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TEXAS (Hunter) @ DETROIT (Galarraga)
PICK: RANGERS -125
I am back on the Rangers. Simple observation here is that Texas has found ways to win 4 of 5 since the Break, whereas the Tigers are reeling, finding ways to lose all 5, including getting swept by the Indians. Luckily, Hunter's performance this year is a good support for the pick, but I was very surprised to see that he has pitched only 9 innings away from Arlington. Tigers were smart to send Galarraga down to AAA to get some work (all in relief, I believe) over the Break. Since his "perfect game" the Tigers have won 5 of his 6 starts, but he has faded overall, with his ERA jumping nearly 2 points to 4.45.
SAN DIEGO (LeBlanc) @ ATLANTA (Jurrjens)
PICK: RUN LINE BRAVES -1.5 +125
San Diego took all three at home vs. the Diamonbacks, but they face a much tougher opponent at Atlanta (Jurrjens, Hanson, Hudson). Jurrjens is coming off of three straight good starts since coming off the DL, and he is at home, where is numbers have been very good with a 1.82 ERA in 24 IP with a 0.217 BA. LeBlanc is a much different pitcher way from the pitcher friendly Petco Park. On the road, his ERA is over 5 with opponents batting 0.312. The Braves have one of the best home records in baseball, and despite coming off a tough series with the Brewers, I always feel that I have a chance to win when backing ATL.
LA ANGELS (O'Sullivan) @ YANKEES (Hughes)
PICK: RUN LINE YANKEES -1.5 ???
I will be taking the Yankees Run Line on this game, but will have to post the odds when they are available tomorrow. Hughes has had moments of inconsistency this year, but I like his 1.18 ERA and 29-91 BB-K ratio (k/9 of 8.1). Angels have called up O'Sullivan from Salt Lake (AAA) for this start, and he was 5-5 there with an ERA of nearly 5 and a WHIP of 1.5. Of the Yankees' 58 wins this year, only 9 have been by a 1-run margin. I'd hate to lose the game on a run, but I would much rather lower the risk of losing outright and bank of the Yankees' record of winning and winning with a comfortable margin.
Sean O'Sullivan
https://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=osulli001sea
PHILADELPHIA (Moyer) @ ST. LOUIS (Carpenter)
PICK: RUN LINE CARDINALS -1.5 +105
I have nothing but a ton of respect for Moyer -- we can all only hope to be performing when we are 47. But, as we all know, Moyer depends heavily on pitch location to keep his team in the game. His WHIP this year is a very good 1.05, and he walks very few batters, but his ERA shows something different: when hitters make contact, they can pound the ball, as evidenced by his 20 HR this year. Despite that lineup, the Cardinals have really struggled to score runs this year, but I think that this matchup favors the bats tomorrow. As for Carpenter, his recent trends seem eerily similar to Ubaldo Jimenez . . . very good numbers through June and then July struggles, yet the most recent start being very good. Hopefully, the pattern ends there and Carpenter will hold down the Phillies tomorrow.
NEW YORK METS (Dickey) @ ARIZONA (Enright)
PICK: UNDER 9.5
A repeat of the Dickey's last two games would do nicely. Dickey, as he has all season, pitched very well, only to be thwarted by the lack of Mets run support. Since the Break, the Mets have only scored 9 runs in five games. Enright is a bit of an unknown. I like his ability to get the K (13 in 15 innings) so far in the big show. Before getting called up, he pitched AA and he had great numbers down there. 93 IP, 2.88 ERA, only 15 walks but 83 Ks.
Barry Enright (AA)
https://www.baseballamerica.com/statistics/players/cards/?pl_id=80575
0
dont blame 1 bit fa not betting those 2 disappointments
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