PLAYOFF RECORD: 8-2-1 (this record is for Diamondbacks games only)
Great record with the Diamondbacks but some of the bankroll is also due to tailing other great handicappers like @MrBator @BrooklynCapper and @Pho-20. I never blindly tail and I always recommend people do their own research but some of their insights have helped me get pieces of parlays and reversals that have made this a magical run for me. OF COURSE, most the money was collected on my own plays and insights and I hope to help more people in the coming days. And I've gotten lucky with the losses being on smaller wagers and the wins on larger ones. Definitely doesn't always work that way for me.
As I said yesterday in my thread, after todays game, the Diamondbacks will be up 3-2 heading to Philadelphia. I still very much believe this will be the case and with Zac Gallen, a Philadelphia native on the mound, at home where he was been exceptional, in his first playoff home start, I'm not sue how not to back him. But let's go through some of the analytics and reasonings why I feel this way.
When looking at Gallen's splits, he is pretty much the same pitcher whether day or night (3.38 ERA vs. 3.55 ERA). But when you dissect the splits more, to take into account home vs. away, Gallen is 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA at Chase and 5-6 with a 4.42 ERA away from home. He insisted that the Phillies were tipping his and the relievers pitches in his first start so, if there is even any validity to that, there will be some changes made.
On the other side, Wheeler has also been pretty good on the road and so I think this might very well be a low scoring affair. I just can't go against the team with the momentum and the pitcher with a record like Gallen has at home, with the stakes as high as they are. I think Wheeler will be more hittable than he was last time out, though that doesn't mean much as he was unhittable the first start.
Both bullpens are taxed and both pitchers will be on a longer leash. I know this sounds repetitive, and maybe I'm stubborn, but give me the DIAMONDBACKS at home for a MEGA play this evening. I will be at the stadium and trying to make @MrBator proud by bringing the noise. Regardless, I will check the thread, and if anyone else is going to the game, let me know.
As always, keep commentary positive and, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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