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Money Ball 7-25-2014

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Posted: #1

3-30 Opening Bankroll $10,000.00 All wagers are FLAT, do not add the juice

7-24, 1-1, -22.57

7-25  Bankroll $8,649.03 (RoR -2.4%) YTD 114-119-30 (48.9%)

All plays today are $173.00

White Sox, FG, +114 (Danks / Correia)

BOL

White Sox: Did Correia’s official record of 5-12 bother anyone? That may be the good news. In both head to head and quality start ratings he is 5-15. How do bettors back a guy like that at a negative return on risk? At -124 he needs a 55.4% probability of a win to return 81 cents on the dollar of risk. Danks is not my favorite starter either but he is better than Correia and has the better current offense behind him.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #2
Hang in there Buddy!!!!
 
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Posted: #3
Correia's trade bait, and the bats will support tonight.  Its an unwritten rule, so we are not going to the playoffs, at least let a good guy get there, and a win tonight supports that effort, last time out did not.  Trade deadline looming large. 
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by yesterday:

Correia's trade bait, and the bats will support tonight.  Its an unwritten rule, so we are not going to the playoffs, at least let a good guy get there, and a win tonight supports that effort, last time out did not.  Trade deadline looming large. 
What contender is interested in Correia? That is ridiculous, the man has no skills left. You couldn't get a guy that has been stuck in AAA for 5 years for Correia.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #5


~~~~~ZOSO~~~~~
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

3-30 Opening Bankroll $10,000.00 All wagers are FLAT, do not add the juice

7-24, 1-1, -22.57

7-25  Bankroll $8,649.03 (RoR -2.4%) YTD 114-119-30 (48.9%)

All plays today are $173.00

White Sox, FG, +114 (Danks / Correia)

BOL

White Sox: Did Correia’s official record of 5-12 bother anyone? That may be the good news. In both head to head and quality start ratings he is 5-15. How do bettors back a guy like that at a negative return on risk? At -124 he needs a 55.4% probability of a win to return 81 cents on the dollar of risk. Danks is not my favorite starter either but he is better than Correia and has the better current offense behind him.

they win back to back on enemy territory???....I'll lean this way also......
 
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Posted: #7
GL tonight KeyElement. 
 
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Posted: #8
Key Element reminds me of when the Detroit Lions went on that very long losing streak. Then when they finally won a single game, everyone went crazy like they just won the Super Bowl. Does anyone remember that?

Key Element, everyone is watching you, just as they did with the Detroit Lions. Once you show a profit for the day (a real won, without turning a push into a win), everyone in this forum will go crazy and congratulate you as if you are the best baseball handicapper in the world!

Will today be the day you finally show a profit?

Go get em Mr. Key Element!!!  
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

What contender is interested in Correia? That is ridiculous, the man has no skills left. You couldn't get a guy that has been stuck in AAA for 5 years for Correia.


Correia will be in the Northern League before he is in the rotation of a contender. He is perfect for Minnesota to keep if they are going to trade off any other pieces they have of value. Every time he comes up to the mound they would have a good chance of losing a game and moving up in the draft. Not playing this game but I will be rooting for you as always.
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by BJTime:

Key Element reminds me of when the Detroit Lions went on that very long losing streak. Then when they finally won a single game, everyone went crazy like they just won the Super Bowl. Blah, blah blah..........
What was your former username?

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by BJTime:

Key Element reminds me of when the Detroit Lions went on that very long losing streak. Then when they finally won a single game, everyone went crazy like they just won the Super Bowl. Does anyone remember that?

Key Element, everyone is watching you, just as they did with the Detroit Lions. Once you show a profit for the day (a real won, without turning a push into a win), everyone in this forum will go crazy and congratulate you as if you are the best baseball handicapper in the world!

Will today be the day you finally show a profit?

Go get em Mr. Key Element!!!  


How come u  couldn't have posted this from your regular screen name? 
 
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Posted: #12
Nice pick
 
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Posted: #13

The WHIP numbers on both pitchers season and recent show equally worthless pitchers with no edge except their win-loss record.Which we know means little.GL

 

 

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

What was your former username?


What was your losing record in basketball this season? 

 
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Posted: #15
BOL key! Thanks again.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Carpinteria:



How come u  couldn't have posted this from your regular screen name? 

His name is BJ Time. He probably had something swinging in the way of his eyes and just couldn't see that he was still using his alias. I am sure he is really a fearless guy who takes responsibility for his actions without hiding....
 
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Posted: #17
 
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Posted: #18
Key if you have a minute your thoughts on the stros?
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by yesterday:

Correia's trade bait, and the bats will support tonight.  Its an unwritten rule, so we are not going to the playoffs, at least let a good guy get there, and a win tonight supports that effort, last time out did not.  Trade deadline looming large. 

Danks is also trade bait.  Does that mean we take the Over here?
 
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Posted: #20
BOL



P
A
L



 
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Posted: #21

Only reason for the Twins being favored is this years results against each other.

Danks 0-1 5ip 10.50 era

Corriea 1-0 12ip 2.25 era

 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Theone324:

Key if you have a minute your thoughts on the stros?
I like the Astros tonight, I really do, but the line is pretty much where it ought to be. BOL if you play it.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #23
surely there is a better game to wager on tonight.I don't know shitt about this sport but even I wouldn't touch these 2 pitchers.Geez best of luck with this one,i'd rather watch paint dry than have an ulcer with this matchup.
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by Fitty54:


Danks is also trade bait.  Does that mean we take the Over here?
I would lean toward the over, yes.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by BJTime:

Key Element reminds me of when the Detroit Lions went on that very long losing streak. Then when they finally won a single game, everyone went crazy like they just won the Super Bowl. Does anyone remember that?

Key Element, everyone is watching you, just as they did with the Detroit Lions. Once you show a profit for the day (a real won, without turning a push into a win), everyone in this forum will go crazy and congratulate you as if you are the best baseball handicapper in the world!

Will today be the day you finally show a profit?

Go get em Mr. Key Element!!!  

This does nothing for the forum, for bettors on this forum, or for anyone browsing through.  What's the point in this post?  If he's on such a bad streak, wouldn't the smart option be to just silently fade all his picks and make boat loads of money?  Post your own thoughts and picks, do some of your own analysis, have your own opinion and try to grow a set of balls.  I'd rather go 0 for 400 than live as a coward, creating multiple usernames to hide.  Good luck in the real world, you probably need it.
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