All Forums | NBA Betting

*** Home Teams have Won and Covered 8 Straight in these Playoffs. That Changes Tonight ***

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 5867
Posts: 51
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2008
Posts: 14495
Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by Seabiscuit:

Curry is not hurt, Westbrook is dominating him.

Kerr isn't about to put a percentage on his superstar's health.

''I don't do that. If he were struggling with anything, I would know,'' Kerr said. ''Nobody has said anything about Steph being 70 percent to me. Our training staff, relatives, friends, sources with knowledge of our team's thinking, nobody has told me he's 70 percent.''



these refs have made him look 70%. watch him miraculously get back into MVP form tonight
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2016
Posts: 334
Posted: #27
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 9317
Posted: #28
This series has been insane. Bad luck there at the end as really any team could have covered. GS played well but OKC killed themselves early. Adams foul trouble early really hurt and too many turnovers.

ATS could have gone either way , can't wait for game 6 already
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 6659
Posted: #29
Lean GS to cover game 6....we are overdue for a road cover. I dont think it will be cleveland.

OKC can win this series in 7.....and that would make them seem strong entering the finals, them able to topple GS in Oakland AGAIN.

Something to think about. This would be the idea situation for the script it seems. 

So I hate to bet against OKC at home but I think betting GS game 6 and OKC game 7 will get you 2-0

Or bet OKC ML for both games you should profit either way. Let's get this money.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2014
Posts: 4927
Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Lover65:

long adds then why you bets are small? tonight,GS will take the big lead and never look back
love to see your write up on G6 CLE vs TORanyways,i laid my bet already
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2015
Posts: 760
Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

Lean GS to cover game 6....we are overdue for a road cover. I dont think it will be cleveland.

OKC can win this series in 7.....and that would make them seem strong entering the finals, them able to topple GS in Oakland AGAIN.

Something to think about. This would be the idea situation for the script it seems. 

So I hate to bet against OKC at home but I think betting GS game 6 and OKC game 7 will get you 2-0

Or bet OKC ML for both games you should profit either way. Let's get this money.

Enough with the script. If there was a goddamn script last years conference finals would not have sucked as much as it did
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2015
Posts: 760
Posted: #32
Cavs sweep the Hawks and GSW beats the Rockets in 5??? What an awful "script". What possible argument could you have against that. Why weren't the Warriors playing the Clippers? I don't wanna hear the word script anymore
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2015
Posts: 760
Posted: #33
And what about the year before that? Why did the spurs beat the heat in 5?

https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/2014/06/2014-nba-finals-hits-five-year-low-among-lowest-rated-on-record/

The five-game Spurs/Heat NBA Finals averaged a 9.3 rating and 15.5 million viewers on ABC, down 11% in ratings and 12% in viewership from last year’s seven game series between the teams (10.5, 17.7M) and down 8% in both measures from the five-game Heat/Thunder series in 2012 (10.1, 16.9M). Compared to last year’s five-game average, ratings and viewership improved 2% and 3%, respectively, from a 9.1 and 15.1 million.

The Spurs/Heat series ranks as the lowest rated and least-viewed NBA Finals since Lakers/Magic in 2009 (8.4, 14.3M). It is the first NBA Finals to average a single-digit rating since that 2009 series, ending a streak of four-straight double-digit series. On a positive note for ABC, this year’s series was only the third since the network acquired rights in which every game drew at least a 9.0 rating.

Not a blockbuster script there

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2015
Posts: 1573
Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

Lean GS to cover game 6....we are overdue for a road cover. I dont think it will be cleveland.

OKC can win this series in 7.....and that would make them seem strong entering the finals, them able to topple GS in Oakland AGAIN.

Something to think about. This would be the idea situation for the script it seems. 

So I hate to bet against OKC at home but I think betting GS game 6 and OKC game 7 will get you 2-0

Or bet OKC ML for both games you should profit either way. Let's get this money.

You said earlier that OKC would win in 5. Now in 7? hahahahha
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 9317
Posted: #35
Still a little upset at this one though, I knew GS would win a close one but their spread was in jeopardy all night. GS biggest lead was 12 in the game and OKC had so many chances to cover despite every call going against them early.

