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Money Ball 7-24-2015

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by erdoc:

I would not get too focused on Atlanta's terrible bullpen as the majority of those guys aren't currently with the team. Since adding Frasor and Detwiller the BP has looked better. Don't focus on season stats with BP. It's misleading on what the current state is with the Pen.


Good shitt bud. Thx for responding..


 
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Posted: #27


Stack bills buddy


BOL Pal


 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

My friend, since leaving the armpit on the Erie Kazmir has been what he was meant to be. Do you still hold the same opinion of Max Scherzer you held when he was in Arizona?


Key I am puzzled by the Sherzer reference. He went from Zona to the other armpit on the Erie, Detroit.
 
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Posted: #29
i am with you mr. key lots of luck to us again. thank you and thank you for last night too sir.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by BarneysDad:

I think there is more value in Braves RL at -130  considering Cards have had 36 1 run games and Bravo's 32 1 run games this year, agree though Clooney doesn't warrant this price, probably books fishing for Square play with St Louis. GL on your play. 
So, the Braves have played 33.7% of their games within 1 run. Deduct 18 outright wins and +1.5 would have saved them in only 14 of their overall 95 games. Any result other than a 1 run win by the Cardinals costs you either either return on risk or the total wagered amount, regardless of what it is. -130 pays 77 cents on the dollar, but if you feel the +1.5 is worth over 50% of the potential profit, well, it's always your money, your choice. Personally, just speaking for myself, I hate the +1.5 run line. It seems to be extremely expensive insurance that only pays off under 1 specific condition, the favorite winning by exactly 1 run. BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

My friend, since leaving the armpit on the Erie Kazmir has been what he was meant to be. Do you still hold the same opinion of Max Scherzer you held when he was in Arizona?





Feel the burn.    
 
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Posted: #32
Just a little bit to think about on the Astros game....Astros swept the Royals a couple of weeks ago....won't be easy now that they are  on road...Yes...they are a very good road team, just something to think about....that's all.
 
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Posted: #33
Let's see how we do

$100.39 2 team parlay
957 Braves ML +175
(M Banuelos vs Cardinals)
973 Astros ML -115
(S Kazmir vs Royals)
$100.39 to win $415.70
 
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Posted: #34

Originally Posted by KeyElement So, the Braves have played 33.7% of their games within 1 run. Deduct 18 outright wins and +1.5 would have saved them in only 14 of their overall 95 games. Any result other than a 1 run win by the Cardinals costs you either either return on risk or the total wagered amount, regardless of what it is. -130 pays 77 cents on the dollar, but if you feel the +1.5 is worth over 50% of the potential profit, well, it's always your money, your choice. Personally, just speaking for myself, I hate the +1.5 run line. It seems to be extremely expensive insurance that only pays off under 1 specific condition, the favorite winning by exactly 1 run. BOL

IMHO, the RL is a good play only if you have large parlay with one team remaining and go opposite for the hedge.

 

 

 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Astros93:

Just a little bit to think about on the Astros game....Astros swept the Royals a couple of weeks ago....won't be easy now that they are  on road...Yes...they are a very good road team, just something to think about....that's all.
I understand that, but I am not playing the series, just one specific game in one specific situation. The rest will take care of itself.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #36
Key any thoughts on the battle of the bay oak and sf?
 
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Posted: #37
key what I like about you is you stick with your guns. Not many people have guts to post a 2 to 1 dog like Atlanta
 
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Posted: #38
you mean the frasor and detwiler that have pitched a total of 4 innings for the braves???? to say the braves bullpen is improved and then cite those two pitchers is absurd. Detwiler was one of the WORST starters in the league before the braves got ahold of him. frasor had almost as many walks as strikeouts with the royals. when one of the best teams in baseball gives up on a reliever with a 1.54 era, that doesn't raise a red flag for you? 
 
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Posted: #39
frasor was sharp tonight. .1 innings 2 walks and a hit
 
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Posted: #40
Loved the Houston play !
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by mabber:

you mean the frasor and detwiler that have pitched a total of 4 innings for the braves???? to say the braves bullpen is improved and then cite those two pitchers is absurd. Detwiler was one of the WORST starters in the league before the braves got ahold of him. frasor had almost as many walks as strikeouts with the royals. when one of the best teams in baseball gives up on a reliever with a 1.54 era, that doesn't raise a red flag for you? 
Last years stats with a different team and pitching in a different position don't mean a damn thing
 
 
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Posted: #42
frasor pitched for the royals this year fella. they DFA'd him and then outright released him. as a veteran, you should know that. 
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