trend betting or "streak" betting will never work in any sport. Statistically speaking there is no such thing as being "hot" or "cold". If you flip a coin 100 times the chances that you flip heads or tails 5 straight times at least once is about 75%. There is half a chance you will flip heads or tails 7 straight. A pitcher who has gone 0-3 with a 10 ERA over 3 games has also not pitched many innings and might come back looking like Cy Young. Such was the case with Darvish. I'm kicking myself for laying off Tex
Hindsight is 20/20.
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Quote Originally Posted by URZ262:
trend betting or "streak" betting will never work in any sport. Statistically speaking there is no such thing as being "hot" or "cold". If you flip a coin 100 times the chances that you flip heads or tails 5 straight times at least once is about 75%. There is half a chance you will flip heads or tails 7 straight. A pitcher who has gone 0-3 with a 10 ERA over 3 games has also not pitched many innings and might come back looking like Cy Young. Such was the case with Darvish. I'm kicking myself for laying off Tex
trend betting or "streak" betting will never work in any sport. Statistically speaking there is no such thing as being "hot" or "cold". If you flip a coin 100 times the chances that you flip heads or tails 5 straight times at least once is about 75%. There is half a chance you will flip heads or tails 7 straight. A pitcher who has gone 0-3 with a 10 ERA over 3 games has also not pitched many innings and might come back looking like Cy Young. Such was the case with Darvish. I'm kicking myself for laying off Tex
Not logical to compare flipping a coin with baseball players. More likely that a guy who has gone 0-3 with 10 ERA might come back looking like Bobo Holloman, instead of Cy Young. What is your theory of handicapping?
0
Quote Originally Posted by URZ262:
trend betting or "streak" betting will never work in any sport. Statistically speaking there is no such thing as being "hot" or "cold". If you flip a coin 100 times the chances that you flip heads or tails 5 straight times at least once is about 75%. There is half a chance you will flip heads or tails 7 straight. A pitcher who has gone 0-3 with a 10 ERA over 3 games has also not pitched many innings and might come back looking like Cy Young. Such was the case with Darvish. I'm kicking myself for laying off Tex
Not logical to compare flipping a coin with baseball players. More likely that a guy who has gone 0-3 with 10 ERA might come back looking like Bobo Holloman, instead of Cy Young. What is your theory of handicapping?
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