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Falcon Plays for Today

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Prospect
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Posted: #376
i see vancouver at +103, something happened?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #377
Thanks, Cranks
 
Prospect
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Posted: #378
Geoffrey - Canucks announced Lack in goal tonight.


 
Covers Referee
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Posted: #379
Guys,

This is the NBA forum. Post separately in each forum. We do want this thread bumped to the top of the NBA forum with NHL discussion and picks.

Thank-you,

CT
Winning Starts Here
 
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Posted: #380
Quote Originally Posted by Covers-Team:

Guys,

This is the NBA forum. Post separately in each forum. We do want this thread bumped to the top of the NBA forum with NHL discussion and picks.

Thank-you,

CT

 
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Posted: #381
Quote Originally Posted by MITM:

2015 Record
42-26 (+27.00 units)
61.76% Winners
(-110) avg juice
each for 2 units

NHL 25-12
NBA 17-14

Plays for today

Vancouver (-110) 2 units NHL

Houston +2.5 (-110) 2 units NBA


Todays NHL numbers
Van 62% +20.20
Car 53% -22.20
NYR/Buff NL
Stl/Bos NL
Chi 66% -15.80
Ana/Cal NL
Minn 62% -4.50

I dont anticipate any of the 3 unlined games to be a play..

Houston +2.5 (my line Hou -4)

As someone above said, dont get caught up in any one day, on any one game.. Guys we do this every day, we play 2% of BR per play, recalculate BR at the start of each calendar month. In fact ill write our betting model out once again...

NHL, NBA and MLB Only
1-3 Top Program plays daily
57.14% Win goal or higher
(-110) avg juice
Each for 2% of BR
Recalulate the BR at start of each month

Its as simple as that and if we follow that outline, everything will be fine.. Good Luck today with your wagers, whatever they may be..

FS

 

With a line of +2 for the Houston game, what is the variance for taking them on the ML? Is it advised or not? I was going to play the Clips last night on ML too, but laid off. Then I was going to get them at +1 2nd H and laid off. I was betting $1000 per game and killing my book, then they lowered me down to $500 and for some reason the wheels fell off.

I'm just wondering if it safe to take the small ML dogs. Thank you for  your work.

 

 
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Posted: #382
NN4L, it would be ok to take the ML with any line i put out at +3 or lower.. 

Guys, u can always PM me with any questions about the NHL, lets keep the talk to the NBA..

I put the plays up very early most days and i dont check the thread much (sorry).. 

Good Luck tonight guys..

FS
 
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Posted: #383
Covers Team MAMAGUEVOS!!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #384
PS: Nice work u have here Falcon/MITM
 
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Posted: #385
Thanks man, got a little time today, waiting on the games to start, i hardly ever watch but will keep up with.. My picks are from a program, does me no good to watch, i dont pick em anyway.. 

FS
 
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Posted: #386
What do they care if there's discussion about another sport ? Seems weird....
just don't read the thread if it doesn't apply to what you need.
really, who cares...
 
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Posted: #387
bounceback MITM, your 2 pikcs for today is LOSS
 
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Posted: #388
2015 Record
42-28 (+22.60 units)
60.00% Winners
(-110) avg juice
each for 2 units

NHL 25-13
NBA 17-15

Todays Plays

Islanders (+120) 2 units (day game) NHL

Florida (-120) 2 units NHL

Detroit (-120) 2 units NHL


Todays NHL numbers
Isles 59% +26.85
Nash 53% -12.80
Winn/Tor Even
Mont 60% -16.00
NJ/Car NL
Fla 58% +9.40
Ana/Edm NL
TB 62% -5.50
Stl 57% -4.45
Det 64% +20.80
LA/SJ Even

Little bit of a stretch with Florida tonight  but the projected win rate is 58% with a positive Value reading, which is what we look for..

The Top NBA play, will be played and posted later today, currently waiting on lines to go up..

I know yesterday was an (0-2) day, get used to losing, it will happen.. Learn to get past it and move on.. I never say anything about any wins or losses.. I keep my eye on my calendar year and as long as im in the projected win rate area, im ok with it.. My wagers are all 2% of my BR, ill recalculate it at the start of each new month.. 2015 has been good thus far, the numbers should stay in the zone of 57.14% to 62.00%.. Sure they will probably move up and down that zone area, so careful if your hopping "in and out" of the program.. 

Back later with the NBA.. Good Luck with your wagers..


FS
 
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Posted: #389
adding for sat night

Phoenix +8 (-110) 2 units NBA


FS
 
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Posted: #390
Can you please quickly explain what the numbers mean next to the NHL picks.


 
Prospect
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Posted: #391
on all 3. 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #392
all 4 i mean. really there should be an edit button 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #393
Bro, if possible, please post early. We bet here in southeast asia, usually at around 9am eastern time. Best of luck and thank you!
 
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Posted: #394
2015 Record
44-30 (+22.20 units)
59.46% Winners
(-110) avg juice
each for 2 units

NHL 26-15
NBA 18-15

Todays Plays

Detroit +1.5 (-110) 2 units NBA

Boston -2 (-110) 2 units NBA


No NHL today, nothing qualified as a play..

FS
 
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Posted: #395
I hope the terrible losing trend turns around soon because it's been pretty bad the last few days.
 
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Posted: #396
I wish we could win them all, unfortunately that will never happen.. If i continue to post here for a very long time, there will always be good and bad runs.. Im confident enough in my programs to know what to expect.. A win percentage from 57.14% or better, i cant really expect much better long term, if u have something, im all ears.. We have a computer program for 3 sports (NHL, NBA and MLB), we will have from 50-70 plays per month, we will hit from 57.14%-62.00% against a (-110) line.. I play 2% of my BR on each, i refigure wager amount at the start of each calendar month.. Good Luck with your wagers..

Falcon
 
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Posted: #397
Well done on Detroit, thanks for your picks
 
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Posted: #398
Keep it up MITM...... 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #399
MITM, do you ever look at o/u or team totals NBA and NHL games? 

Best of luck 
 
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #400
Richard, unfortunately no. 
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