I'll explain the science/math behind my picks. It's not trend-following, SDQL, or anything based on team records. There is serious science behind these picks. I take correlations based on moneyline chart of past lines and find high correlations with today's charts. So, the picks are usually minutes before tip-off, but believe me, the record will speak for itself. Don't ask me for more info on how I make my picks. Tail my picks, but don't fade me... you will lose money in the long run.
-- take a leap of faith
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'll explain the science/math behind my picks. It's not trend-following, SDQL, or anything based on team records. There is serious science behind these picks. I take correlations based on moneyline chart of past lines and find high correlations with today's charts. So, the picks are usually minutes before tip-off, but believe me, the record will speak for itself. Don't ask me for more info on how I make my picks. Tail my picks, but don't fade me... you will lose money in the long run.
Sorry, the line updated at 6:33 CST. It was a bit late and I scrambled to update the algo. I need to find a way to automate this process, but it's somewhat a manual process for now.
-- take a leap of faith
0
Sorry, the line updated at 6:33 CST. It was a bit late and I scrambled to update the algo. I need to find a way to automate this process, but it's somewhat a manual process for now.
The really interesting part of this strategy is that I'm not following any kind of line movement. I'm just waiting for the entire picture so I can correlate to hundreds of previous events. It doesn't matter which side the public is on and which side the sharps are on. The only thing that matters is the correlation and then the result of that correlation. Imagine you see someone playing roulette and everytime he puts money on red, he gets a 0/00, and wins everytime he picks anything else. Wouldn't you naturally follow his bets and only when he bets red, you bet 0/00. This is the same philosophy to this strategy.
In any case, with TOR and BKN, we're off to the races with a small streak of 3 - 0. I will eventually lose at some pt. Like I said, tail me if you'd like- just don't fade me. Good night.
-- take a leap of faith
0
The really interesting part of this strategy is that I'm not following any kind of line movement. I'm just waiting for the entire picture so I can correlate to hundreds of previous events. It doesn't matter which side the public is on and which side the sharps are on. The only thing that matters is the correlation and then the result of that correlation. Imagine you see someone playing roulette and everytime he puts money on red, he gets a 0/00, and wins everytime he picks anything else. Wouldn't you naturally follow his bets and only when he bets red, you bet 0/00. This is the same philosophy to this strategy.
In any case, with TOR and BKN, we're off to the races with a small streak of 3 - 0. I will eventually lose at some pt. Like I said, tail me if you'd like- just don't fade me. Good night.
I'll create a database on the over/under plays and see if it's as reliable as the spreads. I know, from experience, that these wagers are a crapshoot since OT can throw off the results. Considering this, I will only record the pre-OT numbers in my database to provide a much clearer picture of what would have been the correct total in normal circumstances. If the results look promising, I'll make some predictions come game time.
-- take a leap of faith
0
I'll create a database on the over/under plays and see if it's as reliable as the spreads. I know, from experience, that these wagers are a crapshoot since OT can throw off the results. Considering this, I will only record the pre-OT numbers in my database to provide a much clearer picture of what would have been the correct total in normal circumstances. If the results look promising, I'll make some predictions come game time.
No, the whole point of posting the picks right before tip off is to capture the entire line movement. Posting early can result in false-positives where the correlation shows a completely different set of events due to incomplete data. This is what happened yesterday. I called for MIL -7, but then I received a late line movement. This particular line movement changed the correlation calculation so much that it changed the result of the wager completely to the other side. So, the answer is 'No'. If you want reliable picks based on this algorithm, it's worth waiting for all of the data to come through.
-- take a leap of faith
1
No, the whole point of posting the picks right before tip off is to capture the entire line movement. Posting early can result in false-positives where the correlation shows a completely different set of events due to incomplete data. This is what happened yesterday. I called for MIL -7, but then I received a late line movement. This particular line movement changed the correlation calculation so much that it changed the result of the wager completely to the other side. So, the answer is 'No'. If you want reliable picks based on this algorithm, it's worth waiting for all of the data to come through.
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ok Tor it is !
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