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There's a good chance Cliff Lee will come back to earth today in Toronto

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
umm... lee has let up 1 run in 5 games over 42 innings...the guy is on FIRE!   I will be on the toronto tt under even if it is 2...
 
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Posted: #27
Thanks for Fla on Saturday.  I think its the same setup for Det today. Great insight on Tor. As always thanks for your help.
 
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Posted: #28
MrBator......your heads firmly buried in your asshole....take against cliff lee and he and that big boog ryan howard will have their cocks in ur ass all afternoon
 
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Posted: #29
IMO- Don't over analyze baseball- just play the better team. 
8 out 10 times the better team wins. 
I'm on Philly again as I have been. 
I have been making much $$$ betting Philly/Boston/Yankees last few weeks. High juice- but a whole lot of wins.

GL
 
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Posted: #30

Quote Originally Posted by Jersey973:

problem is....Jo-Jo Reyes is terrible, so even if Cliff Lee is off, Philly should still be able to score runs. 

 

 

exactly...

 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by GoBigOrGoHome:

MrBator......your heads firmly buried in your asshole....take against cliff lee and he and that big boog ryan howard will have their cocks in ur ass all afternoon

 

 
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Posted: #32
I cant fathom why you would pick this game to play instead of finding another game on this gigantic July 3rd Card. 

i love your analysis, but what would prompt you to undertake such research is beyond me... One thing Ill say is that this may be a great OVER play, as lee may very well get hit, and Jo Jo will most likely get shelled by a potent confident philly offense. 
 
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Posted: #33
nice. I'm going over 7.5... Gluck bator
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by docterd597:

The only problem here is Jo-Jo Reyes but Im gonna take a shot on the Jays  and the over.
  and that is a big problem, GL anyways Mr. B 
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by MojoGypson:

IMO- Don't over analyze baseball- just play the better team. 
8 out 10 times the better team wins. 
I'm on Philly again as I have been. 
I have been making much $$$ betting Philly/Boston/Yankees last few weeks. High juice- but a whole lot of wins.

GL

 

so, by your theory, there have been a plethora of teams that have won 129 games in a season........... 

 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by GoBigOrGoHome:

MrBator......your heads firmly buried in your asshole....take against cliff lee and he and that big boog ryan howard will have their cocks in ur ass all afternoon

 

 
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Posted: #37
Hey Bator,

The ironic twist in this matchup is that Reyes has controlled the Philly lineup in the past, particularly their leadoff guy, Rollins, which I think is an added edge, however slight,  when a pitcher can keep the no. 1 slot off the bases.

Lee may beat the Jays today, but he won't be fooling them with his stuff. They've hit him well in the past. I'm looking hard at the over and/or the Jays + 1 1/2.

Thanks for the great writeup and analysis.

RT2
 
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Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by docterd597:

The only problem here is Jo-Jo Reyes but Im gonna take a shot on the Jays  and the over.

 

 

That's my plan, too.

 
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Posted: #39

Quote Originally Posted by legendsdc:

I wish I had seen your thoughts on fading Holland in another thread last night before I backed the Rangers.  Just not sure if JoJo isn't worse than Lee on an off day.  GL

 

 

Yup, and that's why our brilliant minds are beginning to think over 7.5 might be good.

 
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Posted: #40
Bator, so you don't believe in not predicting when a trend is going to end? Meaning I was always taught to never predict when a pitcher is going to come out of a slump or go into a slump, or when a hot teams winning streak is going to end but wait until they actually DO lose.

what do you think
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Jim_Tressel:

MrBator, if possible I'm interested to get your insight in the way you go from a lean to a play. 

You have uncovered this great statistic, you will be able to get a great price. I know you said you are contemplating a play, what will/would make you change this from a lean to an actual play?



 

 

I pay close attention to who around here is on board with me, and who isn't, and of course, the price I get plays a big role in determining how much I risk or if I risk anything at all.

 
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Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by WillyBilliams:

Thanks Mr. B   always great insight!!  I took Lee last night -165, hoping to buy back Reyes at +170 or better and play the over 7.5

 

 

Good plan.   

 
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Posted: #43
Good Luck mr.bator

 
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Posted: #44
Philly
 
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Posted: #45
MrBator, thoughts on Det today same setup as Fla on Saturday. Would love to hear your thinking
 
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Posted: #46

Quote Originally Posted by rooster16:

Thanks for Fla on Saturday.  I think its the same setup for Det today.

 

 

It's not the same.  Detroit is a good team, they're at home, and they're favored.  The situation Friday night in Texas (a 15-5 Rangers win) and June 20th in Boston (a 14-5 Red Sox win) involved heavily favored home teams building big leads over their opponents which then turned into laughably big leads.  The failure of the road underdog to keep a lopsided game from becoming a joke of a game made it difficult (in my opinion) for the heavy home favorite to avoid serious complacency the next night. 

 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by GoBigOrGoHome:

MrBator......your heads firmly buried in your asshole....take against cliff lee and he and that big boog ryan howard will have their cocks in ur ass all afternoon

 

 

 

Judging by your imagery, I suspect your personal gay porn library to be vast.  Take it easy on that stuff.  The deviance of the material is seeping into other areas of your life and I'll bet you don't even realize it.

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

It's not the same.  Detroit is a good team, they're at home, and they're favored.  The situation Friday night in Texas (a 15-5 Rangers win) and June 20th in Boston (a 14-5 Red Sox win) involved heavily favored home teams building big leads over their opponents which then turned into laughably big leads.  The failure of the road underdog to keep a lopsided game from becoming a joke of a game made it difficult (in my opinion) for the heavy home favorite to avoid serious complacency the next night. 

Detroit has been putrid lately.  I wouldn't throw a nickel on those bums as favorites.

 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by MojoGypson:

IMO- Don't over analyze baseball- just play the better team. 
8 out 10 times the better team wins. 

 

 

I used to think like this - back when I was 21 and got introduced to betting on baseball.  The next thing I got introduced to was something called a "payment plan."

 
 
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Posted: #50
Thank you Bator
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