Daytona Speedweeks

Sprint Unlimited Saturday Night!

Hamlin +1450
Kenseth +1300
Harvick +1150

Dale Jr +850 (cover)

H2H Matchups

Mcmurray -110 over Larson
Hamlin -110 over Edwards


   Goodluck!  

Good luck bud...Hamlin looks pretty strong again this year 

Hamlin and Jr both looked fast in practice 

You have to keep an eye on Nascar odds to get the best number they change rapidly and often, I passed on Dale Jr 5 & 6-1 for a solid week before they bumped him to +850 and that lasted all of 5 minutes. Having more than one book will help as well 

After watching practice I wish I would have laid more on him at that price I doubt he goes above 6-1 anymore, to much liability for the books..

Race Winner - Denny Hamlin +1450  

Split the H2H's 1-1

Setup nicely for the season starting with the Duel races Thursday night!

Nice hit games! Definitely makes for a great start to the season. 

Nice win GTB!

Duel Races Set

A few team notes:

Both Penske cars are split up
Hamlin is the lone JGR Toyota in race #1
Johnson is the lone Hendrick car in race #2
Kurt Busch and Harvick are also starting separate races for SHR

Can-Am Duel Race #1

    Chase Elliott
    Dale Earnhardt Jr.
    Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
    Ryan Blaney
    Austin Dillon
    Denny Hamlin
    Joey Logano
    Kasey Kahne
    Kevin Harvick
    Ty Dillon
    Aric Almirola
    Greg Biffle
    Brian Scott
    Michael McDowell
    Regan Smith
    Chris Buescher
    Bobby Labonte
    Trevor Bayne
    Clint Bowyer
    Cole Whitt
    David Ragan
    Josh Wise

Can-Am Duel Race #2

    Matt Kenseth
    Kyle Busch
    Jimmie Johnson
    Carl Edwards
    Kurt Busch
    Casey Mears
    Ryan Newman
    Paul Menard
    Brad Keselowski
    Brian Vickers
    Jamie McMurray
    Kyle Larson
    Matt DiBenetto
    Michael Waltrip
    Danica Patrick
    AJ Allmendinger
    Michael Annett
    Landon Cassill
    Robert Richardson Jr.
    David Gilliland
    Reed Sorenson
    Martin Truex Jr.

I could see Junior pushing Chase in race 1 and Kenseth leading all of race 2 with Kyle pushing him.

Here's what I came up with for odds on the Duel races for fun, we will see how far off I was when they are released 

Duel Race #1

Dale Earnhardt Jr.   4-1
Denny Hamlin   5-1
Joey Logano   6-1
Kevin Harvick   7-1
Chase Elliott   10-1
Kasey Kahne   10-1
Austin Dillon   12-1
Ryan Blaney   15-1
Ty Dillon   15-1
Greg Biffle   18-1
Aric Almirola   20-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.   20-1
Brian Scott   25-1
   
Duel Race #2

Matt Kenseth   6-1
Jimmie Johnson   6-1
Kyle Busch    7-1
Brad Keselowski   8-1
Carl Edwards   8-1
Kurt Busch    9-1
Jamie McMurray   12-1
Kyle Larson   13-1
Ryan Newman   17-1
Paul Menard   18-1
Brian Vickers   18-1
Casey Mears   20-1

What is up with Truex? He only ran a total of 3 laps in the unlimited practices. He only ran 3 laps total in both Daytona 500 practices so far. Damn that is some crazy strategy.

I did not realize that until you brought it up. I would guess it's because of the manufacture switch, they might only have so many cars available and can't afford to wreck them.

The two Saturday practice sessions where just a few laps in qualifying trim for Sunday. They still have a ton of practice time coming up I'd expect to see him out there a little more.

