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OVER / UNDERS in 5 for MONDAY

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
You got it....Will give it a shot and win or lose BOL
 
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Posted: #27
I already have tomorrows plays done all i need is to confirm SP as they must start to be a valid play
 
i am currently working on wednesday as all i need is the SP listed and i can do my WORK
 
15 games is a lot of work and i need a day to get it done at times when i have time
 
looking foreward to a PROFITABLE evening
 
OPC another thing at 3 pm the next days plays are normally out . Thus you can play the today for tomorrow BUT only 9 innings as only day of contest can you play 5 innings
 
if you love and over / under you can get a head start if you posss like a few late plays y not marry them to one tomorrow . Is that a crime ????????????????I love 2 day parlays as surely you can win 2 and 2 the next day ???????????
 
 
 
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Posted: #28
BEST PARLAYS GOING
 
BASEBALL and ffootball together and hell throw the soccer game in  too
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #29
Goal........I gambled large from 1963 (when I was illegal) until mid to late '70's (my BJ trips to Vegas and Santo Domingo)....I have been recreational for the last 25 years.....as my profile says, I have 3 loves:  Food, Food, and Gambling....I started coming out here (again) for the food 7 years ago, decided 2 years ago to move here...and moved out last August....just my wife, dog, and I.
 
I sit at the computer, bet on sports, watch TVG and bet the ponies, chat with interesting people like yourself....sometimes go to the sportsbook....
 
What I would like to see when you post, rather than a complete list of games/percentages, is how you would bet, manage your money...straight bets, parlays....I think that most of the people that will come into this kind of thread need that kind of advice/guidance...and you, obviously, have the knowledge to offer that kind of guidance.
 
As to Leroy's.....I've got 2 kiosks near me on Eastern...The Stadium Grille and the Inn Zone....I used them last year during football season....The machines are not as good as the kiosks in the casinos, the Nevada Gambling Commission won't let them use their regular kiosks....So, I have to go to the Silverton and deposit money into my account when using the kiosks...when I want to get paid, I have to go back to the Silverton to make a withdrawal.
 
Captain
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Posted: #30
PS....Forgot my online account with Station Casinos also....Green Valley Ranch & Spa....they won't let you parlay halftimes in football and only put up a few 5-inning plays each day....but convenient for me also....Great steakhouse too!!! 
 
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Posted: #31
I follow u goalinebob.  Makes a lot of  to me. 
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #32
GL
 
 
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Posted: #33
found this
 
7-5-1,,,,,,08/24/08  2NP
5-5-1,,,,,,08/23/08  4NP
3-3-1,,,,,,08/22/08  7 NP
5-3-0,,,,, 08/21/08  2 NP
4-1-1,,,,,,08/20/08 1 NP
5-1-1,,,,,,08/19/08 bal NP 
3-2-0,,,,,,08//18/08 bal NP
4-1-0,,,,,,08/17/08,,1 N/P
4-2-0,,,,,,08/16/08,,1 NP
 
40- 23 -5
 
record to date most i can find in old WL
 
and who gives a rats ass anyway
today is a new day
 
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Posted: #34
WHY i post all games is i give the membership my thoughts on all games
 SP's must start and i do not get caught up with first timers,dl returners ,etc. As my parlays if played as such are not going to be destroyed b cuz some newbe shit the bed on me. I post all sp's that are set in their rotation ,yes a couple days is OK , so you will not see every game as the NUMBERS are all constructed likewise . NO deviations what so ever
 
This gives all their own decisions and me too as sometimes i say WTF no way but i have found i am WRONG . Thus i told myself either play them or DON'T PLAY them thats it .
 
What started me on this path was as all playing RL's ,DOGS due to payoff, and other avenues and i said BOB why don't you dig into these SP's in depth and also chart EVERY GAME and since i love SP's and the HEAD to HEAD play ,,,forget bullpen , and SP's tired and in most cases they only pitch 5 innings anyway,so lest FOCUS on that
additionally i went one step farther and that was O / U's b cause the most juice is -120 at max.
 
Now i have been playing 5 innings games since only JULY 27th and posted in WL thread and records were therer as guys were following every day and i hit some major 3 teamers with large wagers 500/1,000 and was up 20 k when WL changed format and joined COVERS. Some of these plays were RB's thread contest so some of these plays were not REAL money but a few selections i did play at CASINO as posted .
 
You have my story and the other reason is regarding LINES i don't care what the lines are as i'm as good as ODDSMAKERS are in baseball and thus my attitude.
 
Regarding money wagers and amount that is everyone's own play . I will on occasion tell them i'm on it BIG and WILL be on it BIG.
 
Just wish i played those other 2 games THE ELEMENT had but i will not loses his abilities again. trust me on that
 
 
 
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Posted: #35
Now if you apply the O/U's together with a couple sides which IMO look extremely SOLID today there is no way in hell you can not hit a MAJOR parlay today
 
 
the winners are there , just need proper MIX
 
MY thoughts are i give the group an additional wager area to focus on as most don't touch O/U's in 5 but theres more poss wins there than 9 as now you have the entire game to deal with and we all know where that can go.
 
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Posted: #36
go bob go!
 
bol...
 
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Posted: #37
go bob go!
 
bol...
 
Captain
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Posted: #38
Great response....much appreciated....you said that you were going to make me a "believer"....you're getting real close pal 
 
Help me with this......
 
