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6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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Posted: #226
dude u said sacremento is your play.

admit to your loss and accept it like a man.

lmao
 
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Posted: #227
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

Sorry for that late post guys, I know I said it would be here by 5, so I apologize.
   Tonight, I'm going with my early lean and jumping on the Trailblazers. As of right now, 82% of the bets coming in are on the Heat, but line has dropped from -4 to -3.5.

what site do you go to, to see the relation of the line movement and the percentage of bets placed?
 
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Posted: #228
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

Sorry for that late post guys, I know I said it would be here by 5, so I apologize.
   Tonight, I'm going with my early lean and jumping on the Trailblazers. As of right now, 82% of the bets coming in are on the Heat, but line has dropped from -4 to -3.5. I usually like to see a move of at least a point, but this is a nationally televised game on a night with only 3 games. My guess is there is probably a lot more bets coming in on this matchup than normal.
   I also have a lean on Sacramento tonight, because the line is moving in a similar fashion.
 Personally I'm taking Sacramento and Portland for tonight, but my pick is Portland. 

1 unit Portland Trailblazers
1 unit Sacramento Kings

   I now a lot of cappers make picks based on who has a better home record, who's hurt, who's better defensively etc, etc.
   I play like that too! But this thread was started as an experiment, because I was winning a lot more often on my reverse line moves than my regular picks. So, I wanted to see how it would go if I kept a public log of it. For example, I'm minutes away from Madison Square Garden, born and raised, I'm not gonna let tonights Knicks game pass without touching it. BUT, I'm not going to post that pick, because it's just for some action, not based on reverse line movement.


 Good luck to all: Follow, Fade or ignore...

 
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Posted: #229
Quote Originally Posted by x187soldier:

trini can you help me clear up some confusion? so the line for DAL/SAC was at -2 and now -2.5, this is a reverse line movement? I thought this line mean money is going on SAC and they are making it more attractive to bet DAL? shouldnt reverse mean -1 instead? Thanks
 
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Posted: #230
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

ur right, the line has been flip floppy all day. that's why i said i'm personally taking it, but my pick is portland. miami might blow the out of the water, but that's my pick according to the line system. i also like knicks over, but it's not one of my picks for this thread. gl all
 
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Posted: #231
are we all on the same forum? seems pretty clear my pick was portland last night
 
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Posted: #232
Best of luck !!
 
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Posted: #233
i also had a lean on a three team parlay on wed that won, but clearly stated as above that it was a personal play, not a pick. didn't count that as part of my wins in my record. also mentioned i was taking the cavs on wed because a buddy's son played ball with him in high school. that also won, didn't count it as a win. 
 
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Posted: #234
still 12-1 on posted picks, without those wins.
  i use sportsbookspy and scores and odds to get my percentages...
bol all
 
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Posted: #235
thanks sharper...
 
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Posted: #236
I read through this entire thread, and here are some observations:

1)   TriniMike has been nice enough to take the time to post some picks based on his reverse line system, and he's on fire.

2)  TriniMike's only pick last night was Portland.  It was clear in his post that he was putting a unit on the Kings, but it was not to be considered a system pick.

3)  BiggDoug is either a seriously deranged narcissistic sociopath, or just the world's biggest douche.  Classic narcissistic tendencies include acting like others owe you something.  He's also the biggest moron maybe on this entire forum, declaring the Portland game a loss when Miami had the lead, but well before the game was over.  And, just for good measure, he's also a hypocrite.  Example? Over and over again, he blasts TriniMike as being an attention seeking female.  And then, when one person pays BiggDouche a compliment, he declares, "NOW THAT'S THE KIND OF ATTENTION I WAS LOOKING FOR!"

BiggDouche, here's a news flash.  NO ONE CARES WHAT YOU THINK, so do society a favor and get back on your meds.  

TriniMike - Look forward to following.  And, if you don't stay as hot, I certainly won't blame you.  GL 

 
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Posted: #237
extremely well said james. i obviously can't stay this hot forever, but i'll ride it until it fails consistently... bol   
 
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Posted: #238
oh damn u are right lol.

my bad playa...
 
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Posted: #239
Quote Originally Posted by sabermaths:

oh damn u are right lol.

my bad playa...

 
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Posted: #240
Quote Originally Posted by BiggDoug:

 

Whoop Whoop!

