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6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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Posted: #1076
You're right. No RLM on laker games.
 
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Posted: #1077
trini what are your thoughts on VALPO @ DET OU....open at 142.5 in my book moved up to 144.5 with over 80% on the over (as expected) and dropped to 143.5....games at 7PM im thinking i wait to see if the line moves again before then but thats technically rlm correct?  
 
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Posted: #1078

any thoughts on clips v minny? T-Wolves are a 5 pt dog w/ 90% (according to Vegasinsider) on the Clips.

If nothing else, isn't it odd that a beaten up T-Wolves team is only a 5 pt dog to a Clipper team that blew out Memphis then Houston?  Especially considering the last 2 Clipper blowout games? 

 
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Posted: #1079
yes nkaplan, kind of. i didn't check the numbers, but if that's the case, the slight move down would suggest some ssharps comming in late and buying the under
 
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Posted: #1080
same with San jose st @ Denver..-14 to -15.5 with over 80% on the dogs yet the line still climbed in their favor.  Denvers been smokin hot the last 4 at home
 
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Posted: #1081
composite, if i remember correctly, wolves at home were the ones that ended the clips 19 or 20 game win streak and the spread was just 2. line is fishy but the adjustments were  made in proper line movement, not rlm. that doesn't mean the clips won't lose, but i don't see rlm...bol
 
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Posted: #1082
u see anything on the over/under for the phoenix game? it opened at 196is, got all the way up to 198.5 n i see it as low as 196.5 now...
 
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Posted: #1083
There is no RLM in the mich minn unders.   the over is getting pounded and the spread has gone from 137 to 140.  I had the over at 137 didnt like it so I took it off at 140.  Maybe can get a middle but its hard enougth to win one bet.
 
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Posted: #1084
looks like big money is on denver... might play that one myself, though i'm scared we might have already missed the boat at 14.5
 
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Posted: #1085
k ill ride along gonna do this
northwestern + pts 1 unit
gtec +pts 1  unit
minni michigan under 1 unit

2 team parlay
gtech +pts 
minni under 

get dat money
 
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Posted: #1086
Alright... Not sold on NTexas,GT,or MinnyUnder... Just worried about the amount of cash on all these games.

Ill be back to finalize, however right now Im looking @ TWolves and USC NCAABB against Oregon.

I will say out of the 3 I like GT the most, but just worried about the money aspect on all of em. I do think your on the right side if there is $ on em. GL ALL.
 
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Posted: #1087

Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

looks like big money is on denver... might play that one myself, though i'm scared we might have already missed the boat at 14.5

I am heading to this game tonight and I was shocked to see 15 when I looked at the line. DU has only beaten crap teams at home by more than 15 pts. SJSU hasn't been drilled by more than 15 outside of a couple of games (KU)... I bit on SJSU and it might be as square as they come but I will pay to see DU win by 16 or more. If all else fails I can buy out at halftime depending on what I see

 
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Posted: #1088
I'm with u mike and adding manhattan, e ill, Youngstown, s fl, S Utah, uc irvine, northwestern. Lets do this
 
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Posted: #1089

Quote Originally Posted by OneBloodyBoto:

There is no RLM in the mich minn unders.   the over is getting pounded and the spread has gone from 137 to 140.  I had the over at 137 didnt like it so I took it off at 140.  Maybe can get a middle but its hard enougth to win one bet.

ihave it openeing at 139, dropping to 137.5 where i got it and now at 138.5. i read that as RLM. BOl whichever side ur on...

01/17/13 Make Pick
See Picks
 517 Michigan 139 2.5 120 o 138.5 (-110) 14971 59% 54% 72% 70%
7:00PM 518 Minnesota 2½ -2.5 -140 u 138.5 (-110) 41% 46% 28% 30%

 
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Posted: #1090
Wow these guys in the Minn game are not missing nothing. 3 after 3 going in. 
 
