The Warriors are the most complete team I have ever seen and I've been around awhile. If LaBron dismantles them by himself then my hat is off to him. The Warriors have a team chemistry like most teams that win championships. I wish you well with your Cleveland (the home of champions) wager.
That is definitely a well above average strategy. However, personally, I would make it more conservative as follows:
Game 1: Don't bet. The outcome will give you way more info than you have starting from nothing.
Game 2: Don't bet at the start. Then (as Jailbait7127 suggests), wait till they are down in game, then bet 1 unit.
Game 3: If you're up, quit. If down, bet 2 units.
Game 4: Quit either way, w/ your 1 unit win or your 3 unit loss. The odds are totally with GS sweeping at this point, but (again agreeing w/ Jailbait7127), doubt NBA wants a sweep, plus some other minor reasons.
That is definitely a well above average strategy. However, personally, I would make it more conservative as follows:
Game 1: Don't bet. The outcome will give you way more info than you have starting from nothing.
Game 2: Don't bet at the start. Then (as Jailbait7127 suggests), wait till they are down in game, then bet 1 unit.
Game 3: If you're up, quit. If down, bet 2 units.
Game 4: Quit either way, w/ your 1 unit win or your 3 unit loss. The odds are totally with GS sweeping at this point, but (again agreeing w/ Jailbait7127), doubt NBA wants a sweep, plus some other minor reasons.
Like I suggested, you would now be better off had you not bet Game 1.
Honestly, the injury to Irving has imploded the entire strategy. If I had to, I would take GS ML for Game 2. Best chance for Cavs ML, if any, is if they lose Game 2, then bet them in Game 3 ML before the game starts.
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