SYSTEM FAILURE! SYSTEM FAILURE!

 

Houston, we have a problem


TriniMike had ONE system play--the Portland game.

The Sacramento game was his personal pick, but NOT part of the system.  

I tailed on Portland because he said it was the only system pick.

All you have to do is read the thread to know that.  

Nice work, TriniMike
 
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Posted: #241
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

Sorry for that late post guys, I know I said it would be here by 5, so I apologize.
   Tonight, I'm going with my early lean and jumping on the Trailblazers. As of right now, 82% of the bets coming in are on the Heat, but line has dropped from -4 to -3.5. I usually like to see a move of at least a point, but this is a nationally televised game on a night with only 3 games. My guess is there is probably a lot more bets coming in on this matchup than normal.
   I also have a lean on Sacramento tonight, because the line is moving in a similar fashion.
 Personally I'm taking Sacramento and Portland for tonight, but my pick is Portland. 

1 unit Portland Trailblazers
1 unit Sacramento Kings

   


 

 

This looks pretty clear to me...  He's gonna be 100-2 in his experimental picks but 2-100 in his "personal" picks...

 

I asked my local book if I can have two accounts, Experimental and Personal...and he said, "yeah, sure, but if you don't pay me what you owe me on Tuesday i'm gonna break your arms..."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbh5nSPzX-M

 
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Posted: #242

Quote Originally Posted by sabermaths:

dude u said sacremento is your play.

admit to your loss and accept it like a man.

lmao

 

He's not a man...he's an busboy from Tabago

 
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Posted: #243
Quote Originally Posted by BiggDoug:

 

This looks pretty clear to me...  He's gonna be 100-2 in his experimental picks but 2-100 in his "personal" picks...

 

I asked my local book if I can have two accounts, Experimental and Personal...and he said, "yeah, sure, but if you don't pay me what you owe me on Tuesday i'm gonna break your arms..."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbh5nSPzX-M


Dude, as you a complete idiot?  Read the last 4 words in the quote that you copied: 
 Personally I'm taking Sacramento and Portland for tonight, but my pick is Portland. 
 
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Posted: #244
Just leave covers already exceller..we know its u under a new screen name lildougie...all you do is post losers and hate on winners.
 
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Posted: #245
Quote Originally Posted by BiggDoug:

 

He's not a man...he's an busboy from Tabago


And these racist comments aren't necessary.  Grow up.
 
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Posted: #246
Quote Originally Posted by ridibets:


what site do you go to, to see the relation of the line movement and the percentage of bets placed?

 

RU guys kidding? Why you licking this kids a hole.. His dumb "system" could have just as easily went 1-10 in the last week and will certainly  be 50/50 in the long run...One time in the early 80's my wife hit 15 REDS in a row on Roulette...She actually thought she had something to do with it..Her wishful thinking or whatever....

 

Don't act like he's on to something here....Dont be absurd..

 

 

 
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Posted: #247

Quote Originally Posted by ysaelee87:

Just leave covers already exceller..we know its u under a new screen name lildougie...all you do is post losers and hate on winners.

 

Post losers? i'm like 60-25 and I never go after anyone here....This "system" is just so absurd that I had to say something...I'll try to stay away, but it just keeps getting more ridiculous by the moment.....I will say I'm a little shocked that you dummies think this is gonna make you a winner in the long run though..I have 6 kids and two grankids and I know for sure that they'd never be this stupid..The comments from you lemmings are becoming comical..So I'm enjoying it right now-

 

Cant wait to see how this system ends up in a month or so..

 
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Posted: #248
Quote Originally Posted by collector992003:


And these racist comments aren't necessary.  Grow up.

 

Whats racist about being a busboy? I was one when I was 14...in 1975

 
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Posted: #249

What about the Knicks OVER..? A Posted Pick is a Posted Pick

 

LESSON #1-People who can't handicap always look for mindless systems..A magic formula....Its called being lazy. Now I gotta go look at some stats for  hours, study matchups, and call some contacts...In other words

 

I gotta go handicap some games,

 
 
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Posted: #250
Quote Originally Posted by BiggDoug:

"system" could have just as easily went 1-10 in the last week 

 


Yeah but it DID NOT..

you're mom could have swallowed or took it up the @ss but she DID NOT either... unfortunately 
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