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Posted: #1091
Ga Tech hasn't played too many close games, they've either been blown out or they do the blowing, wait what? they blow out shitty teams and get blown out by good ones, but duke off a loss gets a lot of pub attention and tonight is no different.  ga tech is athletic on the wing and can play some defense, Tech remains in the nation's top 20 in scoring defense (17th) and field goal percentage defense (13th), and ranks third in the ACC in both categories. Tech's losses have come to teams with a combined record of 59-21 (as of Jan. 14), and only two of those were at home.  Duke was 15-0 with Kelly, they are 0-1 without him.  they are a much different team, especially when Josh Hairston is now getting minutes, how that guy got ascholarship to Duke the world may never know.  If you look back at this series the last 10, duke would have only covered a line like tonight 2 times. If there is a time for GT to play them close, tonight is as good as any.  

Georgia Tech +15- its a nice writeup by charlotte sports for the added confidence bol!

 
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Posted: #1092
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

ihave it openeing at 139, dropping to 137.5 where i got it and now at 138.5. i read that as RLM. BOl whichever side ur on...

01/17/13 Make Pick
See Picks
 517 Michigan 139 2.5 120 o 138.5 (-110) 14971 59% 54% 72% 70%
7:00PM 518 Minnesota 2½ -2.5 -140 u 138.5 (-110) 41% 46% 28% 30%

 The line shot up right before tip off. I had to turn off the game i cant watch. lol They are not missing nothing both teams are on fire. every shot is going in. 3 pointers
 
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Posted: #1093
Actually, don't see 140 at any books... i only see -140 as the Money Line for Minny. Line's dropping with 72% on the over. i don't want to be a d*ck, but I'm kind tired of having to back up my picks, with evidence EVERY day... get's a little tedious after already putting in so much work so others can follow. i don't just check lines at 5pm and call it. I'm checking lines all day, writing them down and checking them against the last time I wrote them down. Then re-checking before i call it... no worries, though...BOL
 
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Posted: #1094
also adding g tech 1 h
 
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Posted: #1095

Quote Originally Posted by ariana09:

 The line shot up right before tip off. I had to turn off the game i cant watch. lol They are not missing nothing both teams are on fire. every shot is going in. 3 pointers

It's all good, can't win 'em all... Hope for a crappy 2h... i was nerous with the Mich st over yesterday when i saw ony 40 something in the first half... they covered the over with 7 mins left in the 2h

 
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Posted: #1096
Good luck Mike and thanks again for your hard work
 
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Posted: #1097

Quote Originally Posted by RichieRich97:

I'm with u mike and adding manhattan, e ill, Youngstown, s fl, S Utah, uc irvine, northwestern. Lets do this

 

damn rich! And I thought i was bad at limiting my games! LOl...BOL bro!

 
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Posted: #1098
Quote Originally Posted by FadeAndLay4:

Alright... Not sold on NTexas,GT,or MinnyUnder... Just worried about the amount of cash on all these games.

Ill be back to finalize, however right now Im looking @ TWolves and USC NCAABB against Oregon.

I will say out of the 3 I like GT the most, but just worried about the money aspect on all of em. I do think your on the right side if there is $ on em. GL ALL.

 

I'm with you 100% on the kind of volume on these games, but with nothing good in NBA, I had to jump on something...

 
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Posted: #1099
The only one that stands out to me is Bucks opened +2 at Suns, now -1 with even money on both teams. I check the numbers alot myself and that is pretty "odd" for a 3 point shift like that.
 
 
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Posted: #1100
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

Ok guys, it's that time of day again. I really don't see anything I like tonight in NBA action... There are a lot in the NCAA though. I've been watching them all day, and though some of the numbers have changed and will probably continue to do so, here are my only 3 picks of the day:
Game #  Team     Spread   Units
521 North Texas    +2.5    1 Unit

541 Georgia Tech  +15.5   1 Unit

518  Michigan/Minny UNDER 137.5 1 Unit

If I had to take a lean on something it would either be N. Tex ML or Georgia Tech 1 half

Follow, Fade or Ignore, it's all good... BOL ALL 

 

Forgot to mention for those keeping tabs on me... 19-8-2 in ALL posted picks

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