Posted:
#1
Joe public doesn't work with okc. not after 2 losses, that's for sure. -3 for okc? They're SO much better than the rockets with their poor D. Harden is not enough. They just can't handle them. I'm finding it hard to explain that even with 100 precent of the public on okc, i'm still pounding them. -3? that's 2 position game in the bad case. No way they're letting it go down the wire. Now, please please fade me so i can be more relaxed about it.
Other leans for today are: Keep pounding the bad shaped GSW. Now it's time against the lousy suns.
Boston+7 - Since when fakers deserve that much credit. Boston lost and played Nuggets last night yada yada yada... This is "give it all" game. This is a close one, won't be surprised to see the celts win SU.
Any thoughts?
0
ORL
Can Houston win? Absolutely, to the chagrin of newbie bettors, vegas DOES NOT fix nor does it control the future. The mathematics of their business models ensure massive profit regardless of who wins any game. There is way too much randomness and chaos within the physics of the game. Granted, can there be isolated situations with a rogue ref or bench player tanking? Sure it can happen, but there is always an opposing force (i.e an opposing bench player or non-rogue ref "balancing" it out)....now with that said, you gotta CAP the game NOT the line. OKC is a bad match-up for Houston. Ibaka dominates Patterson, Westbrook eats up Lin for breakfast, and KD, well hes free to do what he wants AT WILL. Not to mention, OKC is much better coached than Houston (Mchales subsitutions are strange at times and the offence is "gimmicky", and there is NO emphasis on D, an Dantoni type gameplan). Also, who has the best scouting report on Harden aside from OKC? Can Okc lose, yes! Hence dont "pound' it, hell dont "pound" any game (although certainly ok to risk more on any game if your bankroll permits). But OKC is certainly the right play.
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