Posted:
#1151
Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:
No question you're sharp in picking, have good systems, and your current post on patience is excellent and unfortunately not to be used by most...but I'm surprised you don't understand why the Padres are such big dogs...
No question you're sharp in picking, have good systems, and your current post on patience is excellent and unfortunately not to be used by most...but I'm surprised you don't understand why the Padres are such big dogs...
Vegas despite what some people think on this site does absolutely want even action so they can gain +10% safely...I have heard this confirmed by Vegas Bookmakers and ex-bookmakers recently on the new XM channel run by Brent Musberger..
So the Pads are so high because if they were truly what they should be at +150, you'd see huge ML bets in $ amounts by the Public on the Dodgers and put the books at huge risk..
Here you have a team that is clearly playing good baseball since May 1st but in a small market with no famous players against the Stud team of a lifetime, just blowing people out left and right..how could anyone take SD??
So, like you, I'll take the value any day and Sunday and we will be fine in the long run...they were leading last night..
You do remember the Patriots were 17 point dogs in 2001 vs 'the Greatest show on Turf Rams" right? Realizing they only lost by 7 to them earlier in the season, etc, etc That one worked out very nicely even if you just took the points but some wise guys took the ML too..
Sure, of course they want it. It rarely happens though.
The books make their own wagers all the time.
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