Saturday night will easily be one of the biggest games of Westbrook and Durant's career - let's see how they finish
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 1043
Posted: #36
OKC just couldn't hit a shot for a stretch of almost 4 minutes at the end and still had a shot to cover with 2 seconds left. Brutal, but that's how it goes sometimes.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 832
Posted: #37
Does this home team trend end to tonight?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 4140
Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

I see a lot of people jumping on GS to win the series now at +250 knowing they have 2 games at home. The thought process is OKC can’t win another game in Oracle Arena so it will come down to game 6. Golden State is obviously lightyears better at home, but their confidence was shot the past 2 games. I said prior to game 3 and prior to game 4 the only game I was worried about was game 6. I still stick to that today. OKC has had 0 pressure on them all series and they will definitely have no pressure on them to close the Warriors out on the road up 3-1. All the pressure will be on GS tonight in the closeout game, while the Thunder can play loose as the road underdog. These roles however, will be reversed in Game 6. I’m slightly worried about game 6, if it reaches there – but I still think they will prevail at home if need be. GS is not out yet and can make this a real series if they win tonight but people acting like Warriors at home are a lock are wrong. 

OKC should control this game as they are playing better ball than the Warriors. After this game if Warriors can win, GS becomes the underdog for the rest of the series/playoffs for the first time all year. OKC has a chance to take them out before things get shaky.

Coaching is everything in the playoffs, especially to win on the road. While Billy Donovan has been doing this for 20+ years, Steve Kerr is showing some true colors in his 2nd year as he’s countered with 0 adjustments so far. Even when GS won game 2 this series, it was just Curry being Curry as opposed to any gameplan changes. Either Curry/Klay get hot late which is very possible – or this series ends tonight.

  • Thunder +5 first half (+100) (1x)
  • Thunder +7.5 -107 (2x)

I said it prior to the playoffs, OKC has been waiting for their shot for the past 3 years. They are finally healthy. Westbrook has heard people tout Curry all season long and he is attacking him and Thompson relentlessly making them waste lots of energy on defense. Let’s see if Kerr can make an adjustment for this in game 5. Golden State will most likely win a close 4th quarter battle but there will be no blowout tonight.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 9317
Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by sideJOBplay:


What are you  about? I said GS would win a close 4th quarter game and there would be no blowout. Did you see something else happen?

Chestbrah - I wouldn't be surprised if it did but not playing either side tonight
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 136
Posted: #40
LC - I know you have futures wagers on OKC, but those wagers aside, what do you think about the current G6 lines of OKC -2?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 6659
Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by alvaro_duarte:


You said earlier that OKC would win in 5. Now in 7? hahahahha

Good cappers adjust their plays, as the situations change. I guess you learn something new everyday?

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 9317
Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Baseball:

LC - I know you have futures wagers on OKC, but those wagers aside, what do you think about the current G6 lines of OKC -2?

I don't see a blowout either way, I see a very similar game to game 5 however, as the refs were giving GS tons of home love, I expect that to reverse in Chesapeake giving OKC the slight edge. 

OKC hung in with GS throughout game 5 despite starting off the game 6-26 from the field, Adams in early foul call, and Warriors having 0 fouls in the first quarter.

Westbrook had 7 turnovers, he needs to reduce that at home and he should. I trust Billy Donovan, I like OKC's chances for a 4-12 point win tomorrow night. I however, will place no bet on the game as I have so much on the line tomorrow
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 6659
Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Ultimate5:

Cavs sweep the Hawks and GSW beats the Rockets in 5??? What an awful "script". What possible argument could you have against that. Why weren't the Warriors playing the Clippers? I don't wanna hear the word script anymore

You might not want to hear it. But that doesn't mean it's not the truth. Would you rather people use the word "RIGGED?" Because if you think there is nothing shady going on out there, you might need to get a better pair of glasses.

Its already been explained 1000 times why some scripts are boring. Certain teams are just  better than others or match up better. Good example is the dubs and the cavs. Cavs are a good team...when you compare them to atlanta. But when you put them next to GS, Cavs look like the 76ers. And that is why they are scripting it for GS to lose the series this year. They do not want the same boring finals match as we had last year. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 136
Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


I don't see a blowout either way, I see a very similar game to game 5 however, as the refs were giving GS tons of home love, I expect that to reverse in Chesapeake giving OKC the slight edge. 

