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**Tizzy's Tizztastic MLB Thread (2 plays a day)**

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Posted: #26
Thanks man , well let me know what you think 

Here is small very elementary reasoning on behalf of the picks 

I think statistically Texas game 2 should be the play , Miami , Philly , and dodgers are the last 3 teams he's faced , he only has 12 strikeouts all month and Texas should hit him well 

Angels are rolling historically play good vs dodgers , and greinke is not pitching as well as it seems , his last outing he faced another former team and he didn't fare well only going 4 innings I believe 

Hughes is due for a good outing and its hard to back the mets regardless with their history vs the Yankees the Yankees are catching good value ,


Braves Toronto over , buehrlie is statistically one of the worst pitchers in the league and Hudson should have a tough time in Toronto , I believe I a score of 7-4 here 
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Posted: #27
The tizz what is your read on these 
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Posted: #28
Hey trapboss! ummm, Over in Tor is quite good i think.
i have added value with injured pen of braves as well, thats been struggling w/out their top setup men. ATL had the late game, Tor been mashing at home for awhile now. Marcum just dominated the braves last night, and although they can hit Buerhle, hes crafty with his junk and has been better about his game. There's some holes in that lineup today. TOR can definitely hit their way today and has an underated bullpen. Hudson has a great sinkerball pitcher, saavy as well. But hes gonna hav to do a hell of job tonight to really be efficient and get deep, but from they dynamics and metrics here. I dont see it. Over is still good if u want to play it i think.

Im pretty sure the best play here is:
TOR BlueJays ML -105
4*


 
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Posted: #29
i dont see anything with yanks game, the Mets could ver well win this as well. Sure hughes is due, but what if he isnt? Mets cant hit well, but he hasnt dominated them. Neise is struggling now, but hes always pitched will vs the yanks. 

Angels is a pretty good play, ima call it a day.
 
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Posted: #30
last plays for today:
  • MLB:  LA Angels  ML  -115  5*
  • NHL:  Under 5 Det/Chi  -120  5*
  • NBA:  SA Spurs  +3  4*
gonna call it a day, im tired. Hawks under road dynamics plays here well with Det, they hav a formula they go with. They need to bring this series back to 7, will be grits/grind as always, and i do hope they pull it out. 
Spurs hav been the adjuster, with no counter back. MEM will dig deep, but the professional team knows they hav to be consistent every game, same mentality. They are no road chumps as well, lookin to close it out for the much needed rest. They go out and give their best shot every game.

ill recap after all games are done.
 
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Posted: #31
I was with you on Cards and Tigers RL.  Bullpen and not producing with the bases loaded in 7th and 8th innings costs us on Tiger RL.

I will keep an eye on your picks
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by cjm2008:

I was with you on Cards and Tigers RL.  Bullpen and not producing with the bases loaded in 7th and 8th innings costs us on Tiger RL. I will keep an eye on your picks

absolutely, but we had incredible odds going in the late innings, Benoit just let us down, nothing we can do.Hes actually been shutdown with great metrics. But to maximize the profit of locks, with that i had the ML as the top grade and even with the moose of costing us the RL, still profit well with ML. Everyone is down on the RL, as so was i, but i understand formulas how to mitigate those scenarios with good understanding of mathematics, so we always come out ahead.  
 
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Posted: #33
Following laa and  chi-det u5
 
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Posted: #34
DET Tigers  ML -187  5*    
-1.5  +110  4*    Final 6-5 DET- PIT
BAL Orioles  ML +122  4*   Final 6-2 BAL - WAS

STL Cardinals ML -115 3.5*   Final 6-3 STL - KC

TOR BlueJays ML -105 4*    Final 9-3 TOR - ATL 

LA Angels  ML  -115  5*   Final 8-7 LAD - LAA (blown 6-1 lead)

NHL:  Under 5 Det/Chi  -120  5*  (4 goals in 3rd) 

NBA:  SA Spurs  +3  4*    Final 93-86 SA - MEM


 
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Posted: #35
still a good day... no one could have seen that 3rd period in the red wings/blackhawks game or the Angels melt down coming.

I look forward to your plays for tomorrow
 
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Posted: #36
MikeTizzy 5-3   +5.63u

  • MLB :  4-2   +7.63u
  • NHL 0-1   -6u
  • NBA  1-0  +4u
not really pleased with the crappy results of the late games, but will get em tmr. 2 picks.   Gooodnite! 
 
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Posted: #37
there was also a last minute goal in the 1st, which dramatically affecting my in-game odds. That was the 1st under i havnt cashed on a Hawks roadie since i cant remember when. But as a Chicagoan, i cant complain, we finally have  chance to advance and all will be forgive how badly they played vs DET. 
 
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Posted: #38
ill get em perfect, i got this. My motto, lets get ahead and stay ahead and keep building. Will shoot for perfect days more consistently.
 
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Posted: #39


 
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Posted: #40
Really liking your style bro... keep it up and ill be watching closely. Been on a heater myself and would love lowering my unit size and relaxing and following smart plays like yours.
 
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Posted: #41
tizzy, I just wanna for say thank you for all the hard work you put in are I know how much time it takes to run the numbers calculation in metrics to get the odds you do its a lot of work and takes a lot of time and I appreciate what you . I have been following you for a long time on sports mavin. I have been making quite a bit of money. I am very excited that you have finally started a thread because you have so much to offer and I learn so so so much from you once again thank you so much and don't ever go away
 
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Posted: #42
I just want to add this as well ,knowing Tizzy Forlong this is how he works if you asking about games it's no good if he doesn't see any value in all of the gate that days games he will not post it so asking him about games that he did not post is a waste of time it takes a lot of time in work what he does and he's only going to pose two pics per day on this site that's what he has told me
 
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Posted: #43
Sorry for typos on voice texting
 
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Posted: #44
I'm waiting on tizzy before i pull the trigger on anything today 
 
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Posted: #45
I also await Tizzy$ input before laying down on anything
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by Quik:

I also await Tizzy$ input before laying down on anything
Quik,  I AGREE!! I add tizzy insight and picks to my handicapping! He has always made  $$$$$$$
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by Quik:

I also await Tizzy$ input before laying down on anything
I agree with your statement I always add his information to my handicap  and always made a lot of money
 
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Posted: #48
sry fellas been caught up today, ill get these set of games done. Couldnt find time to post earlier, but checkin in now. There's a few delayed which is good
 
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Posted: #49
heavy thunderstorms and 24mph winds currently @ Nats stadium. Could def affect the 2 rookies, 1 is superior in talent to the other tho. Gausman that is, top rated prospect with K ability. But things could get funky here quick, Bal came off yesterday's win with a better lineup today. Still hitting as usual, Harper still out a long with Werth, Espinosa for Nats. 
 
 
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Posted: #50
tizzy, I jumped on the Reds and their bats are smoking hot it's looking real good
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