Bobcats + 3. Detailed write up why!

Quote Originally Posted by boxingking09:

So here is my take.  When I look at games, I try to keep it simple and use logic.

Logic says this is a hard game to be backing the celtics.  When I take a side I want some kind of a advantage, a good reason, some match ups or stats to back up my reasoning to back a team.

So what it comes down to is Do you back a elite team in boston who is clearly not playing well but still winning, Or do you back a hot team who is at home, and playing with confidence. And is on a winning streak.

Tough Bet to win with boston.  My only play would be the Bobcats And I would lay back and try to get the best number I can get or no play at all or buy some points with the bobcats.  Your preference

Do not ignore the signs boston have showed you all season,
1. One leg Kevin Garnett is not 100%
2. I see old people!   boston seems like they have had 5 birthdays since last year.
3.  Top shelf nba teams have beat them all year every game.

I say all of that about boston and I backed them going into miami but I did not like the way they won. And the only reason I took the celtics moneyline was because I Was betting against The heat. I knew they was not playing well.

Few tips for all the young up and coming nba cappers of the world. Do not bet against Hot teams in the Nba.

On that theory alone I will not take boston in this situation, to many disadvantages against you in this game. 

Also history shows that this team matches up very well style wise against the celtics, They play the same way.. and actually I think the celtics style of play, helps the bobcats out... Because that slow the ball down, and run your offense style of play is exactly what the bobcats  run and matches up well against.  Last year the sorry bobcats took the celtics into 2 overtime games... This year the first meeting the Bobcats got beat down by the celtics 92-58 and the celtics was on a b2b. This was the bobcats first game of the season, so obviously we know this is a different team now.

And that's another advantage for the bobcats. Motivation, from losing so bad last time to the celtics. The cats will come out and play hard.  Which should always be factored in with any nba game you cap. Some of the time that is the only difference.

Will the celtics match they energy, Good question.
Larry Brown was embarrased from that game, The players was also.

Again, Here are the advantages for the bobcats to win this game straight up.

1. Home Court advantage.. which can help if they rally in the 4th and get any kind of decent lead. The home team players play with more confidence and the opposing team players energy gets sapped. Seems unfair don't it.

2. Motivation.  The bobcats got blew out last game, not just blew out but embarrased.  They will be motivated to win and will play with maximum effort tonight.

3.  Rested. 2 days rest and at home.

4.  Styles of play helps bobcats.

5. Hot team right now, playing with a lot of confidence and again playing at home.  On a winning streak.

6. Bobcats have proven they can beat a good team at home.  Ask lebron and Mo.

7.  They can score now, no longer are they struggling to get close to a hundred points. 2 of last 4 they have went over a hundred points... brown has tweaked something, can some one say action jackson...

advantages for boston

1. on paper a better team, but has not play like that team on paper all season.  except for the win in cleveland who was trying out a brand new rotation and players for the first time all season.

2. Paul pierce and rondo.

questions for boston.

1. will they match the bobcats energy tonight.
2. will human nature allow them to look down on the bobcats since they beat them down so bad last game.
3. Will ray ray break out his slump.. His hands will be full tonight.


Please give me suggestions and opinions why boston will win.  I hate to say it but if the books didn't need even money on both sides of this game I think the cats would and should be favored by the -3...  Call me crazy if you want. But to cap these nba game accurately and consistently you have to make your crazy make sense and back it up with info and stats. If you can do that you are not crazy. Just a good capper...

If after reading all of this and you still believe in boston tonight, please post why. I would love to hear the other side.

p.s. I watches every nba games. and yes boston should of lost to the heat the last game, but being they are a veteran team and the heat are the one man gang heat. They squeezed out a victory like a elite team should and will do most of the time this season. Did Boston convince me that they are ready to be a elite team. No... As long as garnett is hopping around on 1 leg this will never be the same team from previous years.  What garnett brings emotionally to this boston team can not be measured. But he can not dominate night in and night out on a bad leg.




Before I go... Ask Your self this boston backers... Why would the books only make the celtics a 3 point favorite vs a team they last beat 92-59..... Are they trying to give away money line money on the boston with that kind of value. Think about it....








The smart money will be on the bobcats or no action.

If I am wrong on this game I will be back to eat crow and apologize to you boston backers....

Quote Originally Posted by DEGENERATE89:

See if you had just posted that the bobcats were your pick i would not laugh at you right now but since you wrote an essay i have to........"the smart money is on the bobcats?" who made you a sharp to decide whats smart money and whats not gtfo

Quote Originally Posted by stlvokc:

Nice post Jackass...see your the reason everyone on here says covers isn't worth checking out anymore. Anyone can get on here post a pick with no reason behind it but what good does that do the forum? The whole reasons for these forums are for people to post why they like a play and maybe help someone else with their choice. Still another half to go but I guess your too dumb to realize the game isn't over yet. Even if he does lose would rather see these type of post then joeknowitall posting his plays and expecting people to follow.

 

Quote Originally Posted by boxingking09:

oh u want to call names and bash...... The bashing and name calling is what makes people say covers is not worth checking out... You talking like you have never picked a wrong game before.... C'mon son!!!!!!! I make my living doing this....  I would take the same bet any day... I couldn't cap the celtics playing they best game of the year they are shooting lights out...

Any one can ride a favorite, just like all the people who are sick right now who are riding the suns at the knicks..

we are all on here trying to find a edge, and make money.

Quote Originally Posted by ValueforRent:



The Bobcats lead the league in defensive efficiency.

Quote Originally Posted by Vegasville:

I was with you on the Cats last night boxingking. So what we lost. Its one game and this year it has been more profitable to take the Cats (11-6  ATS) than the public favorite Celts (8-9 ATS ). So all the bashers should keep betting the sure bets. They will be standing in line at the local soup kitchen while you are laughing your way to the bank.

GL to the rest of your plays this year

Quote Originally Posted by vegasdennis:

degenerate you are a douche