I do... Knicks vs. Nets OVER 50.5 1st Quarter (2.2 to win 2)
Was carefully watching some 1st quarter lines all day and hoped for this one to drop down to this number somewhere. Knicks light it up early on in games and can routinely put up 30+. Nets will undoubtedly come out pumped up as well for the New York battle.
Prediction: Knicks 29 Nets 28
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Quote Originally Posted by nbafan88:
You like the 1q over in Barclays?
I do... Knicks vs. Nets OVER 50.5 1st Quarter (2.2 to win 2)
Was carefully watching some 1st quarter lines all day and hoped for this one to drop down to this number somewhere. Knicks light it up early on in games and can routinely put up 30+. Nets will undoubtedly come out pumped up as well for the New York battle.
Also trying out my first parlay of the year. For those of you that haven't been here for a while, I do not play 4 or 5 team parlays and hope for the best...what I do is a 2 team or 3 team max play, generally ML's in the -175 to -300 range so I essentially get an even payout. I also look for games that have a touch of strange-ness to it...for instance a team that should be favored by 6-9 points, but is favored by 3.5 or something. What I have found is that more often than not those lines are exactly where they should be, but the key is that money can still be won. With that being said....
San Antonio Spurs ML (-230) Chicago Bulls ML (-190) (1 to win 1.1)
The Spurs are obviously a better team than the Wizards. There is nobody that can really argue that one. The Spurs have played 8 of their 14 games on the road, so that doesn't affect them. The Spurs have won SU and ATS in the past 10 meetings between the two. The Spurs have a +14.5 advantage in the Covers power rankings...and when you figure in the home "advantage" this line should be somewhere around the -9 or -10 area. Yes the Spurs are on a B2B game, but is that really worth a 5 point dropoff?
As far as the Bulls go...I see them beating the Bucks at home, but that spread is pretty much right where it should be. This is the best game on the board to match up with the Spurs as far as value and strength. Much like the Spurs and the Wizards...the Bulls have absolutely OWNED the Bucks in the past few years. First game back home in a while for the Bulls...the Bucks have lost a couple straight games and still don't have a quality win this year. Prediction: Spurs 98 Wizards 92 Bulls 90 Bucks 86
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Also trying out my first parlay of the year. For those of you that haven't been here for a while, I do not play 4 or 5 team parlays and hope for the best...what I do is a 2 team or 3 team max play, generally ML's in the -175 to -300 range so I essentially get an even payout. I also look for games that have a touch of strange-ness to it...for instance a team that should be favored by 6-9 points, but is favored by 3.5 or something. What I have found is that more often than not those lines are exactly where they should be, but the key is that money can still be won. With that being said....
San Antonio Spurs ML (-230) Chicago Bulls ML (-190) (1 to win 1.1)
The Spurs are obviously a better team than the Wizards. There is nobody that can really argue that one. The Spurs have played 8 of their 14 games on the road, so that doesn't affect them. The Spurs have won SU and ATS in the past 10 meetings between the two. The Spurs have a +14.5 advantage in the Covers power rankings...and when you figure in the home "advantage" this line should be somewhere around the -9 or -10 area. Yes the Spurs are on a B2B game, but is that really worth a 5 point dropoff?
As far as the Bulls go...I see them beating the Bucks at home, but that spread is pretty much right where it should be. This is the best game on the board to match up with the Spurs as far as value and strength. Much like the Spurs and the Wizards...the Bulls have absolutely OWNED the Bucks in the past few years. First game back home in a while for the Bulls...the Bucks have lost a couple straight games and still don't have a quality win this year. Prediction: Spurs 98 Wizards 92 Bulls 90 Bucks 86
Johnson is Fade Material. I see him as a typical 53%-56% winner. There will be another bad week coming, possibly historically bad as right now he's off his game. Spurs tonight? Sixers at all? He's not locked in at all. Nonetheless GL Johnson Followers!
and what in the world is wrong with a 53-56% capper???
Its funny, you kids scream such ignorance while beating your chests at the same time, its truly depressing how ignorant people are nowadays
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Quote Originally Posted by Slim-Daddy:
Johnson is Fade Material. I see him as a typical 53%-56% winner. There will be another bad week coming, possibly historically bad as right now he's off his game. Spurs tonight? Sixers at all? He's not locked in at all. Nonetheless GL Johnson Followers!
and what in the world is wrong with a 53-56% capper???
