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I think the Spurs winning streak comes to an end tonight

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All-Star
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Posted: #1
Mavs +4.5
Mavs ML





 
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Posted: #2
 
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Posted: #3

you have been spot on lately

and the line move agrees with you too

GL

 
Legend
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Posted: #4

me too

 

and the Jazz

 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
Mandingo is behind you....   
 
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Posted: #6
On it as well
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
they roll tonight
 
Legend
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Posted: #8
I like it.
 
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Posted: #9
I agree but take the points. If the oddsmakers are going to give you 4.5 points, take them. It is very hard to win betting sports, and even the best handicappers can only do 60% for a season. Take every edge you can get.

Like the game? Bet more on Dallas, but take the points.

 
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Posted: #10
 
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Posted: #11
how does the line movement agree with him?? public is 56% on Dallas and they are gaining more points as the night goes on??? 

Let me tell you a fact that might make you think one way or another..

 .every road game dallas has had against good teams this year they have been catching points and they have won the game on the floor and covered the spread. Basically meaning that the odds makers have established a reputation that dallas will cover as long as their not the favorite.. 

now theres a legit reason to bet dallas.... not phantom line reads which arent even correct. 
 
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Posted: #12

lmakeplays

your statement is either not thought through properly or maybe you just dont know what you are talking about

if you had a brain that was operating correctly you would realize that there are other "outs" then what you see on covers.com, and some of those outs are offering dallas +6

and the widely used sportsbooks have spurs  -4.5, and covers shows that the consensus is on the spurs, not the mavs by 56%

so if you knew anything about the math involved in sports betting and positive expected value opportunities that exist in the inefficient markets that exist in the realm of sports betting, you would know what i am talking about

 
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Posted: #13

McAlpine

how are you able to quantify that taking the points with Dallas is a better play compared to taking the moneyline?

I am not saying that you are unable to quantify this, but I am simply asking how do you know that the moneyline on Dallas is a lower positive expected value play than the Dallas +4.5 option is?

 
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Posted: #14
Dallas is nothing but a bunch of old stiffs. I have SA +5 in a teaser and I expect them to be winning by 15 at half.
 
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Posted: #15
huh? arent the spurs more of an "older" team then the mavs?
 
MVP
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Im on it... THe ML.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by LongTermProfits:

huh? arent the spurs more of an "older" team then the mavs?
but better older stiffs
 
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Posted: #19
nice call... again
 
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Posted: #20
post more
 
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Posted: #21
  Well done again. 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by ICAPSports:

me too

 

and the Jazz

 

 

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