All Forums | MLB Betting

September Dogs - Starting with $4k

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 768906
Posts: 1630
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #126
Well KC cashed. Cmon now O's. 1-1 Top of the 11th...
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #127
3-1 O's close it out boys! 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 2979
Posted: #128
thirsty
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 2096
Posted: #129
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #130
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Adding:

#979 Baltimore Orioles +140 ($122 to win $170.80) WINNER!
over the Seattle Mariners

Woof woof woof
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #131
Current Bankroll: +$4,631.31
(from $4000)
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 6903
Posted: #132

Doin work Herb

Is your name Herb or do you smoke Herb?

I'd love to come to vegas for a smoke...
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #133
the first four letters of my last name are herb. it is a childhood nickname.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 6903
Posted: #134

when I get my first dog I'm naming him herb

You live in LV?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #135
Going off real soon. Not a dog, but....

#916 Detroit Tigers -1 +109 ($62 to win $67.58)
over the Oakland Athletics
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #136
Here's a neat trick. Not sure how much sense it makes but....

After Justin Verlander wins, the Detroit Tigers are 21-10 (+1.84 rpg, +6.74 units) at home and 12-6 +7.85 units on the road (33-16 +14.59 units).


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #137
(since 2004 ^^^)
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #138
Quote Originally Posted by CoverLane:


when I get my first dog I'm naming him herb

Heh. I'm flattered. Sorry to throw you guys a curveball with a favorite today. I probably won't do it again.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #139
Texas would be the dog to keep an eye on tonight. Not sure I can stomach a team though that is 44-43 (avg. line -155, -20.43 units) off of a win (this season).

2-5 off of a win and now a dog (-2.94 units). I dunno about the Rangers, but I kind of like a fade against Greinke with the Angels. He was a freakish 24-1 +22.92 units as a home favorite with the Brewers, but just 3-2 -0.2 units with the Angels. I think trading him and Randy Wolf away were f-ed up moves for the Brewers. Anyways, Milwaukee loved seeing him pitch; now he's up with a-hole J. Weaver in a new city and he's got a history of anxiety. Good luck if you take the Rangers here.

Fyi, the Rangers a 99.9% for the playoffs and could easily not give one about this game. The Angels are 0.3% for the playoffs. In the next to be knocked out spot with Zona. That doesn't make me crazy about Texas. Alas, they ARE a dog off of a win though....
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #140
Well Texas took it 3-1; curses for not betting them. They must be playing without pace right now. That'll teach me to get fancy and take a favorite in September.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #141
For Friday September 21st:

#964 Colorado Rockies +126 ($124 to win $156.24)
over the Arizona Diamondbacks


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #142
-The Colorado Rockies are good in this spot. This season, after 4 or more straight road games they are 8-1 +9.04 units coming back home. That's 6-0 +109% roi if they lost that last get away road game.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #143
My order of best to worst 'good nuff to bet' dogs goes as so:

1. Rockies
2. Orioles
3. Padres
4. Braves

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 7667
Posted: #144
no Oakland on your 'best' dogs list herb?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #145
No. Sabathia is  93-45 (1.36, 67.4%) +11.29 units career as a home favorite. I never bet against him while he's a home favorite. If it wasn't September I'd be betting him.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #146
Add:

#971 Baltimore Orioles +113 ($62 to win $70.06)
over the Boston Red Sox
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #147
New Bankroll: +$4,577.37
(from $4000)
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #148
Guys,

If you want to follow my NFL teaser experiment here in the covers forum, here's the link: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101424475

I've got one up for Week 3.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 310
Posted: #149
what do you think about this dog picks herbshak=
  • St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
    Run Line Spread
    Pick: Chicago Cubs +1,5 1.83
  • Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
    Run Line Spread
    Pick: Minnesota Twins +1,5 1.83
  • Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners
    Run Line Spread
    Pick: Seattle Mariners +1,5
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 861
Posted: #150
Historically, one run losses or two run wins occur more for the road team so immediately I don't like the looks of Chicago or Seattle. Why not take the +1 on those two and the +1.5 on Minnesota for more value?

There is logic in that discrepancy: the home team covers the -1.5 less of the time because they'll often have 1 less inning to split up the margin; same token: the dog cover the +1.5 on the road more often because the home team, again, doesn't get the bottom of the ninth to play enough to make the runline worth taking for the home team. 
All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.