I like the piecing together of potential odds to win the duels Games haha....good stuff 

nice to c u over here buddy 

They are going to be off now that the #4 and #14 failed post qualifying inspection, it switched a few cars around in each race. I jumped the gun on that

This should be the correct starting grid


Can-Am Duel 1 lineup

1.    24    Chase Elliott    Hendrick Motorsports
2.    88    Dale Earnhardt Jr.    Hendrick Motorsports
3.    17    Ricky Stenhouse Jr.    Roush Fenway Racing
4.    21*    Ryan Blaney*    Wood Brothers Racing
5.    3    Austin Dillon    Richard Childress Racing
6.    11    Denny Hamlin    Joe Gibbs Racing
7.    22    Joey Logano    Team Penske
8.    5    Kasey Kahne    Hendrick Motorsports
9.    27    Paul Menard    Richard Childress Racing
10.    2    Brad Keselowski    Team Penske
11.    16    Greg Biffle    Roush Fenway Racing
12.    44    Brian Scott    Richard Petty Motorsports
13.    59*    Michael McDowell*    Circle Sport-Leavine Family Racing
14.    7    Regan Smith    Tommy Baldwin Racing
15.    34    Chris Buescher    Front Row Motorsports
16.    32    Bobby Labonte    Go Green Racing
17.    6    Trevor Bayne    Roush Fenway Racing
18.    15    Clint Bowyer    HScott Motorsports
19.    98*    Cole Whitt*    Premium Motorsports
20.    23    David Ragan    BK Racing
21.    30*    Josh Wise*    The Motorsports Group
22.    4    Kevin Harvick    Stewart-Haas Racing


Can-Am Duel 2 lineup

1.    20    Matt Kenseth    Joe Gibbs Racing
2.    18    Kyle Busch    Joe Gibbs Racing
3.    48    Jimmie Johnson    Hendrick Motorsports
4.    19    Carl Edwards    Joe Gibbs Racing
5.    41    Kurt Busch    Stewart-Haas Racing
6.    13    Casey Mears    Germain Racing
7.    31    Ryan Newman    Richard Childress Racing
8.    95    Ty Dillon    Circle Sport-Leavine Family Racing
9.    43    Aric Almirola    Richard Petty Motorsports
10.    1    Jamie McMurray    Chip Ganassi Racing
11.    42    Kyle Larson    Chip Ganassi Racing
12.    93*    Matt DiBenedetto*    BK Racing
13.    83    Michael Waltrip    BK Racing
14.    10    Danica Patrick    Stewart-Haas Racing
15.    47    AJ Allmendinger    JTG Daugherty Racing
16.    46    Michael Annett    HScott Motorsports
17.    38    Landon Cassill    Front Row Motorsports
18.    26*    Robert Richardson Jr.*    BK Racing
19.    35*    David Gilliland*    Front Row Motorsports
20.    40*    Reed Sorenson*    Hillman Smith Motorsports
21.    78    Martin Truex Jr.    Furniture Row Racing
22.    14    Brian Vickers    Stewart-Haas Racing

Hamlin +750 my book...tempted...

One angle that sometimes pays off in the Duels is fading the pole sitter. Several times the pole sitter will drop back near the end of their duel to stay away from crashing and going to a backup. Gordon stayed up front till the end last year but Dillon in 2014 and Danica in 2013 played it safe. Mark Martin was on the pole in 2010 and leading his duel. With 2 laps left he dropped out of line and went to the rear to save his pole position. I think Chase will play it real safe tomorrow but you never know. I got A.Dillon at +100 over Chase in the 1st duel.

One guy to never listen to in this forum like that....Texas Gambler

I watch line movement closely and can say he definitely post lines that are never offered, even in his duel picks with Logano and Mcmurray he added +100 to both, and if they wreck out halfway they will magically disappear from his post

I wasn't too far off with my odds prediction even with the driver switch..

Duel Race #1

Jr +475   (1.75 units)
Logano +650    (1.25 units)
Keselowski +900   (.5 unit cover)
Hamlin +900   (.5 unit cover)

H2H's
Denny Hamlin #11 -105 vs Kevin Harvick #4
Austin Dillon #3 +100 vs Chase Elliott #25


Duel Race #2

Kenseth +600   (1.5 units)
Johnson +550   (1.5 units)
Ky Busch +600 (.5 unit cover)

H2H
Casey Mears #13 +100 vs AJ Allmendinger #47


Good Luck!  

I got the Dillon and Mears matchups at the same price. Hope we win!

I took Stenhouse -105 over Blaney (now at +100) in duel 1. Blaney has 1 career Cup start at Daytona.

Nice hit Race #1