Cali Race Talk

Qualifying Matchups - Auto Club 400 - Auto Club Speedway - Fontana, CA - Speed

Fri 3/25   101 Kyle Busch (Qualifying)   -135         
3:00PM    102 Mark Martin (Qualifying)    +105
         
Fri 3/25   103 Kurt Busch (Qualifying)   -150         
3:00PM    104 Tony Stewart (Qualifying)    +120
        
Fri 3/25   105 Greg Biffle (Qualifying)   -175         
3:00PM    106 Kevin Harvick (Qualifying)    +145
        
Fri 3/25   107 Ryan Newman (Qualifying)   -170         
3:00PM    108 Dale Earnhardt Jr (Qualifying)    +140
        
Fri 3/25   109 David Reutimann (Qualifying)   -110         
3:00PM    110 Martin Truex Jr (Qualifying)    -120 
       
Fri 3/25   111 Joey Logano (Qualifying)   -175         
3:00PM    112 Jeff Burton (Qualifying)    +145   

 

 

Sprint Cup   Auto Club 400
Fri 3/25  3:00PM

Jimmie Johnson   +325
Carl Edwards   +550
Kyle Busch   +850
Jeff Gordon   +950
Tony Stewart   +1000
Denny Hamlin   +1100
Kevin Harvick   +1300
Greg Biffle   +1600
Kurt Busch   +1700
Matt Kenseth   +1700
Clint Bowyer   +2700
Mark Martin   +2700
Dale Earnhardt Jr   +2700
Jeff Burton   +3300
Kasey Kahne   +3300
Juan Pablo Montoya   +3300
Jamie McMurray   +3800
Ryan Newman   +3800
Joey Logano   +3800
David Reutimann   +3800
Brian Vickers   +4500
Martin Truex Jr   +5500

Race Matchups - Auto Club 400 - Auto Club Speedway - Fontana, CA - Sunday, 1:00 PM EST - Fox
 
Fri 3/25   8501 Jimmie Johnson #48   -140         
3:00PM    8502 Carl Edwards #99    +110 
       
Fri 3/25   8503 Kyle Busch #18   -120         
3:00PM    8504 Tony Stewart #14    -110
         
Fri 3/25   8505 Jeff Gordon #24   -115         
3:00PM    8506 Kevin Harvick #29    -115
        
Fri 3/25   8507 Greg Biffle #16   -110         
3:00PM    8508 Denny Hamlin #11    -120
        
Fri 3/25   8509 Matt Kenseth #17   -130         
3:00PM    8510 Kurt Busch #22    +100 
       
Fri 3/25   8511 Clint Bowyer #33   -115         
3:00PM    8512 Kasey Kahne #4    -115 
       
Fri 3/25   8513 Jeff Burton #31   -110         
3:00PM    8514 Ryan Newman #39    -120
        
Fri 3/25   8515 Juan Pablo Montoya #42   -120         
3:00PM    8516 Dale Earnhardt Jr #88    -110 
       
Fri 3/25   8517 Jamie McMurray #1   -110         
3:00PM    8518 Martin Truex Jr #56    -120
        
Fri 3/25   8519 Mark Martin #5   -125         
3:00PM    8520 Joey Logano #20    -105 
       
Fri 3/25   8521 Carl Edwards #99   -140         
3:00PM    8522 Tony Stewart #14    +110  
      
Fri 3/25   8523 Kyle Busch #18   -145         
3:00PM    8524 Jeff Gordon #24    +115 
       
Fri 3/25   8525 Kevin Harvick #29   -130         
3:00PM    8526 Greg Biffle #16    +100   
     
Fri 3/25   8527 Matt Kenseth #17   -115         
3:00PM    8528 Denny Hamlin #11    -115
        
Fri 3/25   8529 Kurt Busch #22   -140         
3:00PM    8530 Clint Bowyer #33    +110
        
Fri 3/25   8531 Kasey Kahne #4   -115         
3:00PM    8532 Ryan Newman #39    -115
        
