All Forums | MLB Betting

September Dogs - Starting with $4k

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 768906
Posts: 1630
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2016
Posts: 274
Posted: #1376
You're a god, herb! Keep it up!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2017
Posts: 23
Posted: #1377
How funny, I work in accounting as well.  Is sports betting a necessary evil that comes with being mathematically inclined?

Great call Herb!  Don't know why but I'm always reluctant on betting those ROI stats.  I guess the way I see it is to really capture the positive return one must bet all those types of bets, or maybe I just need to grow a pair haha.

Let me know if you ever start a thread on the queries.  Sounds interesting!    
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2013
Posts: 4309
Posted: #1378
Thanks for the winner yesterday
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2005
Posts: 6906
Posted: #1379
As I've said in the past, best thread on Covers.  
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2017
Posts: 497
Posted: #1380
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


And other things too maybe


i've followed a lot of your plays successfully.  didn't have a side on that one b/c had other games in play, so it didn't really make a difference to me.  i just noticed that your trend was based on a certain type of play from teams and wanted to note that the rule change *could* effect that.  information sharing is the real value of these forums.

keep 'em coming

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #1381

Philadelphia Phillies +1 +116

vs Washington Nationals

$117 to win $135.72


I don't recommend the moneyline here. At the very least, use the calculator and do a +0.75 wager, but, and this is rare, I actually like the full +1.5 runline here as I believe the game will be very close. If the Nats win, it'll be a lazy, didn't really need it or want it a ton win being clinched and the Phillies feeling non-threatening and all.


SYSTEM OF THE DAY:  Home underdogs (sub .400) are 94-91 +33.17 units SU and solid on the runline after winning SU as home underdogs against the same opponent as last game.
 

TEAM TREND OF THE DAY: The Nationals are 2-17 RL as a road favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they held the lead. -- Consider the +1 or +1.5 runline here on the Phillies here!


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #1382
Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:



i've followed a lot of your plays successfully.  didn't have a side on that one b/c had other games in play, so it didn't really make a difference to me.  i just noticed that your trend was based on a certain type of play from teams and wanted to note that the rule change *could* effect that.  information sharing is the real value of these forums.

keep 'em coming


"not the first time" = You stirred the pot in the thread before for, sorry, but a dumb reason: "What happened to the dogs" -- This time a math error. Math error is fine and human. Let's keep truckin' -- as you say, we are indeed all in this together in a way. I appreciate your feedback, but some of it is pointless and drama causing. 

Its all good, and I'm glad to hear you're winning. Bottom line again: you've made more positive contributions than negative, and you have my thanks along with everyone else who shares additional insight.....which, by the way, if I don't respond, know this: once a week, I do sit down and read everything and keep specific notepads of ideas that weren't mine. Some of my best betting ideas, weren't mine.

I always tell people (and yes I run a service "PCG" that does those raw numbers to help you do your own betting), you guys don't really need me because the picking of plays is never the hard part in betting. The only things that makes things difficult are human error and our human nature, lack of discipline and money management. That's really where they getcha! :)

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #1383
Giants looked good earlier (buy play went off), and I like the Rangers +170 along with the LA Angels -180 this afternoon. Passing, but just thought I'd share some runner up good leans if you're looking for more or doing your own stuff.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #1384
Quote Originally Posted by dallasm:

As I've said in the past, best thread on Covers.  

Cheers, to that brutha. I don't look at any of the others. Curious to know what I'm doing right so I know to keep on doing that. :)

And don't say "winning" because we're a little down from the last thread long high, but not by too much :P

Personally, I like to think that the most valuable thing for you guys would be the systems I share as, if I ever stopped this thread (and I eventually will of course) it'll mostly be due to you having enough to keep on doing the same thing in the future. I always, honestly hoped you guys would share some stealthy systems or MM strategies too a bit more. Maybe we'll get some of that going or in another thread.

GO PHILLIES!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2017
Posts: 183
Posted: #1385
You don't play every trend you have only certain games even if there's multiples options? What's the strategy
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2013
Posts: 4309
Posted: #1386
Thanks for the Phillies pick two of my guys that I put in picks for to my book took Washington - 165 I kept them both thanks again bro
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #1387
Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

You don't play every trend you have only certain games even if there's multiples options? What's the strategy

Quality over quantity. 

I believe passing is King.

Best bet you'll ever make is one you don't make. Remember that. Took me a long while to realize.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #1388
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Philadelphia Phillies +1 +116

vs Washington Nationals

$117 to win $135.72


WINNER!


Current Bankroll: $13,348.69
from $4000 (+233.72 units)

There we go. New all time high reached :)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2017
Posts: 23
Posted: #1389
That's awesome!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2017
Posts: 183
Posted: #1390
Herb what's your # so when you leave I can call you every morning and get the pick. Don't leave bro ur a real one keep plugging us we need the fuckin $$$$$$$ 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 655
Posted: #1391
Any play today Bro!   Congrats
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 5312
Posted: #1392
Herb how's everything with the situation u had a week or so ago? Hoping all is well bud 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #1393
Quote Originally Posted by royboymiami:

Herb how's everything with the situation u had a week or so ago? Hoping all is well bud 

Oh, you know. Each day's better than the next...

For today:

Kansas City Royals +138 
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
$185 to win $255.30

SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Plus .500 Teams off of a walk off win are 433-356 SU -103.72 units (+54.12 units to fade) against sub .500 teams. (Active to Fade the Nats and D-Backs)


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2017
Posts: 375
Posted: #1394
Time heals all. Enjoy life Herbs. Thanks again!
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 15737
Posted: #1395
Like it
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2016
Posts: 274
Posted: #1396
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


Oh, you know. Each day's better than the next...

For today:

Kansas City Royals +138 
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
$185 to win $255.30

SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Plus .500 Teams off of a walk off win are 433-356 SU -103.72 units (+54.12 units to fade) against sub .500 teams. (Active to Fade the Nats and D-Backs)


I have been eyeing on this one too, as Kennedy has been trash of late, he's due for a win and it might be tonight! 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 16
Posted: #1397
Been folllowIng for awhile now. I was wondering if you think Pit follows “33 win” trend vs Was tonight 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2012
Posts: 3989
Posted: #1398
Royals 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 5391
Posted: #1399
You're amazing 
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 655
Posted: #1400
Thanks Bro!
All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.