Thusday MLB Play and why?

Record:  7-0 posting baseball plays:

5/29 - Dodgers +1.15 won 5-1 over St. Louis -WINNER

5/30 – Angels -1.25 won 9-3 over Atlanta -WINNER

6/1 – Rockies +1.25 won 6-3 over Seattle - WINNER

6/2 – Royals/Indians -1.10 UNDER 9 Runs final score 4-0 - WINNER

6/4 – Cleveland -1.19 won 8-0 over KC Royals - WINNER

6/5 – Phillies -1.20 TT OVER 4.5 scored 11 runs – WINNER

6/6 – Houston - Even TT OVER 5.5 scored 7 runs - WINNER

 Houston Team Total OVER 5.5 -1.22

Expect this to go up to 6, so getting it out early.

This is not a TYPO.  I am taking this same play from 6/6 today.  Hammel is way off track and if Houston can score 5 when Vargas starts, what will they do with Hammel on the mount.

Very busy this morning.  BACK LATER with complete write-up and possibly one additional play for today.

BOL!

On straight plays if you are playing ACTION and not making plays based on Pitching Match-ups, you are making a big mistake.

Plays are based on Pitching Matchups and most of my write-up was about Keuchel.  When he was scratched my wager was voided and so was the play.  Sorry you lost, but hopefully you learned to not make ACTION plays.

WRITE-UP:  Houston Team Total OVER 5.5

-Jason Hammel has been awful for the Royals this season with a team win/loss record of 2-9, an ERA of 5.95 and he has been worse in his last 5 with a 6.30 ERA allowing 7 HR’s.

-No secret, Houston is on fire scoring 94 runs in their last 11 games.  I expect them to hang 7 or 8 runs on KC and Hammel tonight.

-In Hammel’s last two starts opponents have scored 15 runs vs. Kansas City.

-In Hammel’s last 5 starts he has given up 37 hits and 22 runs, approx. 1 run per inning pitched.

-If anything, the weather will benefit hitters tonight with the wind blowing out to center at 6 mph.

-Over is 6-1 in Blaser’s last 7 games behind home plate…..a good trend for runs to be scored.

-In their last 11 games, Houston has exceeded the 5.5 run total in every game except yesterday scoring 7, 7, 6, 7, 17, 7, 16, 8, 7, 7 and 5 runs yesterday vs. Vargas one of the best pitchers in MLB this year.  Hard to not see them putting up at least 6 on Hammel tonight.

-In their last 11 games, Kansas City has given up a total of 65 runs, with two shutouts.  In the 9 games that KC allowed runs, they allowed an average of 7.3 runs.  Houston is the highest scoring team they have faced this year, so that spells a problem for KC.  

-Last night Houston scored 5 runs against Vargas, a veteran lefty this is having the best season of his career with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 2.08 and 1.096 WHIP.  Hammel is no Vargas.

Houston 1.5 runs will also get some of my money tonight.

In the 22 win that Houston has on the road this year, they have covered the -1.5 runs 19 times.  This also works well for them exceeding the 5.5 runs.

BOL Tonight!!!

Also, made a pretty good wager on Seattle/Minn OVER 9 this morning, although not part of my ONE PLAY PER DAY Post, just because people have asked for other leans.

Yes sir......should have said, last night when Vargas started the ASTRO's were still able to score 5 runs.