Simulator or no simulator you will be a long time loser betting the juicy favs. No one needs a simulator to make the obvious plays. If just taking favs was profitable, the books would be out business. If you do this for a living using just the simulator`s juicy pics you will be homeless soon. That`s just fact as history will back up that statement.
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Simulator or no simulator you will be a long time loser betting the juicy favs. No one needs a simulator to make the obvious plays. If just taking favs was profitable, the books would be out business. If you do this for a living using just the simulator`s juicy pics you will be homeless soon. That`s just fact as history will back up that statement.
Simulator or no simulator you will be a long time loser betting the juicy favs. No one needs a simulator to make the obvious plays. If just taking favs was profitable, the books would be out business. If you do this for a living using just the simulator`s juicy pics you will be homeless soon. That`s just fact as history will back up that statement.
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Quote Originally Posted by monte97:
Simulator or no simulator you will be a long time loser betting the juicy favs. No one needs a simulator to make the obvious plays. If just taking favs was profitable, the books would be out business. If you do this for a living using just the simulator`s juicy pics you will be homeless soon. That`s just fact as history will back up that statement.
In a counter argument I’d say, A juicy fav would be considered something more along the lines of -180 and above.
I don’t typically bet those. If you go through my plays in the past 2 months? I hang around -140ish. Not to mention I have plenty of picks at +120 and higher. Those aren’t considered a “juicy fave” based on any math. If you just randomly select “juicy faves” at prices -180 or higher with no analysis whatsoever? You’ll lose more than you win for sure.
another counter argument? I’ve got years of profitable history to back up my confidence and patience and discipline and a really big bankroll because of it I leave emotions out and let the picks do their job
However? I appreciate the opinions! Thats what we’re here for. To share and have conversations!
bol to everyone.
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@monte97
In a counter argument I’d say, A juicy fav would be considered something more along the lines of -180 and above.
I don’t typically bet those. If you go through my plays in the past 2 months? I hang around -140ish. Not to mention I have plenty of picks at +120 and higher. Those aren’t considered a “juicy fave” based on any math. If you just randomly select “juicy faves” at prices -180 or higher with no analysis whatsoever? You’ll lose more than you win for sure.
another counter argument? I’ve got years of profitable history to back up my confidence and patience and discipline and a really big bankroll because of it I leave emotions out and let the picks do their job
However? I appreciate the opinions! Thats what we’re here for. To share and have conversations!
I will now apologize for my hasty statement. I had not read your entire thread. The pages I read had -159,-152,-175,-240 and -155 favs. I thought the whole thread was like that. I read your entire thread now and realize I was wrong to lump you in with people who just bet bigger favs. Your response was classy. I wish you and your simulator picks nothing but the best!!!!!!!
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I will now apologize for my hasty statement. I had not read your entire thread. The pages I read had -159,-152,-175,-240 and -155 favs. I thought the whole thread was like that. I read your entire thread now and realize I was wrong to lump you in with people who just bet bigger favs. Your response was classy. I wish you and your simulator picks nothing but the best!!!!!!!
most text and forum arguments usually start with simple misunderstandings. In my experience? Always best to keep it cool. And just try to break the ice and help each other get a better understanding of where we are both coming from.
bol to you as well!
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@monte97
Aww thanks for the good wishes!
most text and forum arguments usually start with simple misunderstandings. In my experience? Always best to keep it cool. And just try to break the ice and help each other get a better understanding of where we are both coming from.
@Biscuiteater1 No it would be a 1 unit win. I don’t adjust my unit size based on the odds for example. My unit size is $1000 a unit. So on the Phillies? I bet $4000 flat. $3000 on the rays. And $2000 on the giants. I made about a $800-900 profit.
Care to explain how you win a unit when you FLAT bet a favorite that wins. The 800 - 900 that you picked up is still not equal to a unit.
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Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
@Biscuiteater1 No it would be a 1 unit win. I don’t adjust my unit size based on the odds for example. My unit size is $1000 a unit. So on the Phillies? I bet $4000 flat. $3000 on the rays. And $2000 on the giants. I made about a $800-900 profit.
