C'mon mw You're pretty good at Mil games I believe. Don't you think that total is ridiculous? I'm going with the Under.
The line movement on that Milwaukee/Detroit total has been huge. it went from an opening of 202 all the way to 206.5. Settled at 205.5 now. I would stay away from this under. Just my 2 cents. GL.
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Quote Originally Posted by SuperSlapem:
C'mon mw You're pretty good at Mil games I believe. Don't you think that total is ridiculous? I'm going with the Under.
The line movement on that Milwaukee/Detroit total has been huge. it went from an opening of 202 all the way to 206.5. Settled at 205.5 now. I would stay away from this under. Just my 2 cents. GL.
[Quote: Originally Posted by mellow_wolf] At 216 currently.
This is highest total for any Cavs game all season and third highest for any Denver game(only the two Houston games were set higher). It's a full 10.5 points higher than their last meeting one month ago. Inflation anyone?
Purely contrarian play that goes against all recent numbers and has no real statistical basis.
Both teams have been extremely hot on offense and it might very well carry over into this evening.
I am wagering it won't. Regression to the mean has to happen at some point.
I am rolling with the under 216. Good luck if you decide to play it.
it will go over 230
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[Quote: Originally Posted by mellow_wolf] At 216 currently.
This is highest total for any Cavs game all season and third highest for any Denver game(only the two Houston games were set higher). It's a full 10.5 points higher than their last meeting one month ago. Inflation anyone?
Purely contrarian play that goes against all recent numbers and has no real statistical basis.
Both teams have been extremely hot on offense and it might very well carry over into this evening.
I am wagering it won't. Regression to the mean has to happen at some point.
I am rolling with the under 216. Good luck if you decide to play it.
Look at Denver's last nine games and see where they were played. They have been on a long home stand and now travel to Cleveland. They don't score as many points on the road. Eight of Denver's last nine games have been at home. Yes, they do score a lot of points but average 100.2 on the road. Cleveland averages 98.5 points for at hoje. The points allowed for Denver on the road and Cleveland are similar as well (102.1 Denver and 100.1 Cleveland). The line is inflated. It will stay under. I am figuring this game finishes with around 208 total points scored. Good luck.
these numbers are AVERAGES, which include games against teams that play a slower place, and games in which one or the other, maybe both teams shot the ball poorly. i have been perusing denver's road games and the games that stayed under they played low scoring teams or teams that really defend well. the total is inflated for a reason. 10 of denvers last 12 games have gone over. 7 out of 10 of clevelands last games have gone over. the linesmakers are trying to adjust their totals to find the right balance to attract bettors on both sides of the totals. since these totals keep going over for both teams and the cavs are certainly playing a faster pace since varejao went out, the linesmakers havent gotten it high enough yet....so yes it seems inflated, but since the games keep going over, i will keep playing over for both teams until the under starts to come in.
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Quote Originally Posted by Kazual12:
Look at Denver's last nine games and see where they were played. They have been on a long home stand and now travel to Cleveland. They don't score as many points on the road. Eight of Denver's last nine games have been at home. Yes, they do score a lot of points but average 100.2 on the road. Cleveland averages 98.5 points for at hoje. The points allowed for Denver on the road and Cleveland are similar as well (102.1 Denver and 100.1 Cleveland). The line is inflated. It will stay under. I am figuring this game finishes with around 208 total points scored. Good luck.
these numbers are AVERAGES, which include games against teams that play a slower place, and games in which one or the other, maybe both teams shot the ball poorly. i have been perusing denver's road games and the games that stayed under they played low scoring teams or teams that really defend well. the total is inflated for a reason. 10 of denvers last 12 games have gone over. 7 out of 10 of clevelands last games have gone over. the linesmakers are trying to adjust their totals to find the right balance to attract bettors on both sides of the totals. since these totals keep going over for both teams and the cavs are certainly playing a faster pace since varejao went out, the linesmakers havent gotten it high enough yet....so yes it seems inflated, but since the games keep going over, i will keep playing over for both teams until the under starts to come in.
Damn. Too late. I hate playing unders on anything that ends in 5.5 before gametime . Under Denver and Under Detroit were just put in through my local. Should've waited. Still lots of time.
“A Fool And His Money Are Soon Parted” -Thomas Tusser 1557
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Damn. Too late. I hate playing unders on anything that ends in 5.5 before gametime . Under Denver and Under Detroit were just put in through my local. Should've waited. Still lots of time.
Damn. Too late. I hate playing unders on anything that ends in 5.5 before gametime . Under Denver and Under Detroit were just put in through my local. Should've waited. Still lots of time.
call and buy it back?.... if he lets you....
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Quote Originally Posted by SuperSlapem:
Damn. Too late. I hate playing unders on anything that ends in 5.5 before gametime . Under Denver and Under Detroit were just put in through my local. Should've waited. Still lots of time.
i took the under on this one. i find it weird it's set at 215.5. they played last month the total was set at 205.5 at denver. final score was 98-91 denver. tonight's total is set 10 points higher. do you think they r baiting us to take the under with such a high total??? so far is not looking good
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i took the under on this one. i find it weird it's set at 215.5. they played last month the total was set at 205.5 at denver. final score was 98-91 denver. tonight's total is set 10 points higher. do you think they r baiting us to take the under with such a high total??? so far is not looking good
whenever andre miller is in, he usually plays a slow pace. even hes running in this game. hopefully 2nd half there's defense or miss shots like the chi/utah game yest
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whenever andre miller is in, he usually plays a slow pace. even hes running in this game. hopefully 2nd half there's defense or miss shots like the chi/utah game yest
i won my first half over of 108, so i bought back my full game over at U107 1/2 to insure a profit on the game. wish i woulda posted this at the half, but i forgot about this thread til just now.
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i won my first half over of 108, so i bought back my full game over at U107 1/2 to insure a profit on the game. wish i woulda posted this at the half, but i forgot about this thread til just now.
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