Weeble's Sunday Picks

Question

11-13-2, -4.77 yesterday.All plays are 1 unit unless otherwise noted.ML: 141-102, &#x2B;28.12 unitsRL: 23-26-9, -7.68 unitsTeam Totals: 213-188-27, &#x2B;1.35 unitsO/U: 108-101-15, -7.99 units1st-5 Sides: 1-0, &#x2B;1.00 units1st-5 Totals: 1-3, -2.37 unitsTOTAL: 487-420-49, &#x2B;12.43 unitsRays (Archer/Zimmermann) &#x2B;103M&#x27;s (Miley/Simon) -137Nats Team Total Over 4 (Scherzer/Conley) -116M&#x27;s Team Total Over 5 (Miley/Simon) -124Rays Team Total Over 4 (Archer/Zimmermann) -119Brewers (Anderson)/Mets (Syndergaard) Under 7.5, -124Rays (Archer)/Tigers (Zimmermann) Over 8, -130GL to everyone.

weeble5672 · Answer

11-13-2, -4.77 yesterday.All plays are 1 unit unless otherwise noted.ML: 141-102, &#x2B;28.12 unitsRL: 23-26-9, -7.68 unitsTeam Totals: 213-188-27, &#x2B;1.35 unitsO/U: 108-101-15, -7.99 units1st-5 Sides: 1-0, &#x2B;1.00 units1st-5 Totals: 1-3, -2.37 unitsTOTAL: 487-420-49, &#x2B;12.43 unitsRays (Archer/Zimmermann) &#x2B;103M&#x27;s (Miley/Simon) -137Nats Team Total Over 4 (Scherzer/Conley) -116M&#x27;s Team Total Over 5 (Miley/Simon) -124Rays Team Total Over 4 (Archer/Zimmermann) -119Brewers (Anderson)/Mets (Syndergaard) Under 7.5, -124Rays (Archer)/Tigers (Zimmermann) Over 8, -130GL to everyone.

weeble5672 · Answer

Adding...Red Sox (Salazar/Porcello) -116Pirates Team Total Over 4 (Bettis/Nicasio) -110Red Sox Team Total Over 4 (Salazar/Porcello) -113Phillies Team Total Under 4 (Kelly/Eickhoff) -108

weeble5672 · Answer

Adding...White Sox (Ventura/Rodon) -131Royals Team Total Under 4 (Ventura/Rodon) -124

weeble5672 · Answer

Adding...O&#x27;s (Jimenez/Weaver) -114 (2 units...won the last one. 1-1 on the season) Astros (Hamels/Keuchel) -142O&#x27;s Team Total Over 4.5 (Jimenez/Weaver) -105Jays Team Total Under 4.5 (Stroman/Hughes) &#x2B;102Jays (Stroman)/Twins (Hughes) Under 9, -110

weeble5672 · Answer

Adding...Astros Team Total Over 4 (Hamels/Keuchel) -106

capskip · Answer

Best of luck today.

RayRayK · Answer

You bet enough games???

weeble5672 · Answer

Yes. You new to my threads???

Brightsizelife · Answer

^ maybe look at his bottom lineGL Weeble

Brightsizelife · Answer

I was hoping you leaned Indians today........maybe not?

livie · Answer

GL Weebs!

Easylite · Answer

Good luck today sir, don&#x27;t need to respond to the haters I mean losers.  How about them O&#x27;s last night lol, 2 outs in the ninth and HAPPY BIRTHDAY!  As for today I will tag along with the Orioles, but reluctantly.  Jiminez was the worst sign of Buck&#x27;s career, but I assume just like Gallardo that they didn&#x27;t have much else to choose from at the time.  Also, the past few seasons the O&#x27;s simply were not the sort of team to sweep, but with two 7 gm W streaks on the year perhaps that is no longer the case.  I don&#x27;t follow how underrated teams are according to the lines (like Kipper=D) but I feel like the Orioles have been pretty undervalued thus far.  They are a good team imo that if the starter can make it 5 innings giving up 3-4 runs they will always have a chance.

KeyElement · Answer

I see the Astros in there so no BOL today. Sorry.

LogCottage · Answer

Weebs, school will be out soon.Get ready for that question numerous times.

TheActuary · Answer

Haha true.BOL today Weeble

weeble5672 · Answer

Thanks guys. Adding...Yanks (Pineda/Hahn) -130Dodgers -1 (Maeda/Rea) -127Yanks Team Total Over 4 (Pineda/Hahn) -115

Easylite · Answer

Hey Weeble, I had two questions. First, do you consider -1 to be runline? Secondly, how do you make your picks for ML and RL because I have been following you this past week and you invariably only pick favorites, which I don't understand. Especially today with your double bet being the Orioles who were away favorites with their ostensible worst pitcher. If they did not pay him so much I am sure that he would have been sent down last year and never brought back up. No offense meant here, just wondering how you judge when to pick a team that day.

weeble5672 · Answer

Adding...Cubs Team Total Over 3.5 (Hendricks/Bumgarner) &#x2B;115

weeble5672 · Answer

I take a lot of things into consideration but all of my picks are based on numbers that I&#x27;ve been tracking for many years. And you&#x27;re right...rarely do these numbers churn out ML plays on the dogs. Still...I stick with what works. The O&#x27;s play just didn&#x27;t work out but I would make the same bet again based on what I had in front of me.

Easylite · Answer

Thanks for responding sir, I won&#x27;t question you again.  I have always had respect for your organization and ability to output such quantity.  As for your RL stats do you include -1 and &#x2B;1.5/-1.5?  It just seems to me that this would make the stat less useful.  It would be nice to look at your numbers and be able to at least make an educated guess as to if your -1 would be better off if they were for example just ML risking 1.3 units or something of that sort.  I just can&#x27;t tell if the -1 are the problem or if it is the more conventional RL.  Anyway keep up the good work=D

weeble5672 · Answer

Yeah...anything not ML is RL for me (-1 included). But I&#x27;ll put it to you this way...of those 58 RL bets this year, only 2 were on the 1.5 line.

Easylite · Answer

Thank you and have a good night.  Feel free to ignore my last observation/question.  Why are your -1 picks doing poorly this season(is this normal for you)?  I find it interesting that your RL have done worse so far (perhaps just small sample size), but considering the push plus the wins would only add up to 55%, this is counterintuitive because your normal ML picks of -150 and less have a higher percent of hitting than your heavy favorites would if they were ML.  Is it luck?

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