Only 7-0 and should really only be used in NBA but so far is spot on.
Essentially if a team is favored by a lot to start the game and they are losing at half time the public is more likely to bet on the favorite in the second half. While that seems like the smarter play my strategy cuts out the screw overs.
If the halftime score is under 100 and the favorite is losing by 3 or more then (depending on how much they're losing by and how much under it went) bet on the underdog. Solely because the favorite didn't come to play.
If the total is over 100 and the favorite is losing bet on the favorite on the second half. More likely the underdog won't shoot lights out in back to back halves.
Best 2 examples I can give are Rockets -8
Halftime 62-59 rockets losing. Take rockets -6.5 second half. LA only scores 50 in second half and Houston covers
Other side...Atlanta favored and losing by 9 at half 40-49. Total under 100 by a lot and cleveland is 5.5 2h underdogs. First the line screams Atlanta loses cause It would be 9 if they thought theyd win but anyway bet was cleveland +5.5 and it won
I've used it 6 times. 7 if you count the game my website wouldn't let me wager on (Boston college last night) for some odd reason then it is 7-0. Hope to get some games tonight like this
Only 7-0 and should really only be used in NBA but so far is spot on.
Essentially if a team is favored by a lot to start the game and they are losing at half time the public is more likely to bet on the favorite in the second half. While that seems like the smarter play my strategy cuts out the screw overs.
If the halftime score is under 100 and the favorite is losing by 3 or more then (depending on how much they're losing by and how much under it went) bet on the underdog. Solely because the favorite didn't come to play.
If the total is over 100 and the favorite is losing bet on the favorite on the second half. More likely the underdog won't shoot lights out in back to back halves.
Best 2 examples I can give are Rockets -8
Halftime 62-59 rockets losing. Take rockets -6.5 second half. LA only scores 50 in second half and Houston covers
Other side...Atlanta favored and losing by 9 at half 40-49. Total under 100 by a lot and cleveland is 5.5 2h underdogs. First the line screams Atlanta loses cause It would be 9 if they thought theyd win but anyway bet was cleveland +5.5 and it won
I've used it 6 times. 7 if you count the game my website wouldn't let me wager on (Boston college last night) for some odd reason then it is 7-0. Hope to get some games tonight like this
I'll keep this thread updated on games I bet on. Usually if the halftime score is 10 PTs different I'll consider it. Rockets -8 before + 3 at half is 11 PTs. Big red flag. Atlanta -5 before game and +9 at half big flag and under 100 so fade. I'll try n keep this updated with plays every night.
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I'll keep this thread updated on games I bet on. Usually if the halftime score is 10 PTs different I'll consider it. Rockets -8 before + 3 at half is 11 PTs. Big red flag. Atlanta -5 before game and +9 at half big flag and under 100 so fade. I'll try n keep this updated with plays every night.
If the total is over 100 and the favorite is losing bet on the favorite on the second half. More likely the underdog won't shoot lights out in back to back halves.
total was 108, check
favorite losing, check
denver gave 8.5, check
denver failed to cover
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If the total is over 100 and the favorite is losing bet on the favorite on the second half. More likely the underdog won't shoot lights out in back to back halves.
If the total is over 100 and the favorite is losing bet on the favorite on the second half. More likely the underdog won't shoot lights out in back to back halves.
total was 108, check
favorite losing, check
denver gave 8.5, check
denver failed to cover
C'mon buddy. Remember that absolutely nothing is 100% in sports betting. Have you ever seen somebody having a record of 100-0?, no right?. So whatever system might be, there will always be instances in which some games simply go the other way.
As the matter of fact, I was working on something like that just couple of weeks ago (had to stop because work constraints). Check this out.
I you look back into the last couple of weeks (or further if you like), you can appreciate some sort of trend.
What I saw:
the team who won the first quarter, often lost the second one (about 80%), and 85% of the teams who win the first quarter and lost the second, either did not cover, or lost the game straight. On the other hand, if a team won the first two quarters, 78% of the time, they covered the second half spread.
