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Seriously how can Hendricks be a -140 favorite vs Kluber for game 7????

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Rookie
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Posted: #26
last line I saw is CLE +100

no doubt this is going to shift over the course of the day, but Cubbies are the play.

Go Cubs Go!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 84
Posted: #27
People love to point at this line as a positive sign for the Cubs (books putting Kluber at home at plus money and begging for action, right??!!)

OR, they know they are going to get 60%+ action on the cubs anyway so may as well tack on a little surcharge...

Let's say they have 600 bets on cubs at -140 to win 100 bucks and 400 on the tribe at +120 to win 100 (very hypothetical, i know).  They would have $84000 in cubs bets and approx $34,000 in tribe money for a total handle of 118,000.  If cubs win they have to pay the 84k back and they keep the 34k for a net loss of 50k.  If the Indians win they pay out 40k and pocket 78 grand.

Who do you think the books are rooting for in this scenario?  If they expect a Cubs win, wouldn't setting the line like this be foolish?

Books are always a step ahead...How many people thought they were being sharp getting the Bills plus 5.5 points this past weekend?  
 
MVP
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:

Key to Game 7:  home plate umpire. 

I promise you he will shrink Kluber's strike zone so he has to throw perfect strikes, and the Cubs will pounce.



Not trying to be a d i c k but I think Kluber does better with a shrunken zone than Hendricks, just my two cents.


Hendricks does not have overpowering stuff and needs to hit the corners. Kluber has a plus fastball and wipeout slider, his stuff is just awesome.
 
Captain
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by VegasVandal:

What the hell is Addison Russell anyway asian or black? Very weird looking guy
LOL
 
Legend
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Joined: Dec, 2014
Posts: 47789
Posted: #30
Ump Sam Holbrook

Career: 193-157 home team

Avg 9.3 rpg 
Strikeouts pg 14.16
Away SO's pg 7.01     Home SO's pg 7.13


This season: 13-17 home team

Avg 8.07rpg
Strikeouts pg 16.93



 
Captain
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by VegasVandal:

What the hell is Addison Russell anyway asian or black? Very weird looking guy

He's so cute he reminds me of the Bordon milk cow
“The average erect gorilla penis is 3cm (1.25 inches) long”
 
Veteran
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Posted: #32
I never saw -140 but I can tell you that they juiced it high knowing they would get lots of Cubs $$$
 
Veteran
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by best_bets:

LOL
Overtime this guy is up at plate i literally laugh , this kid looks funny Af 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #34
This line screams of a Cubs win....Which completely screws my Cleveland series future. GOD DAMNIT
 
Banned
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Posted: #35
cubs bats are steaming hot
 
Banned
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Posted: #36
Vandal, u racist bro?
 
Veteran
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Posted: #37
It's because the books have taken so much future action on the Cubs that they're essentially trying to hedge a little, which is why all the games have been a little inflated towards the Cubs side
 
Legend
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Posted: #38
Cubs-130 now

It would be interesting if they actually close at -140
 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

Cubs seeing Kluber for the 3rd time in seven games.  Kluber going on 3 days rest.  Thats asking a lot


From a "pure handicap" standpoint, this is one of the best "betting nuggets" i have ever heard. never thought about how quickly pro batters adjust to a pitcher 

awesome point that proved so true
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