Indiana ml and Why

I was concerned how playing on a neutral floor would affect my betting, however, as long as the oddsmakers can put a number on the game and I'm able to collect my numbers - it hasn't missed a beat. Based on a variety of stats - assists, turnovers, rebounds, defense, opening line, ranks, schedule strength - i give each team a number.   Compare that to History along with the opening line and let past results tell you what to do.  

     Indiana   44

4.5 Miami    38   

Line opened up at -4.5 for Miami currently around 5.    History indicates with these numbers 44 vs 38 -with an opening line of 4.5 for the bottom team - the away team very often wins it Straight up.   

I'm taking Indiana  +180.

Good luck all

Lgi!! Good luck bro!

Insatiable - Back at ya

Bee - Lol - I got my rationale - we will see if it works out.

lol

Interesting I like it, Great Info, GL!

Systems can be good but based on just capping the match-up, and what i've seen in the first two games, Miami is just the better, deeper, more physical team. I do think this is one of the more competitive match-ups so I wouldn't be shocked by you being right.

MIAMI WILL WIN BUT NOT COVER 

how do the results suddenly differ this time from the prior two games?

Skoonr3 - thanks and back at ya

Stump - I find you gotta peel the onion back and look at the numbers and find patterns within your data - assuming your collecting the right info.   Always include the opening line as oddsmakers have a reason the line is 4.5 vice 4 and every .5 means something.  i have found - just watching the games and betting on observation - doesn't get you there.   I hardly ever watch NBA - we will see what happens - either way good luck to ya.    

Air - I definitely have them covering and based on my numbers - i think they get it su.   

Idle - great question - i boil it down to the opening line - first game miami was -4 - second game miami - 5.    This game it's - 4.5 all coming from donbest.com - i find their opening lines to be very consistent and on target compared to others - thus i've used them for many years.    I had taken Miami on the spread the last two games but this game with an opening line of 4.5 - the data I collect - strongly - suggests go with Indiana su.   

Yeah they shouldn't even bother playing certainly in the NBA every game is the same night in night out

Nuttin - lol

Yes sir- thanks for posting 

im on the pacers ML today aswell

Green - thanks - hope all is well with you.   

Chizzle - lets get this !!!!

The Heat have beaten the Pacers 5 out of 6 games including the playoffs this season plus they have the better Coach in Spo ..But if the Pacers show up for a victory I guess this would be the spot  GL 

Mcmanus - back at ya

Indiana is struggling again like they always do  Miami ML 

Yep I agree, my line ..Pacers -.69 using stats that have high correlation to winning games and predicting games. 

Never

Yeah, truth be told, I think the line points to Indiana ML myself. And the movement, or lack thereof, points to Indiana as well. This is a very even match-up but I think Miami is a lot tougher as a team. Indiana will have to rely more on jumpshots and if their legs don't have spring... if shots are flat... I just think if it turns into an ugly, grind out game then the advantage is with Miami.

Done.  They’ve quit 

.....the Late John Belushi quote "Was it over when the germans bombed Pearl Harbor?!"