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September Dogs - Starting with $4k

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Prospect
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Posted: #1176
 
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Posted: #1177
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Aug 18 7:10 pmDodgers - R. Hill -L vs Tigers - J. Zimmermann -R 
Take: Tigers - J. Zimmermann -R +186
$129 to win $239.94



curious how this fits 'system B' as the "last game of a series"  thanks in advance. 
 
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Posted: #1178
Hey Herb, as you know I know SDQL really well . My question to you is.... how do you know the trend is a winner today . Obviously its 180-155 record for example. What makes it a play today and not the last time or the time before. Just curious. there are loses so it's not a 100% tend. what are you basing it on as a play for today. Thanks
 
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Posted: #1179
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

Hey Herb, as you know I know SDQL really well . My question to you is.... how do you know the trend is a winner today . Obviously its 180-155 record for example. What makes it a play today and not the last time or the time before. Just curious. there are loses so it's not a 100% tend. what are you basing it on as a play for today. Thanks

The main factor way above the trend are my Raw Numbers I've talked about before.
 
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Posted: #1180
For today a two team parlay:

Boston Red Sox -1RL(Vs. Yankees) 
+
Colorado Rockies -1RL (Vs. Brewers)
------
$207 to win $422.28

---------

*SYSTEM OF THE DAY:
Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. - Fade the Yanks, Brewers, Blue Jays and A's today!

 
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Posted: #1181
Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:



curious how this fits 'system B' as the "last game of a series"  thanks in advance. 

Hey thanks for pointing out that error!

The plain English description I stored is incorrect. Here's the actual sdql I'll share:

p:LGS and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and line<-120 and op:L and opp:L

That actually means, the last game the team off of 3+ straight wins played was the last game of THAT series....I don't know why I didn't just write, "in series game 1" lol

Thanks man, I'll fix that in my database. Rest assured. A mistake wasn't made. I had a good system there that was indeed active...
 
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Posted: #1182
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

For today a two team parlay:

Boston Red Sox -1RL(Vs. Yankees) 
+
Colorado Rockies -1RL (Vs. Brewers)
------
$207 to win $422.28

---------

*SYSTEM OF THE DAY:
Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. - Fade the Yanks, Brewers, Blue Jays and A's today!


Disagree with fading the blue jays. Their numbers are very good vs Q
 
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Posted: #1183
Man, I don't get a -1RL...
 
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Posted: #1184
Quote Originally Posted by LuckysDad713:

Man, I don't get a -1RL...

Parlaying the moneylines here is also acceptable (same risk amount or slightly less). Most books offer the -1 now and you can parlay it. PM me and I'll recommend about 5-10 to you for that if interested.

I also have an Excel -1RL calculator I created and share with anyone interested which shows you how much to wager on the -1.5 runline at any book you find the best odds at and likewise with the ML (two wagers that CREATE the same effect as the offered -1 for better odds almost 100% of the time). Pm for that as well if interested...

 
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Posted: #1185
Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu:


Disagree with fading the blue jays. Their numbers are very good vs Q

I agree. I like the BJays there too overall. Was just stating a fact (the system is ALSO active to fade them). It is just one factor of MANY I shared. Every wager will always have something wrong with it.
 
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Posted: #1186
If you can't get RL-1 here is the way to do it.
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144213

 
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Posted: #1187
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


Parlaying the moneylines here is also acceptable (same risk amount or slightly less). Most books offer the -1 now and you can parlay it. PM me and I'll recommend about 5-10 to you for that if interested.

I also have an Excel -1RL calculator I created and share with anyone interested which shows you how much to wager on the -1.5 runline at any book you find the best odds at and likewise with the ML (two wagers that CREATE the same effect as the offered -1 for better odds almost 100% of the time). Pm for that as well if interested...

Just sent a friend request to I can PM you.  Thanks man
 
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Posted: #1188
Going off very soon!

OAKLAND A's +206 
$310 to win $638.6


In the second half, Road AL pitchers with WHIPs of 1.4 to 1.5 have gone 209-175 (54.4%) SU +85.9 units post steroid era.
 
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Posted: #1189
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Going off very soon!

OAKLAND A's +206 
$310 to win $638.6


In the second half, Road AL pitchers with WHIPs of 1.4 to 1.5 have gone 209-175 (54.4%) SU +85.9 units post steroid era.

Sorry. The odds are +218 now. (to win $678.28)
 
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Posted: #1190
Ugh was getting ready and missed it 
 
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Posted: #1191
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

Ugh was getting ready and missed it 

I'm sorry. I got this one so close to gametime.
Been having a crazy weekend. 
Some problems with the wife lately.

If you guys want me to void it, I can. Let me know.

 
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Posted: #1192
Don't void it bro who cares will get the next one 
 
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Posted: #1193
Take care of your garbage come back September 1st and let's throw!!!
 
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Posted: #1194
 
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Posted: #1195
We appreciate you sharing brother.

I'm upset at myself, not you, for logging in late.

That's a huge underdog hit for ya. Congrats bud 
 
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Posted: #1196
Shake it off!
 
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Posted: #1197
Current Bankroll: $12,800.67
from $4000 (+220.02 units)
ty A's!
 
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Posted: #1198
best run ive seen on covers picking dogs only WOW! 
 
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Posted: #1199
 I did not see this
 
 
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Posted: #1200
I missed it too, but nice call!
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