It is interesting, average starting pitching score is 51 but median pitching score is 52.5 (median, meaning 50% of pitching scores are under 52.5 and 50% are over).
When a pitcher scores over 52.5 the team he is starting for will get the win 69% of the time. Same applies to going under 52.5... a team who's pitcher scores under 52.5 will lose 69% of the time.
If you could figure out which pitcher will score over or under the mystical 52.5 you can clean up. On my spreadsheet, starting pitchers who scored over 52.5 are 15,294-6,805 (69.2%) and +8,811.91 units over 9 years (2010 thru 2018). That's nearly 1,000 units per regular season. But to do that, you'd have to ace the pitching scores before the game starts... impossible.
So.... what do you look for in a starting pitcher? Bounce back situation after 1 bad game? Massive score in his last start? What's your catalyst to make a bet?
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It is interesting, average starting pitching score is 51 but median pitching score is 52.5 (median, meaning 50% of pitching scores are under 52.5 and 50% are over).
When a pitcher scores over 52.5 the team he is starting for will get the win 69% of the time. Same applies to going under 52.5... a team who's pitcher scores under 52.5 will lose 69% of the time.
If you could figure out which pitcher will score over or under the mystical 52.5 you can clean up. On my spreadsheet, starting pitchers who scored over 52.5 are 15,294-6,805 (69.2%) and +8,811.91 units over 9 years (2010 thru 2018). That's nearly 1,000 units per regular season. But to do that, you'd have to ace the pitching scores before the game starts... impossible.
So.... what do you look for in a starting pitcher? Bounce back situation after 1 bad game? Massive score in his last start? What's your catalyst to make a bet?
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