Posted:
#1
NBA Regular Season YTD: 432-320-16
NBA Playoffs YTD: 100-70-3
I have no idea why the total dropped from 188.0 but if it could get any better I'm playing whatever favors the OVER. Total goes 175+ easy. Miami is a pretty good defensive team (started getting better somewhere in December-January). Chicago's awful offense made it look even tougher. With both teams, able to stage comebacks after comebacks I don't think the UNDER will be safe. Both teams played each other twice earlier in the season and both goes over 180 easily. I know Dallas plays good team defense but on one-on-one situation they aren't much of a threat. Durant's lack of experience made Shawn Marion look like a hell of a defender, Terry, Barrea and Kidd most of the time been torched by Westbrook (what more can a Wade do). Guys like Bosh, Dirk and LBJ is so potent in scoring in the post season that's why I'm amazed as to not see the total open somewhere like the DAL-OKC series. OVER is the best play in Game 1.
OVER 186.5
I do have a side play but I'm more comfortable of playing Miami ML. I played it with a 4 point teaser which looks like:
Miami -0.5 & OVER 182.5
The payout is -109 so it's pretty okay rather than taking the -200 ML for the heat. I think Miami wins the ever so important Game 1. Else, my +180 Dallas to Win will really be interesting. It's at +145 in sportsbook and down to +160 in bet365. The bet gives you a lot of possible hedging chances since the Mavericks can give the Heat a run for their money.
I'm holding out for a better price at that ML but I'm throwing it out there and will just update the price I get. I seriously have yet to find any confidence taking the Heat minus the points with the way the Mavs are playing this post season so expect a good action at the half where money will be made. There's loads of reason why to take one side or the other but I made it simpler for myself to save the headache of capping hours and hours and get nothing. Bulls did beat the Heat in the regular season but looked what happened in the Playoffs (the regular season result should've been close since it's played near the playoffs). Mavs just pulled the same number and that was way back early in the season (Do not bother equating Butler in the equation). Anyway, I simply use the process of elimination and it saved me the head ache. LBJ cancels out Dirk. Wade cancels out Terry. Bibby/Miller+whoever cancels out JJ/Kidd+whoever. Bosh sticks out and has always been consistent scoring in double figure against Dallas (against Chandler/Haywood or even Dirk).
Miami Heat ML
BOL.
NBA Playoffs YTD: 100-70-3
I have no idea why the total dropped from 188.0 but if it could get any better I'm playing whatever favors the OVER. Total goes 175+ easy. Miami is a pretty good defensive team (started getting better somewhere in December-January). Chicago's awful offense made it look even tougher. With both teams, able to stage comebacks after comebacks I don't think the UNDER will be safe. Both teams played each other twice earlier in the season and both goes over 180 easily. I know Dallas plays good team defense but on one-on-one situation they aren't much of a threat. Durant's lack of experience made Shawn Marion look like a hell of a defender, Terry, Barrea and Kidd most of the time been torched by Westbrook (what more can a Wade do). Guys like Bosh, Dirk and LBJ is so potent in scoring in the post season that's why I'm amazed as to not see the total open somewhere like the DAL-OKC series. OVER is the best play in Game 1.
OVER 186.5
I do have a side play but I'm more comfortable of playing Miami ML. I played it with a 4 point teaser which looks like:
Miami -0.5 & OVER 182.5
The payout is -109 so it's pretty okay rather than taking the -200 ML for the heat. I think Miami wins the ever so important Game 1. Else, my +180 Dallas to Win will really be interesting. It's at +145 in sportsbook and down to +160 in bet365. The bet gives you a lot of possible hedging chances since the Mavericks can give the Heat a run for their money.
I'm holding out for a better price at that ML but I'm throwing it out there and will just update the price I get. I seriously have yet to find any confidence taking the Heat minus the points with the way the Mavs are playing this post season so expect a good action at the half where money will be made. There's loads of reason why to take one side or the other but I made it simpler for myself to save the headache of capping hours and hours and get nothing. Bulls did beat the Heat in the regular season but looked what happened in the Playoffs (the regular season result should've been close since it's played near the playoffs). Mavs just pulled the same number and that was way back early in the season (Do not bother equating Butler in the equation). Anyway, I simply use the process of elimination and it saved me the head ache. LBJ cancels out Dirk. Wade cancels out Terry. Bibby/Miller+whoever cancels out JJ/Kidd+whoever. Bosh sticks out and has always been consistent scoring in double figure against Dallas (against Chandler/Haywood or even Dirk).
Miami Heat ML
BOL.
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