4/7 slate: Best games to bet on

These are the games I recommend betting on. I usually only bet ML. The spreads have been so inflated due to players sitting out(for remainder of season) or game time decision due to their playoff spot being locked. Always check injury report/updates with it being so close to playoffs.

Must wins today are:

Heat: fighting to get out of play-in , wizards are no longer playing for anything ( Heat currently -6 , playing on a b2b )

Raptors: Trying to get out of that 9th seed to avoid playing twice, Celtics have secured their spot so I assume players are going to rest ( Rap currently +2.5 )

Nets: Fighting to secure their 6th seed and avoid being knocked off by the heat , playing a Orlando team that just played last night and lost to a Cavs bench team ( Nets currently -12.5 )

Hawks: A must win to avoid being knocked off by the Raptors into the 9th spot , playing 76ers who have secured their spot so I except some resting ( hawks currently -10 )

Pelicans: The whole western conference 5-9 are still playing for their positions, Knicks have also secured their 5th spot in the east so I except some players to be out ( Pelicans currently -8 )

Mavericks: Still hoping for their play-in spot , playing the bulls that have their 10th spot secured so I except some rest from the bulls squad ( Mavs currently -11)

Warriors: Hoping to win here and secure their 6th seed and avoid play-in, playing the kings who most likely will like to rest players due to them securing the 3rd seed in the west ( warriors currently -8.5 )

Suns-Lakers: I do see the Lakers wanting this win more to try and knock off the warriors for their play-in spot but I wouldn't doubt that the sun's would come to play even with their 4th seed secured to try and work out kinks and get repetitions in with KD on the squad before the playoffs. So keep an eye on the injury report ( Lakers currently -8.5 )

GL 

KD played 41 minutes, no chance he plays b2b. CP3 and Booker 37 minutes, they likely rest

I stopped reading after you said you bet the games ML and then seeing all the big fav you were picking …..

What a useless response. The value of OP’s post was taking the time to provide the playoff implications for todays card. 

I appreciate the write ups. Saved me some time trying to find a play. 

@Eprince

I'm not betting every game, I just wanted to give my analysis on today's game Incase someone didn't have the time or information on today's slate. But if someone does want to take the spread I posted it so people would have an idea of how much points they have to lay. As we've seen recently we've had teams that have rested all of their starters and still manage to win outright, so the spreads are definitely not going to be in the bettors favor and Vegas wants you to lay these double digits spreads on the teams that should easily win by 20+ but end up winning by single digits.

1 ghey burger with cheese please.

thanks for the info. I think I'll be on the Heat and the Raptors in some form.

@Yaza

 all your picks and analysis are good. the question as always is will they cover the line. look at last night the favorites didn't cover except okc.  but tnx for sharing

@akhbar

 Without a doubt , especially now with people resting and teams already securing their spots/not in playoff contention. That's why I prefer to bet ML and look for games where the value isn't too insane and the line isn't inflated. Look already at the games , the heat gave up on their run for 6th seed and are resting tonight and looks like the Mavs have given up on their run. That's why I always try and wait 30 minutes before tip off to lock in a bet, thats also a double edged sword because the team you like can go from +220 to -220 with injury updates and you loose value instead of locking in your bet early

good write up and great info... im a spread better and this helps but your right about the numbers being inflated. 

@Eprince

 Response like yours makes good people leave. Yes, he is a ml bettor, but what has it got to do with the op's post which provides valuable information? Op saved a lot of people's time including me with this research and you said you stopped reading because he is a ml bettor? Just keep silent when you have nothing to say other than what you "had to" say.

ty for this post you made my day a little easier figuring out what value is out there today 

Heat are shaky, Don Best lists 4 of 5 starters out

Damn bulls opened +11 that’s wild. Was gonna take em +2 now but may just wait till the play in. Think pat Bev at least gets em in the post season. Ain’t many built like that man

This fu. king evil animal works sportsbooks, that's why his picks are big losers, god damn you, animal

All you stupid idiots defending this guy, just for him to lose a lot of his high ML bets ….. fukin rookies.