This Week: 20-10
Thursday: 3-1 (MIA AND UNDER pending which looks done already.)
Shouldn't have winged that MIA bet. LOL. Went on with a break even night.
Iggy came back and now I hate backing the 76ers. I do like the UNDER 187.0 since both teams are a combined 33-41-0 O/U and averages to score around 92ppg. I believe this is the better bet than the side bet. Milwaukee is known to be that defensive team and it's not a secret that they can put up with the better team coping with injuries (they had a really nice shot at the Spurs last time). 76ers will be back being bad with Igoudala's horrendous FG and definitely score less than they are scoring. Him eating up precious minutes from other players is a good thing for the UNDER as well. A caution though is that 76ers are putting up the numbers their last 5 games (that means they are better offensively without Iggy). Bucks isn't offensively challenged having a couple of streaky shooters and if the 76ers allows them, they can race the numbers up. A side bet would easily be the Philadelphia 76ers -4.0. Even though I rip them with Igoudala playing, you can't take the fact that the 76ers have the Bucks' game pretty much (looking at their past match ups) since both teams barely made any significant changes.
I've given up on the Pistons so I'm betting the Toronto Raptors -4.5 even if I haven't checked the stats and all. Raptors are a lot better at home anyway. A good money making trend would be to pray for Detroit to lead by double digit at the half and bet against them. Works like magic.
I always love to back the Pacers after a good win and they racked two in a row already. It also is not a secret that Chicago is a different team on the road and I bet they'll be looking forward to hosting the Heat the next day. The play here is the Indiana Pacers +1.0. Not much stat to back this one as ATS trends barely give anything. Past matchups suggests that home team gets this one. Earlier in the season, Boozer was in total control with 22 points and 18 boards against a Granger-less Pacers who still doesn't play defense well. Now that they are back home and plays good defense (plus a healthy Granger) I believe they'll have a good shot at the still Noah-less Bulls. The 8-point road-to-home swing should say a lot here. Bulls were always like this and seem to play with less intensity when they've already beaten that team. I'm also playing the total here which is the UNDER 190.0. I was expecting for this one to fall around 187-189 but I'll take it. They are a combined 26-48-0 O/U with the Pacers going 5-14-0 O/U at home. Both will look like they're offensively challenged tomorrow hitting 180 comfortably. Hopefully the remaining 10 points get to decide who wins the match. Too many defense to go around tomorrow specially the Bulls' second half surge in offense and lock down D.
I'm totally banking on the points to get this bet through. Charlotte Bobcats +9.5 is the way to go. It's scary to go against Boston at home but when you see injuries piling up and fatigue plus the pain of the year long season you have to think these guys are human and they still need to keep the wear and tear from the games. I like how the Cats are progressing at the moment. Paul Silas gave them a new life on the offense and still keeping Larry Brown's defense which has gotten them to win 4 games already. I'd like them to show signs of life tomorrow and keep the game within covering distance. Cats is on a good momentum and looks like they are really competing night-in and night-out. This should also be a huge game for them following a close win over Chicago and a revenge spot receiving a 31-point beat down early in Chicago. No idea with the total since I can't tell which Boston team will show up. But I can tell this much. Charlotte will pretty much get to 75 to 80 at the very least on Boston and the Green gang puts up 90 to 95 at the very least. It's best to read the tempo/pace of the game and bet accordingly in the 2nd half.
Fading the Kings. New York Knicks -9.0. I prefer the UNDER here since I see a 110-90 type of game. Kings should feel the fatigue being on the road for three games now. Playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and still have to travel to Detroit for a 4-5 scenario without their best scorer in Evans. This bet is banking on the scheduling and fatigue to catch up with the Kings. This should translate to even less defending and more scoring and when that happens, the Knicks just explodes. The more dunks and threes you allow the Knicks the more they fed off the crowd's cheer and their defense look stronger.
Wow. Fading the Cavs after playing only for two quarters in LA. Utah Jazz -14.5.
Playing both LA teams in the later games.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.