for the 20th time: I don't move lines. :)
Sharp mufukas that bet huge amounts move lines....
AMEN BODIO, DAM I GET SO TIRED OF PEOPLE SAYING SHIT LIKE THIS AND "TRAPS".
BEEN WATCHING YOU OF LATE MAN AND JUST WANTED TO SAY I RESPECT YOUR OUTLOOK AN GAMES, MITE NOT ALWAYS SIDE WITH YA BUT WILL FOR SURE CHK YOUR THOUGHTS BEFORE I MAKE A WAGER!!! 
I agree. Laying DD's or SD's doesn't matter in the long run! It's whether or not you're on the right side of each bet. DD's favs cover just as much as SD's favs. (and same thing for dogs). It's all about understanding the line, and then finding situations where you have an 'advantage' of covering the spread.
GL tonight
Then why does everyone say that giving DD points is a bad idea? And that you should always bet on getting DD points?
And, are 1H bets on DD favs any better than DD points for FG?
Because you don't really want to get caught up betting DD's favorites too often. There are just a lot of ways you could lose. And long-term 50% is losing. Have to pick your spots, just like with backing DD's dogs, and SD's everything....
As to your other question, again you're generalizing things. You have to assume that DD's favs HT bets hit 50/50 long-term. You have to break down each individual matchup and situation.
GL
good luck bodio, i love the picks today. you have some great situations here with the bobcats and the heat.
i also love the nuggets here. isn't there some trend out there if you play a game the night before and then have to go to denver the next night, the road team gets blown out more often than not?
Not sure, but I know situationally it must be really hard to play 5 road games, come home to play a close uptempo game, and then travel to altitude the very next day.
"TRAPS".
BEEN WATCHING YOU OF LATE MAN AND JUST WANTED TO SAY I RESPECT YOUR OUTLOOK AN GAMES, MITE NOT ALWAYS SIDE WITH YA BUT WILL FOR SURE CHK YOUR THOUGHTS BEFORE I MAKE A WAGER!!!
"Traps" -- hehe...that's my favorite
Usually people that don't understand a posted line say a game is a 'trap' game, when in all actuality it really isn't, they just have a predetermined bias towards a particular team
AMEN BODIO, DAM I GET SO TIRED OF PEOPLE SAYING SHIT LIKE THIS AND "TRAPS".
BEEN WATCHING YOU OF LATE MAN AND JUST WANTED TO SAY I RESPECT YOUR OUTLOOK AN GAMES, MITE NOT ALWAYS SIDE WITH YA BUT WILL FOR SURE CHK YOUR THOUGHTS BEFORE I MAKE A WAGER!!!
Lol, what I said and traps have nothing to do with eachother. I myself think "trap" games are just square people who take the favs and are surprised when they lose. Either way that has nothing to do with my point. While I am partially joking with the man there is some truth to what I say. I myself have been following him and his picks and I have noticed that after he post the lines do tend to move. Others have also mentioned this its not only me. Maybe it is a cowincidence ( i have no idea how to spell that). Maybe my points are valid. It really dont matter not important just having some fun. But pay attention call me crazy but everytime he post the lines seem to move. I dont know. Enjoy yourself my man and watch out for those traps tonight.
This write-up has a few flaws.
1) First the obvious, Hornets have beaten the Blazers twice this season, not the other way around.
2) If Hornets are only 1 game back of Portland, then this game is even more important for the Blazers. If Hornets win tonight, they will own the tie-breaker (they'll be 3-1 against Portland), and will move into the 6th spot. This is importnat b/c the Lakers will most likely finish 2nd and I'd rather play the Mavs than the Lakers. Portland will be very focused here, since they want to at least split the season series with the Hornets.
3) Hornets have won 5 of 8 eh? How about 3 of the last 6, with 2 of those games against a struggling Suns squad and 1 @ Utah, a game they SHOULD HAVE LOST!. Looking back 8 games is not significant, because big part of this play is the fact that NO is without David West. They're 1-1 without him but his loss is going to be even more visible against a team like the Blazers, who have size and depth.
4) Sure Hornets are 24-11 at home, but against WINNING teams, they are 2-5 there in their last 7 games.
5) The write-up doesn't talk about Hornets' lack of defensive effort lately. That cannot be ignored. All season long, this NO squad has been knowns as being below average offensively but way above average defensively. Now they're playing below average offense AND defense, and are missing their 2nd best player. What's their identity? Without West and without defensive effort, this is a non-playoff team over a course of the whole season. Portland is peaking right now, and I will ALWAYS take my chances with a better team going against a mediocre squad in a virtual PK game.
GOOD LUCK
. Maybe it is a cowincidence ( i have no idea how to spell that). Maybe my points are valid. It really dont matter not important just having some fun
Quija,
Just lose the "W" and you'll be alright with that one :)
by the way, having fun doing what we do here is very CRUCIAL!!! I know you're just having fun and that's awesome! Great mindset to have when involved in this crazy ratchet we're all in! :)
This write-up has a few flaws.
1) First the obvious, Hornets have beaten the Blazers twice this season, not the other way around.
2) If Hornets are only 1 game back of Portland, then this game is even more important for the Blazers. If Hornets win tonight, they will own the tie-breaker (they'll be 3-1 against Portland), and will move into the 6th spot. This is importnat b/c the Lakers will most likely finish 2nd and I'd rather play the Mavs than the Lakers. Portland will be very focused here, since they want to at least split the season series with the Hornets.
3) Hornets have won 5 of 8 eh? How about 3 of the last 6, with 2 of those games against a struggling Suns squad and 1 @ Utah, a game they SHOULD HAVE LOST!. Looking back 8 games is not significant, because big part of this play is the fact that NO is without David West. They're 1-1 without him but his loss is going to be even more visible against a team like the Blazers, who have size and depth.
4) Sure Hornets are 24-11 at home, but against WINNING teams, they are 2-5 there in their last 7 games.
5) The write-up doesn't talk about Hornets' lack of defensive effort lately. That cannot be ignored. All season long, this NO squad has been knowns as being below average offensively but way above average defensively. Now they're playing below average offense AND defense, and are missing their 2nd best player. What's their identity? Without West and without defensive effort, this is a non-playoff team over a course of the whole season. Portland is peaking right now, and I will ALWAYS take my chances with a better team going against a mediocre squad in a virtual PK game.
GOOD LUCK
Lol, what I said and traps have nothing to do with eachother. I myself think "trap" games are just square people who take the favs and are surprised when they lose. Either way that has nothing to do with my point. While I am partially joking with the man there is some truth to what I say. I myself have been following him and his picks and I have noticed that after he post the lines do tend to move. Others have also mentioned this its not only me. Maybe it is a cowincidence ( i have no idea how to spell that). Maybe my points are valid. It really dont matter not important just having some fun. But pay attention call me crazy but everytime he post the lines seem to move. I dont know. Enjoy yourself my man and watch out for those traps tonight.
Honestly my remark, even though it may have sounded harsh towards you was meant in general! I didn't think for 1 minute that you actually thought that one person on covers moves lines! gl tonight with your wagers!
oh yea im hoping not to fall in any traps heheheheh
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