12-1 on O/U picks with the correct SP's since All-Star break
The Good: Kirby (SEA) + Thorpe (CWS) Pick: SEA/CWS Under 7.5
Thorpe has a 1.48 ERA in his last 5 starts (30.1 IP). In the first match-up, Thorpe held SEA to 1 ER on 3 H. This version of SEA is more banged up. The Under 7.5 is 5-1 in Kirby's last 6 starts, and 7-1 in SEA's last 8 games. CWS has failed to score 3+ runs in 9 of their last 11 games.
The Bad: Morton (ATL) AWAY since June 1 Pick: ATL/NYM Over 7.5
Morton has allowed 4+ ER in each of his last three AWAY starts (6.88 ERA). In his 3 most recent starts vs. NYM in the June/July months, Morton has a 7.36 ERA (14.2 IP). Since July 2021, Morton has a 6.10 ERA vs. NYM (38.1 IP) in the months before August. When ATL goes to extra innings, their following game is 7-3 (.700) to the Over 7.5 this season. (NOTE: I have one app showing Schwellenbach as the expected SP. Void this pick if Morton is not starting.)
The Ugly: Montero (DET) Pick: MIN/DET Over 7.5
Montero has given up 5 ER in each of his last two starts, and 4+ ER in 4 of his 6 starts this season. Lopez gave up 5 ER in his previous start vs. DET in April. The Over 7.5 is 16-6 (.727) in the last 22 DET games. Since 2021 the Over 7.5 is 12-3 (.800) in Game 1 of this series. The Over 7.5 is 4-1 (.800) this season in DET games following a shutout by DET. The line just moved to 8 as I am wrapping this up. I just bought the hook to avoid a push.
"It's not about the size of the parlay, it's about the size of the bet."
12-1 on O/U picks with the correct SP's since All-Star break
The Good: Kirby (SEA) + Thorpe (CWS) Pick: SEA/CWS Under 7.5
Thorpe has a 1.48 ERA in his last 5 starts (30.1 IP). In the first match-up, Thorpe held SEA to 1 ER on 3 H. This version of SEA is more banged up. The Under 7.5 is 5-1 in Kirby's last 6 starts, and 7-1 in SEA's last 8 games. CWS has failed to score 3+ runs in 9 of their last 11 games.
The Bad: Morton (ATL) AWAY since June 1 Pick: ATL/NYM Over 7.5
Morton has allowed 4+ ER in each of his last three AWAY starts (6.88 ERA). In his 3 most recent starts vs. NYM in the June/July months, Morton has a 7.36 ERA (14.2 IP). Since July 2021, Morton has a 6.10 ERA vs. NYM (38.1 IP) in the months before August. When ATL goes to extra innings, their following game is 7-3 (.700) to the Over 7.5 this season. (NOTE: I have one app showing Schwellenbach as the expected SP. Void this pick if Morton is not starting.)
The Ugly: Montero (DET) Pick: MIN/DET Over 7.5
Montero has given up 5 ER in each of his last two starts, and 4+ ER in 4 of his 6 starts this season. Lopez gave up 5 ER in his previous start vs. DET in April. The Over 7.5 is 16-6 (.727) in the last 22 DET games. Since 2021 the Over 7.5 is 12-3 (.800) in Game 1 of this series. The Over 7.5 is 4-1 (.800) this season in DET games following a shutout by DET. The line just moved to 8 as I am wrapping this up. I just bought the hook to avoid a push.
, Good luck 8 Ball, thanks for sharing the great write ups with us, keep it going Clint Eastwood - "You've got to ask yourself one question: do I feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk? (wrong movie, same actor) LOL.
Side note - I show it's [C MORTON -R/K SENGA -R] as starting pitchers.
, Good luck 8 Ball, thanks for sharing the great write ups with us, keep it going Clint Eastwood - "You've got to ask yourself one question: do I feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk? (wrong movie, same actor) LOL.
Side note - I show it's [C MORTON -R/K SENGA -R] as starting pitchers.
Great work let’s keep it rolling. Don’t like Atl. Being such under team, but Mets are hot and nice warm 80degree night in NY. Got 3 Apps showing Morton. But with deadline approaching keeping close eye on lineups and lower bets slightly.
was already on Mariners under too
this forum is really sharpening my handicapping. I’m just giving and welcome respectful opinions.
iron sharpens iron. We work together with little luck beat the book.
Great work let’s keep it rolling. Don’t like Atl. Being such under team, but Mets are hot and nice warm 80degree night in NY. Got 3 Apps showing Morton. But with deadline approaching keeping close eye on lineups and lower bets slightly.
was already on Mariners under too
this forum is really sharpening my handicapping. I’m just giving and welcome respectful opinions.
iron sharpens iron. We work together with little luck beat the book.
I'm not sure of other sites, but on William hill you can specify listed pitchers for the sides only, so if you want to play a total you're stuck with that number regardless of who pitches, I wonder how other books are.
Anyhow, the Seattle mariners finally might start scoring some points as they just acquired randy arozarena from the devil rays. Recall his superman performance in the 2020 covid playoffs. If they can get a first baseman since they DFA France, they can be a legit contender
I'm not sure of other sites, but on William hill you can specify listed pitchers for the sides only, so if you want to play a total you're stuck with that number regardless of who pitches, I wonder how other books are.
Anyhow, the Seattle mariners finally might start scoring some points as they just acquired randy arozarena from the devil rays. Recall his superman performance in the 2020 covid playoffs. If they can get a first baseman since they DFA France, they can be a legit contender
@Ricodamus Hey thanks for sharing and bol... P.S. record should be 12-2, the ov 8 cle/det pick lost yesterday.
Yep, hence the disclaimer "with the correct starting pitchers." I wrote that DET/CLE pick based on Maeda starting. A lot of readers stayed away from that pick anyway once they saw Maeda was not the SP anymore.
From now on, I will try to be prepared with a 4th alternate pick in case a pitching change happens to me again.
"It's not about the size of the parlay, it's about the size of the bet."
@Ricodamus Hey thanks for sharing and bol... P.S. record should be 12-2, the ov 8 cle/det pick lost yesterday.
Yep, hence the disclaimer "with the correct starting pitchers." I wrote that DET/CLE pick based on Maeda starting. A lot of readers stayed away from that pick anyway once they saw Maeda was not the SP anymore.
From now on, I will try to be prepared with a 4th alternate pick in case a pitching change happens to me again.
I'm not sure of other sites, but on William hill you can specify listed pitchers for the sides only, so if you want to play a total you're stuck with that number regardless of who pitches, I wonder how other books are. Anyhow, the Seattle mariners finally might start scoring some points as they just acquired randy arozarena from the devil rays. Recall his superman performance in the 2020 covid playoffs. If they can get a first baseman since they DFA France, they can be a legit contender
1. William Hill sucks for that.
2. Arozarena cost me a hit parlay yesterday on a day that TB puts up 13 runs.
"It's not about the size of the parlay, it's about the size of the bet."
I'm not sure of other sites, but on William hill you can specify listed pitchers for the sides only, so if you want to play a total you're stuck with that number regardless of who pitches, I wonder how other books are. Anyhow, the Seattle mariners finally might start scoring some points as they just acquired randy arozarena from the devil rays. Recall his superman performance in the 2020 covid playoffs. If they can get a first baseman since they DFA France, they can be a legit contender
1. William Hill sucks for that.
2. Arozarena cost me a hit parlay yesterday on a day that TB puts up 13 runs.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.