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Enough Dicking around... im gonna bank 10k by the end of the season - run starts 2night

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Posted: #26
Great thread...    GL fellas
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by WizardOfOdd:

 

philly would not be a play tonight.  why would they be a play tonight?  just curious?

of course I look like an ass now that I read it, I must have stared at the screen for 2 minutes saying "why th fu** is he asking if philly is a play?" and then I see I wrote that like an idiot I meant to write "so philly wouldn't be a play tonight?" and I see I have your answer...ty sir

 
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Posted: #28
Good info Wizard
 
BOL tonight everyone
 
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Posted: #29
Well said Wizard, however I do believe though in some of those road games that Detroit and Boston did not cover were on b2b, and to me back to back Coastal road games is whole another science in its own. But I agree with you on all of your points 
 
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Posted: #30
Wizard speaking of Philly do you believe they can beat Toronto SU? I feel like Toronto has had to let downs at home, and are due a win. They are shooting the ball well and the two teams they lost to were 2 of the best defensively in the East.
 
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Posted: #31
Smoke, yea, I think a west coast trip is a lot tougher for east coast teams than the other way around.  plus, the west has tougher teams.
 
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If I understand this correctly (big "if")... tonight New Orleans -2 would be a good bet to cover... beeeeeecause... LAL won ATS against Memphis last night... this is a second b2b on the road game for LAL... fade them to lose this time... right WizardOfOdd??? man... this is good stuff 

 
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Posted: #34
Wow what just went down on my thread hahahahaha.  You go to physcial therapy and come back to 33 posts. 
 
 
these picks are being played at my normal amount ($100 - so dont worry gut - not reaching on the numbers), and in a system ive been researching over the last 6 weeks (and have taken all the way back to the start of the season) and its been hitting at 67%.  I'm actually playing alot fewer games per week in this new system.  I don't expect to win every play I post, simply 6-2 5-3 or 2night would be fine and on par to hit my goal.
 
 
dont jump into my games without watching for a week or so, im predicting a positive number at the end of the week...
 
lets see how i do
 
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Posted: #35
 
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Posted: #36
WizardOfOdd... system-wise would you favor Indiana +11 tonight to cover the spread, since they are on a road run and have lost their first two ATS games on the road. Or would this just be a "no play". Probably just a "no play" I'm guessing...
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by Smoke_O:

Wizard speaking of Philly do you believe they can beat Toronto SU? I feel like Toronto has had to let downs at home, and are due a win. They are shooting the ball well and the two teams they lost to were 2 of the best defensively in the East.

 

I dont think philly will win tonight.  just came home from a long ass road trip, played one game at home last night and back on the road.  i dont think they want to be in toronto tonight.

bol

 
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Posted: #38
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by JackBurton:

If I understand this correctly (big "if")... tonight New Orleans -2 would be a good bet to cover... beeeeeecause... LAL won ATS against Memphis last night... this is a second b2b on the road game for LAL... fade them to lose this time... right WizardOfOdd??? man... this is good stuff 

 

no.  its only a 2 game road trip.  thats really not long at all. but i do like the hornets in this spot. lakers off b2b.  but still a no play for me.

 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by JackBurton:

WizardOfOdd... system-wise would you favor Indiana +11 tonight to cover the spread, since they are on a road run and have lost their first two ATS games on the road. Or would this just be a "no play". Probably just a "no play" I'm guessing...

 

I played against indi on the 1st game of a 5 game road trip against the lakers, and they did not cover, so i'm done with indi during this road trip.

but for example, if they covered against the lakers(game 1) and utah(game 2) I would have bet against Indi this game for 3x the amount.

 
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Posted: #41
just an FYI, there are no plays at all tonight.
 
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Posted: #42
swiched my play from cleveland to atlanta.
 
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Posted: #43
Switching Lakers to New Orleans.
 
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Posted: #44
Good luck Tridge
 
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Posted: #45

Got it... thanks a bunch WizardOfOdd. Thanks for sharing. It was kind of you to do so.

Just a first glance at the histories regarding your thoughts is looking very auspicious to me (especially with your 2X, 3X mechanisms). Definitely worth further study, guys.

Again thanks WizardOfOdd. I personally appreciate the insight A BUNCH! You're a champ to pitch in with this man.  Valuable and very insightful thinking in my book. VERY SAVVY!!!   

 
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Posted: #46
Hey Burton Indy plays NO defense and they like to run (IMO, that is not a good style for them becasue they lack consistent jump shooters). They came out running against LA and Utah and they couldnt keep up. So to say they can do this with Pho is crazy. However Tinsley is back (played his first game, last night) and Raja is out. If Tinsley gets hot then they might cover (Nash is an awful defender). Its a large # to cover either way and its a no play for me.
 
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Posted: #47
I like your reasoning Smoke_O. I think that's extraordinary analysis and an excellent call => Phoe/Ind = NO PLAY. Thanks for the great insight man... 
 
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Posted: #48
This sounds like a guy that needs to be faded.   
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by WizardOfOdd:

 

 

for example, the 5 dogs that covered last night, all won SU. and the other 4 dogs that lost, also lost by the spread.  so to me, the spread dont mean a damn thing.  vegas dont know shit about setting lines, they just want even action most of the times.

 

 

 
 
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Posted: #50
switching pheonix to indiana
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