I think the lines for home court has already been determined before game 1 or 2 has been played.
not true... they obviously have an idea of what they will list it at but things change, odds change... the public or sharps can alter lines and the books will adjust for the next game and so on. perception changes, so it is possible they will adjust or move a line accordingly.. .. plus you can add the zig zag theory to alter the lines too.. off the top of my head, last year Orlando and Atlanta i think had big changes in their opening lines from what the odds would of been had they 'determined the home court lines before game 1 has been played' the lines in atlanta for game 3 and 4 were changed because of the domination of Orlando.
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Quote Originally Posted by tjohnsont:
I think the lines for home court has already been determined before game 1 or 2 has been played.
not true... they obviously have an idea of what they will list it at but things change, odds change... the public or sharps can alter lines and the books will adjust for the next game and so on. perception changes, so it is possible they will adjust or move a line accordingly.. .. plus you can add the zig zag theory to alter the lines too.. off the top of my head, last year Orlando and Atlanta i think had big changes in their opening lines from what the odds would of been had they 'determined the home court lines before game 1 has been played' the lines in atlanta for game 3 and 4 were changed because of the domination of Orlando.
I will update this through out the series and see how we are doing. This thread will only track the played based on the plan above. I might still make separate plays outside of this.
GL to all
I am shocked at the reaction after one game. The series price going from -200 to +115
Currently I have 20 units on the HEAT for the whole series (losing money here) And +4 units on the Bulls from Game-1
I think the public and the line maker are overreacting to just one game
Adding 1K on the HEAT series to win 1.15K
Total position (investment) on the HEAT to win the series 30 units to win 20.15 units
Total gain from hedging on the Bulls : 4 units
I will update this through out the series
The first and greatest victory is to conquer self
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Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil:
Here it is:
Heat Series Money Line -200 (2000 to win 1000)
Game-1 (Chicago @ HOME)
Chicago Bulls Money Line -125 (500 to win 400)
I will update this through out the series and see how we are doing. This thread will only track the played based on the plan above. I might still make separate plays outside of this.
GL to all
I am shocked at the reaction after one game. The series price going from -200 to +115
Currently I have 20 units on the HEAT for the whole series (losing money here) And +4 units on the Bulls from Game-1
I think the public and the line maker are overreacting to just one game
Adding 1K on the HEAT series to win 1.15K
Total position (investment) on the HEAT to win the series 30 units to win 20.15 units
Miamis holes were not exploited in the Boston series but you could see them.The Bulls are a better team and a bad matchup for Miami.They arent over reacting they are seeing what everyone can seee in the 4 games vs Miami
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Miamis holes were not exploited in the Boston series but you could see them.The Bulls are a better team and a bad matchup for Miami.They arent over reacting they are seeing what everyone can seee in the 4 games vs Miami
This is just so awful on so many levels, your bookie must love it when you call in shit like this. He looks at his sidekick and says, "This is the reason I book bets, listen to what this guy just did"
. no disrespect devil but he's right.
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Quote Originally Posted by IPartyALOT:
This is just so awful on so many levels, your bookie must love it when you call in shit like this. He looks at his sidekick and says, "This is the reason I book bets, listen to what this guy just did"
i wish i didn't say that. sometimes it's just hard.
best of luck with your plays.
no problem bro, This is just testing out my theory. At this point, it does not bode well but I am sticking with it and see how it goes. I am still making side bet beside this play. I actually hit a LARGE play on the Bulls 2H on Sunday (outside of this play).
The first and greatest victory is to conquer self
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Quote Originally Posted by I_Need_A_Detox:
i wish i didn't say that. sometimes it's just hard.
best of luck with your plays.
no problem bro, This is just testing out my theory. At this point, it does not bode well but I am sticking with it and see how it goes. I am still making side bet beside this play. I actually hit a LARGE play on the Bulls 2H on Sunday (outside of this play).
you stand 1-1 with Bulls money-line bet and live for series bet. If Miami should win the next three, the game 5 in Chicago, Bulls would be considerable underdogs and if they win and Heat close out the series in game six, you would be laughing all the way to the bank.
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you stand 1-1 with Bulls money-line bet and live for series bet. If Miami should win the next three, the game 5 in Chicago, Bulls would be considerable underdogs and if they win and Heat close out the series in game six, you would be laughing all the way to the bank.
you stand 1-1 with Bulls money-line bet and live for series bet. If Miami should win the next three, the game 5 in Chicago, Bulls would be considerable underdogs and if they win and Heat close out the series in game six, you would be laughing all the way to the bank.
I did not go for the BULLS ML bet today so I am 1-0 BULLS ML. In fact, I bet on MIAMI as you can see on the other thread. While I am going with this plan, I am also modify the plan along the way depend on the situation.
The first and greatest victory is to conquer self
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Quote Originally Posted by ShadowWarrior:
you stand 1-1 with Bulls money-line bet and live for series bet. If Miami should win the next three, the game 5 in Chicago, Bulls would be considerable underdogs and if they win and Heat close out the series in game six, you would be laughing all the way to the bank.
I did not go for the BULLS ML bet today so I am 1-0 BULLS ML. In fact, I bet on MIAMI as you can see on the other thread. While I am going with this plan, I am also modify the plan along the way depend on the situation.
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