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ANOTHER SYSTEM THREAD BUT THIS ONE IS 53-23-2 **68% Since January 1st!

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Prospect
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Posted: #426
Good looking out THNX! 
 
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Posted: #427
Quote Originally Posted by Johnbongo:

See post 27, states dogs from PK to +2.5 should be bets. Doesn't say anything about +0.5 but I don't see any logical reason why that wouldn't be a bet also, so that's what I ran the results on

To top it off, I have 2 books and these plays are being juiced, sometimes as much as -125

Just look out is all I am saying here

 

To each his own buddy

What works for me may not work for you.

The fact that you brought up all the results from dec.25th is pretty irrelavent to me since what is most important to me was that he got my attention with the thread title, I decided to play his plays for 1unit and see what he can do. After a couple of days he then let us know on the system on thread #27. Since then, today is my first losing day in regards to this system. I did not just play every play blindly and some plays did not match sportsprofits plays but guess what, I did VERY WELL still.

To me, and strictly in my case, this system is awesome and I hope its bullet proof but I know its not and I am not naiive to think that this run will continue so my rule was, if I have 3 consecutive non-profit days I will stop this system and even with 2 more consecutive non-profit days and I stop, I will be up a LOT of units from this and will be very thankful to sportsprofit for bringing this to my attention.

To me whats the most relavent record is how it has done since he started posting this system(when people actually started playing this system) and I'm pretty certain its a winning record. and that is all that should matter to anybody but I still will say that number is irrelavent too since tomorrow will be another day with no guarentees.

Now if you want to bring up the fact that this system wont last and we need to quit while we are ahead is a different story because I do believe this will all even out as you keep playing plays and eventually becoming a system that probably will win somewhere in the 47-53% range. I hope im wrong but the law of averages suggests I'm going to be right(which is very rare).

This is why I cap myself to 3 consecutive non-profit days and quit at this point.

BUT LETS HOPE THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A HUGE MONEY MAKER NOT ONLY THIS SEASON BUT MANY MORE SEASONS TO COME!!!

 
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Posted: #428
 
Prospect
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Posted: #429
john - I think the problem with your calculations could be that you included PK and +0.5, or just that you took a much larger sample so as stated before it is naturally going to be closer to 50%

Either way... Props to SportsProfit for identifying this system and helping us all make some money
 
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Posted: #430
Looks like the play tonight is the Knicks 1Q.
 
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Posted: #431

Quote Originally Posted by Johnbongo:

See post 27, states dogs from PK to +2.5 should be bets. Doesn't say anything about +0.5 but I don't see any logical reason why that wouldn't be a bet also....

Here's a logical reason:  there's no such thing as +0.5 for a full game, since there are no ties.  However, thanks for running the numbers.

 
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Posted: #432
very interesting
 
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Posted: #433
Quote Originally Posted by teriaki:

Looks like the play tonight is the Knicks 1Q.



 
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Posted: #434
 
Prospect
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Posted: #435
Not looking good.
 
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Posted: #436
Wow.  Not tonight, folks.
 
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Posted: #437
Does anybody have the time to figure out how this system is doing in Natioal Televised Games only?
 
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Posted: #438
  0-5   Mon - Tues ..
 
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Posted: #439
Quote Originally Posted by faider:

Does anybody have the time to figure out how this system is doing in Natioal Televised Games only?

I can't find anywhere that has historical quarter data.
 
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Posted: #440

Quote Originally Posted by PLAYAAAA1969:

  0-5   Mon - Tues ..

 

?? i got 1-4....one more day for this system for me...even if I lose all the plays tomorrow, I will be up HUGE with this system so BOL to everyone tomorrow, win or lose, I will be a happy camper thanks to sportsprofit!!

THANKS AGAIN SPORTSPROFIT!!

 
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Posted: #441
Quote Originally Posted by Johnbongo:

I am not hating here guys, just want to state some facts. I have made some good coin over the last couple of weeks on this thread and became intrigued.

I have some spare time on my hands right now, so I went back to the start of the season on this system an ran the "as-if" record, unfortunately it's not close to the record stated in this thread.

Since Dec 25th, there have been a total of 191 bets that fit this system, both favs (-3, -3.5, and -4) and dogs (PK to +2.5), the record on these bets has been 104-87, so 54.45%.

I got the info from the Covers scoreboard which shows closing lines for all major books and the 1Q scores for each game. Granted, some books vary in final lines, but this won't make up for the swing in record that is being claimed.

Again, not hating, just want to point out some facts, I get a lot of useful info from this site and hoping some of you find this useful.

If I am wrong, then please feel free to explain, but pretty sure if you spend the time and run the results yourself you will come up with the same result

Peace

Where did you get your historical data? I want to add Nation Televised Games to the equation!
 
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Posted: #442
Quote Originally Posted by faider:

Where did you get your historical data? I want to add Nation Televised Games to the equation!

On the covers NBA homepage. Their scoreboard shows the results of every game for every day, closing spreads, and scores by quarter
 
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Posted: #443
What about the Quarter lines? Or did you guess.

 
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Posted: #444
Split the overall spread by 4 as most books normally do

I would say out of the 100 plus bets the spread was a factor less than 5 times
 
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Posted: #445
lol people still follow this? lol
 
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Posted: #446

Wow went from a 4-1 day to a 1-4 streak...Im going to follow for 2 days more days if not profitable will move on

 
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Posted: #447
whats the games for tonight profit... i still believe man .... we can't win ll but tonight i gotta good feel in lesssgooooo !!!!

 
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Posted: #448

Toronto 1st Q

Portland 1st Q

Gstate 1st Q

 
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Posted: #449
Quote Originally Posted by TheSportsProfit:

Toronto 1st Q

Portland 1st Q

Gstate 1st Q


Did you have  Raptors +1/2? I got fucked, I saw that i won on the score board and the book. Than 10 min later the score changed and my play pushed! Fuck what happened?
 
 
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Posted: #450
hmmm wierd I got paid ....
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