THE CHASE LOUNGE

woo! I'm completely sober thanks to stomach pains all night.

So, lac under gm 1, chicken dinna!!

maddix totals chases now 7-0. No gm3s yet, fingers crossed.

still haven't gotten all lines yet, current leaning houston over as I like their next 3 matchups for over. Will take a minute to look tomorrow when I'm at work.

portland under Chase gm1 203

sacramento under chase gm1 199

denver under chase gm1 210

pistons under chase gm1 191

charlotte over chase gm1 193

single play clippers-3

bought out of lac-3

I thought mo was out, apparently no injuries on jazz roster

There was a Double OT game on 12/26, DET/ATL. consider fading both and playing the Under. Both play today.

DAL/OKC OT on 12/27/12. DAL plays today and OKC tomorrow. Again, Fade and Under.

BOL

portland gm1 winner

chases now 8-0

all other 4 chases are going to game 2

next up, charlotte over 193 gm2

nice job AW

Boston was beatdown by the Clippers a few nights ago an dnow go to GSW. I took Boston +3.5 (130) and Over...

The Clippers -3 was a beatdown system winner, Play was Utah and the OVER was an easy win.

nice job AW

Boston was beatdown by the Clippers a few nights ago an dnow go to GSW. I took Boston +3.5 (130) and Over...

The Clippers -3 was a beatdown system winner, Play was Utah and the OVER was an easy win.

Looking back, the Jazz were a huge beatdown play. The Clippers had beatdown 2 teams in the the last 3 games...

But with my luck, I played the Jazz ML.

We have now arrived at Week 17, the final week of the NFL regular season. This week, we are carrying over four NFL Trends & Angles that collectively went a slightly profitable 4-3 ATS in Week 16.

As those of you that have followed us in the past know, all of our season-long trends go back to 2005, as that gives us a large enough sampling without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal.

In addition to the four angles we are carrying over from last week, we lead off with a nice contrarian angle that has had a great season but that had the last few weeks off. Also, some of the angles we are carrying over are for December games only, so please pay close attention to the parameters.

You will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams, such as in our leading angle. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are strictly defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.

Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent winning percentage over a nice sampling. Qualifiers: Arizona +17 to 18, Jacksonville +4, Kansas City +17 to 18 and Philadelphia +7 to 8.

Angle #2 - During the month of December only, play against any favorite coming off of two or more losses (55-32-2, 63.2% ATS): There are two reasons why this angle has worked so well. For teams that are still fighting for playoff spots, lines get artificially inflated for that reason alone even though they are not playing well lately. For teams eliminated from the playoff hunt, they are usually playing fellow non-playoff contenders if they are favored after two losses and those types of meaningless games are generally crapshoots with the underdogs having inherent value. This angle went 2-1 in Week 16. Qualifiers: New York Jets +3½ to 4 at Buffalo and Philadelphia +7 to 8 at New York Giants.

Angle #3 - During the month of December only, play on any road underdog that was an underdog in each of the last two games (73-43-1, 62.9% ATS): Bettors generally tend to stay away from teams that are often underdogs at any time of year, but that becomes even more pronounced in December when these constant dogs are either playing playoff contenders or are underdogs to non-playoff contenders, which is an indication of how poorly perceived the teams are. Thus, books are able to pad these lines and still get public money on the favorites. This angle split 1-1 in Week 16. Qualifiers: Arizona +17 to 18, Baltimore +3 to 4, Jacksonville +4, Kansas City +17 to 18 and Philadelphia +7 to 8.

 It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started  to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs taking on conference foes that they are quite familiar with.. This angle won its only play in Week 16. Qualifier: St. Louis +11.

Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are becoming overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take some courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle lost its only play in Week 16. Qualifiers: Kansas City +17 to 18 at Denver and Dallas + 3 to 4 at Washington.

Double angles, ARIZ, JAX, Philly

Triple angle KC