Care to explain how you win a unit when you FLAT bet a favorite that wins. The 800 - 900 that you picked up is still not equal to a unit.
Its important to have a bankroll when sports betting. So for example?
my unit sizes are based on a 200 unit bankroll. So being down about 10% of that? Shouldn’t be a cause of concern if you have history and patience and also discipline. The sports books biggest edge against us is emotions.
you can’t let a slide deter you from something that has been proven to work. I am new to sharing my pics here but Ive made a living on this simulator for several years. If you go back on even just the post here? I have been up and down. Plus units. Minus units. Plus units. Minus units. I’ll be back up for sure.
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@TheGreatFalconi
Its important to have a bankroll when sports betting. So for example?
my unit sizes are based on a 200 unit bankroll. So being down about 10% of that? Shouldn’t be a cause of concern if you have history and patience and also discipline. The sports books biggest edge against us is emotions.
you can’t let a slide deter you from something that has been proven to work. I am new to sharing my pics here but Ive made a living on this simulator for several years. If you go back on even just the post here? I have been up and down. Plus units. Minus units. Plus units. Minus units. I’ll be back up for sure.
I’ve had some a +150 dog since posting here? And I still counted that as a flat unit win. Rather than a 150% unit win. You know? The units are what matter overall. Ill calculate the actual dollar amount once I’m done for the season.
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@Biscuiteater1
Well overall it works both ways.
I’ve had some a +150 dog since posting here? And I still counted that as a flat unit win. Rather than a 150% unit win. You know? The units are what matter overall. Ill calculate the actual dollar amount once I’m done for the season.
@Biscuiteater1 Well overall it works both ways. I’ve had some a +150 dog since posting here? And I still counted that as a flat unit win. Rather than a 150% unit win. You know? The units are what matter overall. Ill calculate the actual dollar amount once I’m done for the season.
GLuck bud
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Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
@Biscuiteater1 Well overall it works both ways. I’ve had some a +150 dog since posting here? And I still counted that as a flat unit win. Rather than a 150% unit win. You know? The units are what matter overall. Ill calculate the actual dollar amount once I’m done for the season.
Good luck today ole chap. Ups and downs in all sports betting for sure so you can’t judge anyone by 1 month…I had two bad weeks to start the season and I had some lovely hecklers then 2 months of solid gold which put me over 250u then it’s been about -80u since mid June for me but I think at one point in July I was up only 80u which means I had lost over 150u in one month! I tried changing a few things and guess what!? It cost me there were two days in particular where I didn’t place a few picks in my robins and they went 6-1 and 2-0 those two times which cost me a lot. Point is stick with your system and at worst you’ll end up slightly above even. I’m rooting for you…mostly because when you start doing well I can put more on my picks that agree lol final thought is have you thought of keeping some form of record where you separate your bets based off of confidence in the pick or lines? It hasn’t helped me yet but if things are consistent yearly I could start betting more on my -1 and less on my big 145+ dogs cause that’s what my results are showing me. Also I stopped betting on the chw cause they never win in my system, or at all. Have a splendid day good sir
Then I look at U & the worlds alright with me just 1 look at U & I kno its gona B a lovely
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Good luck today ole chap. Ups and downs in all sports betting for sure so you can’t judge anyone by 1 month…I had two bad weeks to start the season and I had some lovely hecklers then 2 months of solid gold which put me over 250u then it’s been about -80u since mid June for me but I think at one point in July I was up only 80u which means I had lost over 150u in one month! I tried changing a few things and guess what!? It cost me there were two days in particular where I didn’t place a few picks in my robins and they went 6-1 and 2-0 those two times which cost me a lot. Point is stick with your system and at worst you’ll end up slightly above even. I’m rooting for you…mostly because when you start doing well I can put more on my picks that agree lol final thought is have you thought of keeping some form of record where you separate your bets based off of confidence in the pick or lines? It hasn’t helped me yet but if things are consistent yearly I could start betting more on my -1 and less on my big 145+ dogs cause that’s what my results are showing me. Also I stopped betting on the chw cause they never win in my system, or at all. Have a splendid day good sir
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