It's not that. It's relative to the O/U. 3 runs is A LOT to ANY game with a full game O/U of 7.5 whereas 3 runs is minimal to any game with an O/U of 12. At least that's how I look at it. With an O/U of 7.5, runs "should" be scare in this game..
You can also look at it, as a team gets up 3-0, team that's leading is happy with that lead, and trying to coast. Team that's down, nervous and get frustrated can't score runs. score could stay low with that mindset
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Quote Originally Posted by TheSquare:
It's not that. It's relative to the O/U. 3 runs is A LOT to ANY game with a full game O/U of 7.5 whereas 3 runs is minimal to any game with an O/U of 12. At least that's how I look at it. With an O/U of 7.5, runs "should" be scare in this game..
You can also look at it, as a team gets up 3-0, team that's leading is happy with that lead, and trying to coast. Team that's down, nervous and get frustrated can't score runs. score could stay low with that mindset
I don't know if any of you guys/gals follow the live odds as a game is progressing but baseball games with a full game O/U of 7.5 or 8 are particularly interesting. Say for example and this has happened before, a miraculous "high scoring" 3 runs are scored at the top of the first inning with a full game O/U of 7.5 and then midway to the bottom, I'll check the odds. The live O/U should be around 8.5 maybe 9.5 with the UNDER being SUPER juiced at probably -150 or more. IF the bottom of the first is scoreless, that live O/U will drop back down to 8.5 with the under being juiced higher. Then, the 2nd inning goes scoreless? That live O/U will be back at 7.5 even with 3 runs being scored already. 3/7.5 = 40% runs scored in the first couple of innings and it hasn't even progressed past the 5th inning yet! It just seems that with low full game O/U's like this, odds makers are stingy at giving out a higher O/U line or they know that a particular game won't even go over the initial O/U..
"Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
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I don't know if any of you guys/gals follow the live odds as a game is progressing but baseball games with a full game O/U of 7.5 or 8 are particularly interesting. Say for example and this has happened before, a miraculous "high scoring" 3 runs are scored at the top of the first inning with a full game O/U of 7.5 and then midway to the bottom, I'll check the odds. The live O/U should be around 8.5 maybe 9.5 with the UNDER being SUPER juiced at probably -150 or more. IF the bottom of the first is scoreless, that live O/U will drop back down to 8.5 with the under being juiced higher. Then, the 2nd inning goes scoreless? That live O/U will be back at 7.5 even with 3 runs being scored already. 3/7.5 = 40% runs scored in the first couple of innings and it hasn't even progressed past the 5th inning yet! It just seems that with low full game O/U's like this, odds makers are stingy at giving out a higher O/U line or they know that a particular game won't even go over the initial O/U..
Brewers great live odds at - 210. Woodruff will get pulled at the first sign of trouble and Hader will come in from the 6th inning on. Realistically this is a 2 inning game for Nats to tie or suffocate to death.
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Brewers great live odds at - 210. Woodruff will get pulled at the first sign of trouble and Hader will come in from the 6th inning on. Realistically this is a 2 inning game for Nats to tie or suffocate to death.
Here's why Nats are choking dawgs. Heart of the order up and team in desperate need of a rally and they combine for 7 pitches. This was a moment to at least work the count and maybe milk a run across.
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Here's why Nats are choking dawgs. Heart of the order up and team in desperate need of a rally and they combine for 7 pitches. This was a moment to at least work the count and maybe milk a run across.
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