OKC hung in with GS throughout game 5 despite starting off the game 6-26 from the field, Adams in early foul call, and Warriors having 0 fouls in the first quarter.

Westbrook had 7 turnovers, he needs to reduce that at home and he should. I trust Billy Donovan, I like OKC's chances for a 4-12 point win tomorrow night. I however, will place no bet on the game as I have so much on the line tomorrow

Thanks for the feedback LC!  Good luck with your OKC futures.  
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 6659
Posted: #45
I can't believe you are not going to hedge the game tomorrow. You are getting underdog money on GS and you have so much riding. 

What is the point of not collecting guaranteed $$$?? You have to hedge, if you are a professional gambler....

And I am telling you I think GS has a great chance to win.

Let's look at GS past 3 games.....LLW....do you really see them going like this LLWL?? That is 3 L's with a little W in the middle. GS TOO GOOD FOR THAT. They are back on track now they should win game 6. And OKC takes game 7 and that makes people believe they belong in the finals. 

Also I like that GS opened as underdogs. The underdog has mostly been the team winning and covering this series. But really the home winning streak is what is due to end here. GS picks up a rare road win/cover in these playoffs it looks like and then OKC will finish the job in 7. Either that, or it's even slightly possible GS will advance. I just seriously doubt it. If I am correct about my theory how NBA does not want a rematch, then I doubt we see them advance

So i will be on OKC ML for game 7 for sure if we get there. And game 6 I am strongly leaning GS ML at the moment.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 9317
Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

I can't believe you are not going to hedge the game tomorrow. You are getting underdog money on GS and you have so much riding. 

What is the point of not collecting guaranteed $$$?? You have to hedge, if you are a professional gambler....

And I am telling you I think GS has a great chance to win.

Let's look at GS past 3 games.....LLW....do you really see them going like this LLWL?? That is 3 L's with a little W in the middle. GS TOO GOOD FOR THAT. They are back on track now they should win game 6. And OKC takes game 7 and that makes people believe they belong in the finals. 

Also I like that GS opened as underdogs. The underdog has mostly been the team winning and covering this series. But really the home winning streak is what is due to end here. GS picks up a rare road win/cover in these playoffs it looks like and then OKC will finish the job in 7. Either that, or it's even slightly possible GS will advance. I just seriously doubt it. If I am correct about my theory how NBA does not want a rematch, then I doubt we see them advance

So i will be on OKC ML for game 7 for sure if we get there. And game 6 I am strongly leaning GS ML at the moment.

Of course GS has a chance, but I'm not one that believes the NBA gets what they want. I'm positive that they have no say and that the players are the ones who dictates who advances, but of course you don't have to agree with me as to each their own. I respect other's viewpoints.

I will be hedging if OKC gets to the finals, taking my chances and rolling the dice that they reach there. I am guaranteed a minimum of $60,000 profit IF Thunder beat GS tomorrow (just from the futures)


 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2015
Posts: 6055
Posted: #47
Good fortune on game 6 and the Thunder tomorrow.

I didn't get in as early as you have on OKC winning it all.....I find it amazing that OKC is still as much as +200 to win it all.

90% sure I'll hedge tomorrow and take the Warriors, I favor the line versus the moneyline as it moves up over 2 to 2' to perhaps 3 tomorrow.  Moneyline looks to be around +135/140ish.  Have a mddle opportunity if the Thunder wins by 1 or 2. 

The way the linesmakers are valuing the teams it looks like the Cavs will be about a -140 favorite if both the Thunder and Cavs win their next game and play in the finals.  I'd find that an amazing line too.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2013
Posts: 632
Posted: #48
Good luck League, I def like GS tomorrow but do think OKC can win game 7
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 8152
Posted: #49
Never underestimate the heart of a champion.
 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 9317
Posted: #50
5dimes already as finals line posted

Oklahoma City -110
Cleveland - 110

If they meet of course
All Forums | NBA Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.