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The one and only MLB System!!!

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
I frequent the boards here but don't post. Anyhow I currently bet on baseball almost as a  full time profession. If I didn't love my job so much I would bet on baseball only. I met someone about 7-8 years ago and he told me about this system and I've been playing it ever since.

Since playing this and no other sports betting whatsoever since 2005 I have profited somewhere in the $70 000 - $80 000 neighborhood. I wager $50 on all qualified plays no more no less no matter how much I may love or not love the pick (very important imo). I don't even really watch that much baseball. I simply see which games qualify wager on them and come back the next morning to do it all over again.

On top of discipline and money management there are 3 very easy keys to follow to make this work as history has proven.

Just a heads up all wagers are bets on the underdog moneyline.

1. Don't bet against any 3 game streaks whether it be losing or winning streaks.

2. Do no bet any underdog which opens at more than +150.

3. Eliminate all games going up against top 20 pitchers according to ERA.


On a decent day there should be anywhere from 2-8 games that qualify.


Best of luck!




 
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Posted: #2
 
Legend
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Posted: #3
 
Veteran
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Posted: #4

Sounds good. Do you wait 4 games into the season before you start this system? (as you wouldn't know whether or not key #1 qualifies)

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #5
I'll be keeping an eye on this.
 
Legend
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Posted: #6

Okay so the system in a nutshell is basically betting on the underdog of any near coin flip game where your team isn't facing a top twenty pitcher (based on ERA) and your team isn't facing a team on a winning streak or losing streak (of three games or more).  Honestly I don't use a system but that just makes sense of games I would look at too for value.  I will watch your system and wish you well but $70k on $50 bets seems pretty crazy.  BOL!

 
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Posted: #7

I don't think he meant per year. As I understood it he meant since 2005, which is possible given the amount of games played per day and the +juice on them.

 
Legend
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Yungstar:

I don't think he meant per year. As I understood it he meant since 2005, which is possible given the amount of games played per day and the +juice on them.

That makes more sense.  Still that is $10k plus per year on $50 bets.  Still very tough to do.  If he does it this year then well I will stand corrected.  BOL all the same.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

Okay so the system in a nutshell is basically betting on the underdog of any near coin flip game where your team isn't facing a top twenty pitcher (based on ERA) and your team isn't facing a team on a winning streak or losing streak (of three games or more).  Honestly I don't use a system but that just makes sense of games I would look at too for value.  I will watch your system and wish you well but $70k on $50 bets seems pretty crazy.  BOL!


Precisely. Yes that is over the span beginning 2005-present not annually. If I were too up the wager amount maybe but $50 per game is my comfort zone.

 
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Posted: #10
When do you start this?  Do you use last year's ERA for the first month or couple of weeks? Thanks
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by jcjcjc24:

When do you start this?  Do you use last year's ERA for the first month or couple of weeks? Thanks


Yes you can do this but historically I personally sit on the sidelines and watch the first couple of weeks.
 
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Posted: #12
where do you find the rankings of top 20 pitchers by ERA?
 
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Posted: #13
very interesting
 
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Posted: #14
 
Legend
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by GDayMate:

where do you find the rankings of top 20 pitchers by ERA?

Dude there are TONS of sources.  I personally would use this one.  BOL!

 
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Posted: #16
i find this extremely hard to believe...
 
Veteran
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Posted: #17
in fact, if this does really work (which I highly doubt), I'd call you an idiot for even sharing it
 
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Posted: #18
i kinda find it hard to believe too but will test it out over the first few weeks of the season and see if i cant make sum $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

Dude there are TONS of sources.  I personally would use this one.  BOL!

Thanks
 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by drose1:

i find this extremely hard to believe...


If I could prove this to you I would. Underdogs in general hit at an approximate 43 percent rate.

Through this screening it brings the win rate much closer to 50 percent We don't even need 50 percent to make money. Trust me it works.


 
Prospect
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Posted: #21
I don't currently have the time to post as I don't have a computer available at my place of work.

Just wondering if anyone here has the time and would volunteer to post the daily picks using my 3 qualifying keys so we can track this season long so I can prove this works?
 
All-Star
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Posted: #22
 
Captain
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by drose1:

in fact, if this does really work (which I highly doubt), I'd call you an idiot for even sharing it

Reading your previous posts, sounds like you know just about everything.(which I highly doubt).You just sound to me like a loser venting

 
Prospect
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Posted: #24
He means this system: https://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/story.cfm/story/571442/

And use Sagarin rankings, not ERA.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Top 20 pitchers era in each league or overall ?
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