All Forums | MLB Betting

THE CHASERS LOUNGE...

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 23588
Posts: 265
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 639
Posted: #51
Andy Reid has never lost the game after a bye since becoming Head Coach of the Eagles.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2006
Posts: 3541
Posted: #52
I still like the Dolphins, as they fit into the G1 After a Bye look. I don't like the Saints, as they fall under the G2 After a Bye black cloud. I'm keeping the Fins.
1.33 gets 2.49U
10/24/12 8:05pm Dallas Mavericks/Oklahoma City Thunder Over 191 
10/24/12 8:05pm Oklahoma City Thunder +1½  vs Dallas Mavericks 
10/24/12 8:30pm  NBA Basketball  612 Miami Heat -1½  vs Washington Wizards 
10/25/12 7:30pm  College Football  105 Clemson -2  vs Wake Forest 
10/28/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  231 Miami Dolphins +11  vs New York Jets 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 2768
Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by randognsac:

Andy Reid has never lost the game after a bye since becoming Head Coach of the Eagles.

And that is the ONLY reason they opened as a FAVE. Reid loses this week and his job at the end of the year
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 909
Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

If you have any original idea or concept in any sport where a 3 Game Chase can be successful Im interested in hearing. Maybe we can help make it better.

Some criteria...
-3 game window involving the same team
-juice never exceeding -120
-FG, 1H, 1Q all are an option
-totals or sides


Im not looking for anyone to post their Cards, but if a play is posted, please back it up with an Angle or Original Trend. Thx

hey shady I sent a fiend request.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 639
Posted: #55
I wasn't done, accidentally clicked submit.

I am not sure if that will hold up this year or not, but it might be the last time to use that trend. Andy will not be the Eagles Coach next year.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 296
Posted: #56
Since this thread started as a chase the dog, my first chase of the series is home team scores first +155.  Juice on the away is -185.

Some additional stats:

Away team has scored first in the first game of the series all 6 times this year. 2011 was 4-3 and 2010 was 3-4.  Looking for a little regression back to the mean.

Detroit 2012 Season:
Scored first in 14 of 19 away Verlander starts
Scored first in 32 of 56 first games in a series
Scored first in 47 of 86 away games
Scored first in 14 of 28 away first games in series
Started away in both playoff series away and scored first
Scored first last 6 games (4 away)


SF 2012 season:
Scored first in 10 of 17 home Zito starts
Scored first in 29 of 57 first games in a series
Scored first in 42 of 87 home games
Scored first in 14 of 29 home first games in series
Started at home both 2012 series and away scored first
Scored first last 4 games (2 home)

All trends are pointing to DET scoring first, but taking SF as the home scores first dog on this one.  

BOL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 33
Posted: #57
[Quote: Originally Posted by mjnorman59] Since this thread started as a chase the dog, my first chase of the series is home team scores first +155.  Juice on the away is -185.

Some additional stats:

Away team has scored first in the first game of the series all 6 times this year. 2011 was 4-3 and 2010 was 3-4.  Looking for a little regression back to the mean.

Detroit 2012 Season:
Scored first in 14 of 19 away Verlander starts
Scored first in 32 of 56 first games in a series
Scored first in 47 of 86 away games
Scored first in 14 of 28 away first games in series
Started away in both playoff series away and scored first
Scored first last 6 games (4 away)


SF 2012 season:
Scored first in 10 of 17 home Zito starts
Scored first in 29 of 57 first games in a series
Scored first in 42 of 87 home games
Scored first in 14 of 29 home first games in series
Started at home both 2012 series and away scored first
Scored first last 4 games (2 home)

All trends are pointing to DET scoring first, but taking SF as the home scores first dog on this one.  

BOL

Hi all,

I don't post very often but I have been following these posts for awhile and have done some backchecking through McShady's posts and I have never seen the "chase" fully explained. Is there a link to it?

It seems like you choose a prop/total/side (i.e. team scores first etc.) preferably at +money at the beginning of a series. You then bet it until it wins. Is there a doubling of each bet after a loss to guarantee profit or what is the strategy?

Sorry if this comes across as elementary, I just am fascinated by this so I wanted to ask.

Thanks in advance.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2006
Posts: 3541
Posted: #58
Yep, chase until you win.

100 Loss

200 Loss

400 Win

100 Total Win after Losses
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 373
Posted: #59

Any stats on WS home team dog 1st game results?

Proline is offering SF as a +120-125 dog, last time I saw Verly throw against NL was the all-star game, he didn’t do too well.

Semper mentioned about giants playing good ball in front of Zito all year and the vet doesn't get rattled in these situations. His last 3 starts the Giants won and total went over. Wondering what Semper's gut is telling him on this game? My gut tells me all the pressure is on Detroit to win this game, SF makes a good move throwing Zito in to face Verly, if SF can win this one that is huge momentum boost for SF and vice versa for Detroit if they lose.

But I am not a baseball guy so what do I know lol.