Its funny, you kids scream such ignorance while beating your chests at the same time, its truly depressing how ignorant people are nowadays
Holding off on the full game bet because I'm not sure I trust the Clippers to maintain a double digit lead the entire game. Double Digit Favorites have done very well so far this season, which I like, but Clippers coming off a long road trip, so I think they would want to come out fast and then rest some starters with a 14-18 point lead in the 4th quarter. Prediction: Clippers 29 Hornets 22
Clippers are - 4.5 - 125 to - 130 ...
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
LA Clippers -3 1st Quarter (1.1 to win 1)
Holding off on the full game bet because I'm not sure I trust the Clippers to maintain a double digit lead the entire game. Double Digit Favorites have done very well so far this season, which I like, but Clippers coming off a long road trip, so I think they would want to come out fast and then rest some starters with a 14-18 point lead in the 4th quarter. Prediction: Clippers 29 Hornets 22
Another first quarter bet behind a hot team right now. The Cavs generally play Memphis very tough...covering their last four meetings. They are also quite used to playing on the road, as a wide majority of their games have been away. Memphis coming off a big win against the Lakers and might be a little lazy coming out of the gates. Cleveland is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games in the first quarter.
Prediction: Cleveland 25 Memphis 24
Cavs are + 4.5 1st qtr..
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
Cleveland Cavaliers +3 1st Quarter (1.1 to win 1)
Another first quarter bet behind a hot team right now. The Cavs generally play Memphis very tough...covering their last four meetings. They are also quite used to playing on the road, as a wide majority of their games have been away. Memphis coming off a big win against the Lakers and might be a little lazy coming out of the gates. Cleveland is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games in the first quarter.
GL, CMJ. I've been reading your thread all season & you've been great. I hope that you genuinely see real value in these 1q bets and parlays, I've never known it to be your style. IMO, you've been $$$ picking full game sides & totals,and you dance w/ the one that brought you. It'd be tragic if one bad (for you) week has you re-thinking the strategies that have been so successful. Either way- I'm w/ you and your thread continues to be a must-read before I make any NBA wagers. BOL!
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GL, CMJ. I've been reading your thread all season & you've been great. I hope that you genuinely see real value in these 1q bets and parlays, I've never known it to be your style. IMO, you've been $$$ picking full game sides & totals,and you dance w/ the one that brought you. It'd be tragic if one bad (for you) week has you re-thinking the strategies that have been so successful. Either way- I'm w/ you and your thread continues to be a must-read before I make any NBA wagers. BOL!
tinoker he posted that play at like 10 or 11 this morning . . . . . why the hell are u surprised that lines move by 6 to 7 hours lateR?
and believe it or not I watch 1st qtr lines more then anyone you know..I saw it this morning and the Cavs line was at + 4 and the Clipps Line was at - 4
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Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:
tinoker he posted that play at like 10 or 11 this morning . . . . . why the hell are u surprised that lines move by 6 to 7 hours lateR?
and believe it or not I watch 1st qtr lines more then anyone you know..I saw it this morning and the Cavs line was at + 4 and the Clipps Line was at - 4
Earlier today the Cavs were at 3 to 3.5...wish I could have got it at 4
This morning it was also 3.5 for the Clippers...got 3 with my local guy
Got to be concerned that your local gave you - 3 with Lob City... Im not taking a chance with them tonight, but they have been a cash cow for me for 2 years now...GL>..
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
Earlier today the Cavs were at 3 to 3.5...wish I could have got it at 4
This morning it was also 3.5 for the Clippers...got 3 with my local guy
Got to be concerned that your local gave you - 3 with Lob City... Im not taking a chance with them tonight, but they have been a cash cow for me for 2 years now...GL>..
Definitely NOT my 1st rodeo blue.. and 1st qtr lines NEVER move 1.5 pts...
well aware . . watched u blow up in flames last year betting like a moron 25, 50 etc units per bet 10+ bets a night. guess that didnt work out for you long now stumbling into this thread for some winners?
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Quote Originally Posted by tinoker55:
Definitely NOT my 1st rodeo blue.. and 1st qtr lines NEVER move 1.5 pts...
well aware . . watched u blow up in flames last year betting like a moron 25, 50 etc units per bet 10+ bets a night. guess that didnt work out for you long now stumbling into this thread for some winners?
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Clippers are - 4.5 - 125 to - 130 ...
and 1st qtr lines NEVER move 1.5 pts...
Im not taking a chance with them tonight, but they have been a cash cow for me for 2 years now...GL>..
Loving that Over 200 in OKC tonight too..GL..
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