Fri 3/25   8533 Jeff Burton #31   -115         
3:00PM    8534 Juan Pablo Montoya #42    -115  
      
Fri 3/25   8535 Dale Earnhardt Jr #88   -115         
3:00PM    8536 Martin Truex Jr #56    -115
        
Fri 3/25   8537 Jamie McMurray #1   +100         
3:00PM    8538 Joey Logano #20    -130 
       
Fri 3/25   8539 Paul Menard #27   +105         
3:00PM    8540 Brian Vickers #83    -135 

3 early to win plays

 

.10 units on each

Tony Stewart   +1000
Matt Kenseth   +1700
Juan Pablo Montoya   +3300

Fri 3/25   8515 Juan Pablo Montoya #42   -120         
3:00PM    8516 Dale Earnhardt Jr #88    -110 

 

this race matchup looks like a free money play, IMO

 

Don't think JJ wins this week at all, I know he has run well there in the past, but unless they all of a sudden turn the switch back on this week, I don't think he wins, granted he will run up front, thinking around top 7 finish for him. I just don't think they have their shit together as of yet.

 

 

Like the play shooter..


Think this will be the first track where qualifying draw crap from last year should play a part in handicapping hands.

i like the rousch boys. along with busch bros 

I took Biff, Carl, and Kenseth already. I think their odds only go down. Stewart is another with great value at the moment. IMO.

Maybe Biffle or Kenseth are about to really establish Ford as the engine to beat all season.

 

think your right clepto, i can easily see ford winning the manuf. title this year.

Its been raining there for the last few hours. Hope they get the track dried and everything can go as planned.

At least there not running at Martinsville this weekend like they have in the past. Rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow is in the forecast all weekend.

heard that the weather out in Cali was going to be brutal this weekend, might be looking at a monday race

should be OK. Fontana weather forecast:

This Afternoon: Isolated showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tonight: Areas of fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. West wind between 5 and 10 mph becoming calm.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Calm wind becoming southwest between 5 and 10 mph.

Saturday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southwest wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.

Kyle in a backup car after wrecking early in practice

Biffle looks real good, kenseth not too shaby himself either

martin at the + money on Q, is goling to be a winner imo

Even before kyle went to backup martin was a good bet a +money. He has been overhauling kyle in practice the last few years and the luck of the draw has cost him...

Tony and Harvick were the 2 big dog winners on Q day +120 & +145 , can't believe how fast Kyle was after having 1 lap in the backup car, simply amazing. Didn't play anything, but I would have played that martin over Kyle Q matchup after the 1st practice for sure.

Nationwide   Royal Purple 300
Sat 3/26  1:00PM

Before Qualifying Lines
 
Kyle Busch   +125
Carl Edwards   +315
Mark Martin   +525
Joey Logano   +650
Kevin Harvick   +750
Brad Keselowski   +750
Field (any other driver)   +850
Trevor Bayne   +1900
Elliott Sadler   +2700
Justin Allgaier   +2700
Reed Sorenson   +2700

Play on Joey @ +650   .08 unit

I mean really. +125????

I like the Logano play and might take him before qualifying as well.

 I think Lagano is a good pick. He led 130 laps of 190 here last year.After he sat on the pole (finish 5th). Its hard to get a feel for this race. I mean a 2 hour practice and Carl only turned 12 laps.That tells me either he`s happy enough with his car that he could park it or he spent all the time on a qual effort. I think I`ll just wait and find a matchup when they come out.

I don't see any way you can take Kyle @ +125 unless it was in a parlay....No value whatsoever, and I don't care how good his car is, to win a race isn't easy, way too many factors can come into play, especially at Cali....fuel milages, speeding down pit rd, etc. etc.

Guys just a heads up . Don`t use jayski`s practice speeds page to cap this race. For what ever reason there numbers are incorrect. I don`t know how many are wrong but the average speed on Bowyer and Menard are wrong.

thanks looselugs, was looking at that, and a few of them did seem a bit off.

How you think Hamlin will do