It's not that. It's relative to the O/U. 3 runs is A LOT to ANY game with a full game O/U of 7.5 whereas 3 runs is minimal to any game with an O/U of 12. At least that's how I look at it. With an O/U of 7.5, runs "should" be scare in this game..
You can also look at it, as a team gets up 3-0, team that's leading is happy with that lead, and trying to coast. Team that's down, nervous and get frustrated can't score runs. score could stay low with that mindset
Quote Originally Posted by TheSquare:
It's not that. It's relative to the O/U. 3 runs is A LOT to ANY game with a full game O/U of 7.5 whereas 3 runs is minimal to any game with an O/U of 12. At least that's how I look at it. With an O/U of 7.5, runs "should" be scare in this game..
You can also look at it, as a team gets up 3-0, team that's leading is happy with that lead, and trying to coast. Team that's down, nervous and get frustrated can't score runs. score could stay low with that mindset
I don't know if any of you guys/gals follow the live odds as a game is progressing but baseball games with a full game O/U of 7.5 or 8 are particularly interesting. Say for example and this has happened before, a miraculous "high scoring" 3 runs are scored at the top of the first inning with a full game O/U of 7.5 and then midway to the bottom, I'll check the odds. The live O/U should be around 8.5 maybe 9.5 with the UNDER being SUPER juiced at probably -150 or more. IF the bottom of the first is scoreless, that live O/U will drop back down to 8.5 with the under being juiced higher. Then, the 2nd inning goes scoreless? That live O/U will be back at 7.5 even with 3 runs being scored already. 3/7.5 = 40% runs scored in the first couple of innings and it hasn't even progressed past the 5th inning yet! It just seems that with low full game O/U's like this, odds makers are stingy at giving out a higher O/U line or they know that a particular game won't even go over the initial O/U..
"Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
I don't know if any of you guys/gals follow the live odds as a game is progressing but baseball games with a full game O/U of 7.5 or 8 are particularly interesting. Say for example and this has happened before, a miraculous "high scoring" 3 runs are scored at the top of the first inning with a full game O/U of 7.5 and then midway to the bottom, I'll check the odds. The live O/U should be around 8.5 maybe 9.5 with the UNDER being SUPER juiced at probably -150 or more. IF the bottom of the first is scoreless, that live O/U will drop back down to 8.5 with the under being juiced higher. Then, the 2nd inning goes scoreless? That live O/U will be back at 7.5 even with 3 runs being scored already. 3/7.5 = 40% runs scored in the first couple of innings and it hasn't even progressed past the 5th inning yet! It just seems that with low full game O/U's like this, odds makers are stingy at giving out a higher O/U line or they know that a particular game won't even go over the initial O/U..
Brewers great live odds at - 210. Woodruff will get pulled at the first sign of trouble and Hader will come in from the 6th inning on. Realistically this is a 2 inning game for Nats to tie or suffocate to death.
Brewers great live odds at - 210. Woodruff will get pulled at the first sign of trouble and Hader will come in from the 6th inning on. Realistically this is a 2 inning game for Nats to tie or suffocate to death.
Here's why Nats are choking dawgs. Heart of the order up and team in desperate need of a rally and they combine for 7 pitches. This was a moment to at least work the count and maybe milk a run across.
Here's why Nats are choking dawgs. Heart of the order up and team in desperate need of a rally and they combine for 7 pitches. This was a moment to at least work the count and maybe milk a run across.
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