So I started betting on such games, in which I made some bucks by going 11-3. Although, since I've been away for couple of weeks, I'd like to see if the trend continues. Watch tonight, and then reply to this thread.
Note: Please don't just look for "Flaws" on systems, instead, bring your own idea, and share it with us, so everyone can try to win some. At the end, that's why we're here reading other people's posts, right?
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Quote Originally Posted by NOboy:
If the total is over 100 and the favorite is losing bet on the favorite on the second half. More likely the underdog won't shoot lights out in back to back halves.
total was 108, check
favorite losing, check
denver gave 8.5, check
denver failed to cover
C'mon buddy. Remember that absolutely nothing is 100% in sports betting. Have you ever seen somebody having a record of 100-0?, no right?. So whatever system might be, there will always be instances in which some games simply go the other way.
As the matter of fact, I was working on something like that just couple of weeks ago (had to stop because work constraints). Check this out.
I you look back into the last couple of weeks (or further if you like), you can appreciate some sort of trend.
What I saw:
the team who won the first quarter, often lost the second one (about 80%), and 85% of the teams who win the first quarter and lost the second, either did not cover, or lost the game straight. On the other hand, if a team won the first two quarters, 78% of the time, they covered the second half spread.
So I started betting on such games, in which I made some bucks by going 11-3. Although, since I've been away for couple of weeks, I'd like to see if the trend continues. Watch tonight, and then reply to this thread.
Note: Please don't just look for "Flaws" on systems, instead, bring your own idea, and share it with us, so everyone can try to win some. At the end, that's why we're here reading other people's posts, right?
C'mon buddy. Remember that absolutely nothing is 100% in sports betting. Have you ever seen somebody having a record of 100-0?, no right?. So whatever system might be, there will always be instances in which some games simply go the other way.
As the matter of fact, I was working on something like that just couple of weeks ago (had to stop because work constraints). Check this out.
I you look back into the last couple of weeks (or further if you like), you can appreciate some sort of trend.
What I saw:
the team who won the first quarter, often lost the second one (about 80%), and 85% of the teams who win the first quarter and lost the second, either did not cover, or lost the game straight. On the other hand, if a team won the first two quarters, 78% of the time, they covered the second half spread.
So I started betting on such games, in which I made some bucks by going 11-3. Although, since I've been away for couple of weeks, I'd like to see if the trend continues. Watch tonight, and then reply to this thread.
Note: Please don't just look for "Flaws" on systems, instead, bring your own idea, and share it with us, so everyone can try to win some. At the end, that's why we're here reading other people's posts, right?
im not criticizing. im trying to understand it. he said that it does not fit into the system. i was trying to see how it did not fit the system according to his criterias
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Quote Originally Posted by nikisongo:
C'mon buddy. Remember that absolutely nothing is 100% in sports betting. Have you ever seen somebody having a record of 100-0?, no right?. So whatever system might be, there will always be instances in which some games simply go the other way.
As the matter of fact, I was working on something like that just couple of weeks ago (had to stop because work constraints). Check this out.
I you look back into the last couple of weeks (or further if you like), you can appreciate some sort of trend.
What I saw:
the team who won the first quarter, often lost the second one (about 80%), and 85% of the teams who win the first quarter and lost the second, either did not cover, or lost the game straight. On the other hand, if a team won the first two quarters, 78% of the time, they covered the second half spread.
So I started betting on such games, in which I made some bucks by going 11-3. Although, since I've been away for couple of weeks, I'd like to see if the trend continues. Watch tonight, and then reply to this thread.
Note: Please don't just look for "Flaws" on systems, instead, bring your own idea, and share it with us, so everyone can try to win some. At the end, that's why we're here reading other people's posts, right?
im not criticizing. im trying to understand it. he said that it does not fit into the system. i was trying to see how it did not fit the system according to his criterias
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