Nothing But Overs.. Season 2

Last night's results: 3-3, -0.0235 units.

YTD: 159-123-12, +22.099 units.

Today's plays, June 13th.

NYM/Pit over 7.5: 1 to win .935

Ariz/Fla over 8: 1 to win .980

Clev/NYY over 9.5: 1 to win .980

BOL

 BOL .... 

Last night's results: 1-2, -1.02 units.

YTD: 160-125-13, +21.079 units.

Today's plays, June 14th.

Fla/Phil over 7.5: 1 to win .909

Pit/Hou over 7.5: 1 to win 1.07

Cin/LAD over 6.5: 1 to win .952

Clev/Det over 7.5: 1 to win 1.04

ChS/Min over 7.5: 1 to win .885

Tex/NYY over 7.5: 1 to win .901

Bos/TB over 8: 1 to win .840

BOL

Last night's results: 2-4-1, -2.19 units.

YTD: 162-129-14, +18.889 units.

Today's plays, June 15th.

StL/Was over 8.5: 1 to win .870

Tex/NYY over 9.5: 1 to win .855

ChS/Min (Floyd vs Pavano) over 7.5: 1 to win .877

LAA/Sea over 6.5: 1 to win .833

Been a tough little stretch.  BOL

Last night's results: 2-2, -0.275 units.

YTD: 164-131-14, +18.614 units.

Fla/Phil over 8: 1 to win .926

NYM/Atl over 7.5: 1 to win .943

Bal/Tor over 9: 1 to win .909

Clev/det over 8.5: 1 to win .926

ChS/Min over 8: 1 to win .909

BOL

Quote Originally Posted by dimndimn:

How do you determine your overs?  Also, do you look at the trending O/U totals for the year/day/week to see when the numbers are spiked?

Such as after Monday night, O/U was 8-14-2 for Sun/Mon so Tue/Wed would have been good days to bet the overs, and they hit at a better rate 15-13-2 - Mondays always seem to be under days lately too.  GL 

Please read my original post from last year on how I chose my plays:

https://spaces.covers.com/blog/kamahsutra/MLB/08012010-Nothing-but-Overs.html

I've tweaked it a bit this year with respect to not to play certain teams that can't score.  I stopped playing Baltimore and Seattle last year, because they couldn't even score on a prostitute with a big mortgage.

I also do not believe in trending by certain days of the week.  I believe this has as much to do with the game total as colour and pattern of underwear I might happen to be wearing.

I will say this, the best indicator of totals I find since beginning these plays is starting pitcher ERA vs OPP.  Certain team own certain pitchers, and more specifically certain hitters own certain pitchers.  BOL.

BOL .... 

Last night's results: 1-4, -3.074 units.

YTD: 165-135-14, +15.540 units.

Today's plays, June 17th.

NYY/ChC over 9.5: 1 to win 1.04

Bal/Wash over 7.5: 1 to win .855

Tor/Cin over 9.5: 1 to win .971

Mil/Bos over 9.5: 1 to win 1.07

This has really been a tough stretch, and interleague play does not help because there is a lot less pitching data for pitchers vs opp.  I really have to rely on teams that can hit, and some pitchers that have pitched in both leagues with some bad career numbers vs opp.  I've never had many followers on this thread, but for those who will still read it.. BOL

Math later, plays now, have to go play with the little guy.. my son that is

Today's plays:

Mil over 8.5, .862

SD over 7.5, 1.08

Fla over 8.5, .952

Tor over 9, .877

ChS over 9.5, .870

BOL

Father's day,

Hou over 7, .917

Tor over 9, .971

Fla over 7.5, .870

KC over 7.5, .840

Happy Father's day to all the degenerate fathers out there.  BOL

Results for June 17th: 2-2, -0.075 units.

June 18th: 1-4, -3.048

Last night's results: 1-3, -2.160 units.

YTD: 169-144-14, +10.257 units.

Today's plays, June 20th.

Bal/Pit over 7.5: 1 to win .909

SD/Bos over 10: 1 to win .862

ChC/ChS over 8: 1 to win .885

Det/LAD over 7: 1 to win .1

Been taking an absolute beating since interleague.  If today isn't a good day again, I'll have to scale back to 3 games max until regular league play resumes.  BOL