Good:
PHI (+105)
Lee has not lost a decision since May 1, and PHI is 8-2 in Lee’s last 10 starts. The two losses were 1-run losses. Lee is 2-1 in 5 career starts vs. LAD with a 0.95 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, .185 BAA. Lee is 6-1 AWAY in 10 starts with a 1.92 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, .200 BAA.
CLE (-120)
Jimenez is 4-1 in his 8 AWAY starts with a 2.86 ERA, .224 BAA. CLE has won 9 of Jimenez’s last 12 starts. Axelrod has an 8.59 ERA, 2.45 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Axelrod has not won a decision since May 26. CWS’ bullpen must be spent after yesterday’s high-scoring doubleheader.
Bad: Verlander (DET) , Harang (SEA)
TB (+130)
Verlander has an 8.10 ERA, 2.10 WHIP in his last 2 starts, which were vs. other AL East teams (vs. BOS, vs. BAL). He did not last more than 5.0 IP in either start. Verlander has not won a decision since June 7. This is my HOME + DOG + NIGHT feature pick.
CHC (-110)
Aside from Harang’s complete game shutout of HOU, he has posted a 7.30 ERA, 2.19 WHIP in 3 of his last 4 starts. CHC has won Samardjiza’s last 3 starts.
Ugly: CIN AWAY, Blanton (LAA)
TEX (-120)
CIN bats are freezing cold on this road trip. They are batting 4 for 48 with RISP. I’m fading them until they get back home.
HOU (+130)
LAA is 2-13 in Blanton
starts this season, yet they are considerably favored in this game AWAY?? Yes, Lyles got rocked at Wrigley in his last
start. But before that, Lyles had a 1.61
ERA in his last 7 starts. Lyles is 2-0
vs. LAA with a .233 BAA. I’m doubling
down on this after yesterday’s loss.
How often have you been backing Blanton this season? Was it fun winning both of those times this entire season? A Blanton win is like a solar eclipse: it's very rare; but when it does happen, it's special.
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