WSOX/RAYS 1st 5

Posted games 11-2

Threads 7-1

Marquis pitching matchup at the Trop, Cease vs McClanahan, don't expect the fireworks we saw last night. Jalen Beeks tried to give the game to the Sox walking 5 in the top of the 3rd, 2 with the bases loaded. Sox scored 3 runs, WP too, without ever putting the ball in play the entire inning as they also struck out 3 times. Never seen that before. But we all know they have no BP and the Rays HR power did their job, 20 games in a row BTW, tying Seattle for the record starting a season. But I digress-

Shane is 4-0 but he's had to fight in these games, he's not as sharp as we saw pre All Star game last season. Cease walked 5 last time out against the O's but gotta believe he'll be focused for this big time pitching matchup. Teams are only hitting .145 vs Cease, .185 vs Shane. While the Sox are only batting .232 vs lefties, they do put the ball in play against them, they don't strikeout much. The Rays check in at .279 vs righties but with a higher strikeout ratio. And Cease has 29 K's in 22 innings.

I considered the Under 5 here, -3.5, but there's enough HR power to scare me off. Big walkoff win last night for the Rays, maybe they come in a little flat against a stud pitcher. I'm not betting against Tampa, I did it once against Toronto and won, posted, but I'll leave betting against the 17-3 Rays to these other posters on Covers. 3 things can happen after 5, Rays lead, WS lead, or it could be tied, and that's a strong possibility with these pitchers IMO. The play is-

White Sox +.5, -105, 1st 5

As  always good luck to all!

@mrusso

 Rameriez, Lowe and Betincourt got some nice hitting streaks going! Who can hit Cease today? 

@LoveCFB1_

 Cease is the best pitcher the Rays have faced this season. Remember, good pitching usually beats good hitting. I'm only concerned about the 1st 5. If the Sox can get 7+ out of Cease with a lead, maybe they can steal one. Like I said, I'm not betting against this Rays team unless I know they're going to lose, I bet on them. Best of luck!

Thanks for sharing Russo

@mrusso

 BOL today, keep up the solid work 

Nice play...marquee write-up.

RT2

Wow great work!!!! GL today. 

GL @mrusso 

GL today mrusso

@mrusso

 Marquis is retired from MLB.

@mrusso

Cease has a 10 game average game score of 62.4 vs 58.0 for McClanahan.  The 4.4 advantage for Cease is fairly well negated by the Rays home field advantage.

Both pitchers are Cy Young candidates.  The team with the pitcher that gets the higher game score wins 82%.

Batting is not that important.  The Yankees have had excellent batting for as long as I can remember.  On my spreadsheet, between '08 & '20, when the Yanks faced pitchers with 10 game averages of 60 or higher, they were 50.9% to win.  On another spreadsheet I have that goes '08 thru '21, teams with 15 or more home runs in their last 10 games are 404-490 (45.2%) when facing pitchers with 10 game average scores of 60 or higher.  Although I love watching and betting on strong hitting teams like the Yankees, they usually get blanked by ace pitchers like Cease & McClanahan.

Rays are 17-3 and no baseball team is that good.  Rays are 4-3 their last 7 and 3-0 their last 3.

I think the Rays are about due for shit to not go their way.

Vegas is giving Cease a 36% chance of winning.  I say considering bullpens, White Sox have closer to a 45% chance of winning with Cease.

White Sox for the win here +171.  But if you bet a big dog like this, you have to expect to lose the bet today.

Bottom of 5th starting.

Tied up 2-2!

Rays made Cease work....Should have never brought him back out for the 5th...he was at 95 pitches thru 4....and 3rd time thru lineup..

@davemsh

 Agreed.

That is on the Rays manager.

if only posters looked at what, what what, what what what what?

Rays manager has no say over white sox starter