherwise u will lose!!!


I'm upset that's all. I'm actually more upset at myself than at Key. I saw the line movement and the Twins price shrink as money was flowing hard on Detroit. Just like last night with the Atlanta - Colorado game. And just like last night, I did nothing. I watched helplessly as my bet went up in flames. 

I blame the man in the mirror, ME, for being so stubborn and loyal to Key which resulted in me not buying out of the bet. 

I will continue following Key to the bitter end, but if I see drastic line movement like the past two plays, I'll seriously consider buying out of the plays. That's how I'll modify my tailing strategy from now on.


 
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Posted: #65
please modify your posting strategy from now on
 
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Posted: #66
Bunch of pathetic ingrates in here.

The moment a guy goes on a slump, you all start whining and moaning.

If any of you can bet an entire season without having a similar 4-10 lull then I'd LOVE to see it.

Key...keep doing what you're doing.
 
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Posted: #67

Quote Originally Posted by trinhstl:


0-2 in 4 starts and an era of 6.75 and climbing vs a proven vet who looked pretty fukin good his first start and...this post goes totally against post #4 in your thread
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102138835
well... we know they didn't break your hands when the book came calling, or are you using your nose ?
Can't break your hands cuz you need those to work. lol
Bookies love you don't they?
And you're a veteran poster and your from Missouri?!
Seriously, you can not make this crap up!
,
They actually do love me. And why are You only have one link of my post though? Why didn't you post my other four plays I posted this month too? Troll much my friend.

Bud, you came into another mans thread talkin out your behind. 2 days a go you posted you live in the present and now you are talkin about verlander 2 yrs ago. I didn't mention a record or a posted play cuz I don't give a fuk and I don't hate on someone who would take the time to post and share, otherwise known as a troll, win or lose. Its my choice to follow.

And as for Key's "losing streak" lol, its a bump in the road and also

may get rid of some of these whinny kids who have no clue.

 

 

 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by Mailmaaan:

please modify your posting strategy from now on


No, you read it wrong. I'll be modifying my tailing strategy now on. That's a wise move IMO with these profound line movements.  
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by CP74:

And as for Key's "losing streak" lol, its a bump in the road and also

may get rid of some of these whinny kids who have no clue.

 



This is why I keep on tailing Key day in and day out.  I also see it as a "bump in the road." Eventually, Key will go on a tear again. Patience is a virtue. I want to be on the "Money Train" when it happens, which I know it will. I just need to be more mindful of the drastic line movements. That's all. 
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Bunch of pathetic ingrates in here.

The moment a guy goes on a slump, you all start whining and moaning.

If any of you can bet an entire season without having a similar 4-10 lull then I'd LOVE to see it.

Key...keep doing what you're doing.


LOL!  Tell us how you really feel.

I'm still going to tail Key no matter what. That 4-10 can easily turn into 10-4 for the next 14 plays. That's what I'm banking on! 

I've just been blowing off steam because I ignored the drastic line movement, that's all. I don't blame Key. After, all, I'm the one who clicked the submit button at my online book to make it my bet! It's on me! 
 
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Posted: #71
So where is your statistical evidence that line moves are an accurate guide?

More holy grail garbage....
 
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Posted: #72

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Bunch of pathetic ingrates in here.

The moment a guy goes on a slump, you all start whining and moaning.

If any of you can bet an entire season without having a similar 4-10 lull then I'd LOVE to see it.

Key...keep doing what you're doing.

If 4-10 playing mostly dogs is a losing streak , I'll take it!

If anyone could predict verlanders performance tonight after seeing his first 4, you're full of sh it!

 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by CP74:

Quote Originally Posted by trinhstl:

0-2 in 4 starts and an era of 6.75 and climbing vs a proven vet who looked pretty fukin good his first start and...this post goes totally against post #4 in your thread https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102138835well... we know they didn't break your hands when the book came calling, or are you using your nose ?Can't break your hands cuz you need those to work. lol Bookies love you don't they?And you're a veteran poster and your from Missouri?!Seriously, you can not make this crap up!,They actually do love me. And why are You only have one link of my post though? Why didn't you post my other four plays I posted this month too? Troll much my friend.

Bud, you came into another mans thread talkin out your behind. 2 days a go you posted you live in the present and now you are talkin about verlander 2 yrs ago. I didn't mention a record or a posted play cuz I don't give a fuk and I don't hate on someone who would take the time to post and share, otherwise known as a troll, win or lose. Its my choice to follow.
And as for Key's "losing streak" lol, its a bump in the road and also
may get rid of some of these whinny kids who have no clue.
dude I'm done talking. It was a mistake to come here and expressed my opinion. Gl with the rest of the season.
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:

So where is your statistical evidence that line moves are an accurate guide?

More holy grail garbage....


I'm only going on the last 2 plays I tailed. I don't have the "statistical evidence" you've requested, although "Pho TaoBay" stated he'd seen this trend the last couple of weeks. I'll take his word.

I did have my intuition rear up on this. Fact. This was my earlier post from before just before the game started.

Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:

 

I bet this game at Minnesota -135 when Key posted it, and now I see it's at -120 at my book. Damn! 

This is reminiscent of what happened yesterday with the Atlanta ML play. Sharp money rolling in on Detroit?  Of course, this is not a good sign IMO.  

However, I, like the others, feel Key is on the right side and a winning streak starts TONIGHT! 
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:



This is why I keep on tailing Key day in and day out.  I also see it as a "bump in the road." Eventually, Key will go on a tear again. Patience is a virtue. I want to be on the "Money Train" when it happens, which I know it will. I just need to be more mindful of the drastic line movements. That's all. 
you my friend can never make money in this shitt.Do u see Keys record and ROR? You think you can figure out when to tail or fade Key? Either you tail him ALL season and EVERY fuccing play exactly like he posts or you don't.If you think you can play the tail and fade game with his plays you will be broke guaranteed.Stop your damn whining.He wasn't gonna be 12-3 every week.If your bankroll can't handle this little lull then this is not for you.Good luck to you.
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