...My concern with totals as compared to sides is that a total, in my opinion, has to have more go right with it than with a side.
When I look at a game, my first consideration is whether or not I have a mismatch with SP's concerning current form. WHIP and ERA for last 3 starts..usually 2 weeks timeframe...as compared to year-to-date numbers...gives me that as a starting point. I then evaluate each opponent's recent offense, and if the better SP (in regard to current control/form) has the better offense, then, in all probability, I have a bet. I tend to disregard home/away, day/nite, prior confrontations, etc as factors and consider current form to be the #1 factor.
When looking at a total, however, you need either both SP's to be super or both SP's to suck and you need both offenses to be the opposite of what the SP's are....I know that is a broad generalization, but in it's simpliest form, that's what anyone is analyzing in 90% of capping a total. That means that you are increasing your data/input/analysis by, at least, double to come to a betting conclusion.
Discussions that I have had with people much more informed about the gambling business than I say that the reason the juice is, typically, lower than the side bet is that the totals bet is far more complex than the side bet...consequently, to get anyone to bet on a total, you have to offer lower juice. Whether or not the lower juice makes up for less winners when playing totals is the question....and can 2 or 3-teamers make up for the hitting less winners also?
HOpe this makes sense to you....obviously, the effort that you put into this is amazing; I would be interested in your "take" on my thoughts......thx again
 
MrO  
 
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Posted: #39
My primary concern is the MATCH up SP vs SP in 5
 
W/L streaks in 5 an 9 as shows cont Team Support thru game
 
AWAY  record on that AWAY SP today
HOME record on that HOME SP today
 
COMBINED W/L record for last 15 games i like to see as half will be home and away i hope
 
PUSHERS in 5 are WINS     "BUT"
 
PUSHES and WINS are ONLY wins if RA in those 5 inning plays were 0-1-2 all other #'s are LOSES
 
and W / L in 9 are only wins if RA were 0,1,2,3,4 as IMO the MEDIUM  line for a game is 8
 
4 for one side and 4 for the other
 
if a SP #'s in my calculations falls one side or the other  and them combined together AWAY+ HOME i find my close to final play to the O/U for that game.
 
W/L streaks get an additional credit to the better SP
 
Team SUPPORT is another important factor in 5 and 9
 
I also compare actual RA in 5 inn and 9 to compute factors on actual game numbers.
 
I do not worry about hitters as they are dust if SP is on with his A game or years past stats ,etc,. I don't even concern oppositions hot streaks as in most occasions they  will lose
 
Everything i do  FOCUS on is the SP thats all you need do.
 
I do not try to tell anyone who to play as that then is there decision as you then can't blame me for the loss.
 
These plays are not mine but a MATHMETICAL review of SP's
 
just as i said the BOSTON game yesterday was a total disaster and y ????????????? Neither SP performed as he should had or that UNDER was SOLID
 
another
SABATHIA and HARDEN was right on and screw that 3.3 as was a JOKE  as i knew it was a WINNER and was
 
another opposite JOKE was the line 3.5 on on another game which eludes me at moment but when saw it i almost choked as thought they posted it wrong and the damnnn game FLEW over
 
then the NYY game they put up a 6 ,i laughed all the way to the WINDOW as knew they wanted me to play the UNDER ,,"NOT" as it was a BIG OVER play and came in
 
i could go on and on but its all about today as all else is BS,
 
The O/U #'s stand on their own MERIT who am i to QUESTION them
 
Ride them to the BANK
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #40
FYI i spend a minimum of 4 hours of my time on all games that day some days i get a break with only 8 in lieu of 15
 
at this writing i am working on WEDNESDAY as i try and stay ahead as much as poss as one day off and i don't have the BEST of plays so that will not happen with me as i'm FOCUSED,,
 
my phone doesn't stop ringing as guys at casino want to see  plays and i tell then i'll print them and then its their decision as no way esp at casino am i going to tell someone who and what to play as again i keep telling them these are NOT MY PLAYS .
with boston yesterday think there getting the POINT at SOUTH POINT
 
damnnn thats funny BOB
 
 
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Posted: #41
one thing i have found most 5 inn games will go under and that is also a factor i use
 
Tomorrow is going to be a great experience b cause most games will go OVER in 5 as i've seen in the PAST. Y,shit SP's thats why and as say the lines from oddsmakes do not bother me as they need to balance their book . Thats not my problem !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
 
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Posted: #42
just scrolling over games on thursday and i already have 3 winners. I do it so much i get the feel
 
here i PREDICT
 
LINCECUM wins in 5 on thursday regardless of line
ROCS have HERNANDEZ
 
Prospect
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Posted: #43
so whats todays plays
 
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Posted: #44
there listed above
 
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Posted: #45
NOTE
 
THIS PLAY IS VOID as diff SP than orig posted
 
5-4    UNDER in 5,,,,,LIRIANO / DICKEY
 
the play now is
 
2-2  and all mathmatical calc with even #'s the play is OVER in 5
 
LIARIANO / BATISTA but do i trust it ????? think the better play is LIARIANO and the # i will wait and see
 
Captain
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Posted: #46
OK My Guru.......
 
I took:
 
SD Under 3 1/2
NYM Under 5
CHC Under 5
DET ML
NYM ML
MIN ML
 
...and did 20 3-teamers.......
 
Gonna be fun either way.........seriously looking forward to trying and understand how you analyze totals...going out for lunch...see ya later.....
 
Prospect
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Posted: #47
whats the bestplays or do you have one
 
Prospect
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Posted: #48
GOAL will you list who your playing again.. im kinda confused with all your posts...
 
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Posted: #49
20 3 teamers
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #50
my plays are listed above but i will be MIXING them up into 3 teamers as most all will WIN.. just take 3 for 5 bucks or 20 for 5 bucks
 
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