5-0 sweep in the G/B/U (8/7) thread!
The Good: Greene (CIN) Pick: MIA TT Under 2.5 (+110)
The opposing TT Under 2.5 is 4-0 in Greene's last 4 AWAY starts (0.36 ERA, 25.0 IP), and is 2-0 in Greene's two previous games vs. MIA (1.46 ERA, 12.1 IP). MIA ranks 29th in scoring.
The Bad: Montas (MIL) Pick: MIL/ATL Over 9.5
The Over 9.5 is 5-0 in Montas's last 5 starts (7.27 ERA in that span) and 6-0 in the last 6 games of this series. ATL is 5-1 in Morton's last 6 HOME starts (1.01 ERA, 35.2 IP in that span), but those were against the bottom 3rd of the MLB in scoring: STL (21st), PIT (T-22nd), OAK (T-22nd), TB (28th), MIA (29th). When Morton faced SF (14th), he gave up 3 ER in a loss. MIL ranks in the Top 10 in scoring, so they should be able to put up 4+ runs vs. Morton.
The Ugly: Ortiz (PIT) vs. Padres Pick: SD/PIT Over 8
The Over 8 is 9-3-2 (.750) in the last 14 games of this series @PIT, 6-2-2 (.750) in PIT's last 10 games, and 7-3 (.700) in SD's last 10 games. It is a small sample size, but Arraez, Kim, Profar, Bogaerts, and Cronenworth combine for 7 for 11 (.636) vs. Ortiz. Since 6/17, the Over 8 is 6-2 in Vasquez's last 8 starts.
Build Your Own Hit Parlay:
Arraez (SD) -- Before this last game, he had hit safely in the last 14 games. Arraez is 3 for 4 vs. Ortiz.
Mountcastle (BAL) -- Has hit safely in 6 of the last 7 games in this series, 6 for 17 (.353) vs. Gausman
Guerrero (TOR) -- 13 for his last 24 (.542) in this series, 8 for 25 (.320) vs. Kremer
Harper (PHI) -- 7 for his last 17 (.412, this is posting before the LAD game), 3 for 6 vs. Montgomery