 

Hey Nads, how do NFL teams having played 3 straight games at home (SF) fare going on road as a fave? They also did not cover ATS last 2 home games but they get 11 days off since last game was Thursday against SEA and ARIZ up on Monday night.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 2768
Posted: #60
  1. 10/24/2012 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 119 Manchester City (UCL)/Ajax (UCL)* Over 2½ -145 
  2. 10/24/2012 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 122 Real Madrid (UCL)/Borussia Dortmund (UCL)* Over 2½ -145 
2TP +185


some CL action
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 2768
Posted: #61
shit! screwed the page. sorry
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 373
Posted: #62

NFl

Minny -6.5 at hone

STL +7.5 at home

Carolina +8.5 on road second game after a bye they did not cover against Crybabies (Chicago 2nd game off a bye week game, proline set number was 5.5 so Bears covered set line after bye week lol that hook is so important)

SF -6.5 on road

NCAAFB

Clemson -12.5 on road

Cinncy +4.5 on road

 

CFL

Edmonton and Winnipeg as +4.5 dogs on road

 

Just passing some info along play what you want.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2006
Posts: 3541
Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

shit! screwed the page. sorry

Nope, looks okay to me.

As many winners as you throw up, you are welcome to screw up EVERY page in this thread. lol
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 1090
Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Newfie_Bullet:

NFl

Minny -6.5 at hone

STL +7.5 at home

Carolina +8.5 on road second game after a bye they did not cover against Crybabies (Chicago 2nd game off a bye week game, proline set number was 5.5 so Bears covered set line after bye week lol that hook is so important)

SF -6.5 on road

NCAAFB

Clemson -12.5 on road

Cinncy +4.5 on road

 

CFL

Edmonton and Winnipeg as +4.5 dogs on road

 

Just passing some info along play what you want.


St.Louis game is in London
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 33
Posted: #65
Thanks kinggeorge27 for the clarification. Great thread and philosphy. Thanks for all of the analysis and information guys!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 383
Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

  1. 10/24/2012 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 119 Manchester City (UCL)/Ajax (UCL)* Over 2½ -145 
  2. 10/24/2012 2:45 PM European Cup Soccer 122 Real Madrid (UCL)/Borussia Dortmund (UCL)* Over 2½ -145 
2TP +185


some CL action

Looks solid. I am looking into the games right now. I am leaning for a City victory against Ajax. They just are not good enough to play teams like City and Real Madrid. They more or less always disappoint against teams like this. 

Odds 1.943 on City, that is in my opinion very well paid. I might w8 and livebet the game, aften i see the first 10-15 min. If Ajax have anything to give it will be shown in the first part of the game. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 383
Posted: #67
it just changed to PK, might wait to right before kick off with the bet. 

Expected lineup:
Ajax (4-1-2-3): Vermeer; Van Rihjn, Alderweireld, Moisander, Blind; Poulsen; Eriksen, De Jong; Boerrigter, Babel, Sana.

Man City (4-3-2-1): Hart; Zabaleta, Richards, Lescott, Kolarov; Barry, Touré, Nasri; Agüero, Tevez; Džeko.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 3075
Posted: #68
I got SF +155 on series yesterday and I don't see it any higher today, so that was lucky for me. If they lose game 1, I will come back for a play on the larger odds.

I just like the way they are playing right now. Det didn't have much of a challenge vs Yanks and SF fought hard to beat ST Louis.


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 67
Posted: #69
Game one I like SF RL and Under
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 144
Posted: #70
looks good. im on arsenal vs schalke over 2 1/2 tho.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 3075
Posted: #71
I've already locked in Carolina +8 and NYG ML -130. With Sean Lee out for the cryboys, the line is going to keep going up. If you like it, get it NOW!

Angle out. GL everyone!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 383
Posted: #72
A little statistics for the geeks. Real Madrid have only won 1 of 23 attempts vs german teams in germany. I am not touching that match, but solid statistics for 1x
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 383
Posted: #73
Havent made any bets yet, Ajax is starting strong as expected, so looking for at potential live bet. Will post if i make any bets. 

BOL with CL tonight
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 296
Posted: #74
Some more prop stats for those interested.

Looked back and Game 1 of WS last 10 years:

Home scored first 6 / 10
Score first wins 8 / 10
Score in first inning 7 / 10 - thought this would be lower as likely best pitchers are starting.

BOL
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 199
Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by Newfie_Bullet:

Hey Nads, how do NFL teams having played 3 straight games at home (SF) fare going on road as a fave? They also did not cover ATS last 2 home games but they get 11 days off since last game was Thursday against SEA and ARIZ up on Monday night.

Since 2005
Team Favored on Road after 3 straight home games:
p:H and pp:H and ppp:H and AF and season>2005
5-13 ATS (average line -5.5)
9-9 O/U

Team Favored on Road after 3 straight home games, and not covering the last 2
p:H and p:ATSL and pp:H and pp:ATSL and ppp:H and AF and season>2005
3-3 ATS (average line -5.2)
2-4 O/U
All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.