Record vs. Spread/ML: 94-96 (-125$) Record vs. O/U: 91-85 (+370$) Record vs. Parlay: 1-2 (-190$) =======================================================================
Juiced out on Sunday...lost by a nose on the Celtics even though they were within 5 or 6 the entire way. Still above the Mendoza Line for the year, and I'm buckling down and putting in the work to get a cushion on that.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
OVERALL RECORD: 187-184 (+55$)
Record vs. Spread/ML: 94-96 (-125$) Record vs. O/U: 91-85 (+370$) Record vs. Parlay: 1-2 (-190$) =======================================================================
Juiced out on Sunday...lost by a nose on the Celtics even though they were within 5 or 6 the entire way. Still above the Mendoza Line for the year, and I'm buckling down and putting in the work to get a cushion on that.
Initial lean in this game is towards the Nets or the UNDER because of the performance of both of these teams in the past week or so. Nets are rolling along right now, and doing it on the defensive end against the weaker offensive teams in the league. Sixers qualify as one of those teams, and it's tough to see them being able to get above the 90 point mark. Sixers have given up on the season apparently...1-12 in their last 13 games, scoring barely 90 points per game in those losses...shooting less than 40% in five of those, and allowing over 50% shooting in six of those games. Nets have dominated in Philly going 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Only thing that is holding me back from the spread is the early reverse line movement despite heavy public money in the first couple hours on the Nets.
Nets vs. Sixers -
Initial lean in this game is towards the Nets or the UNDER because of the performance of both of these teams in the past week or so. Nets are rolling along right now, and doing it on the defensive end against the weaker offensive teams in the league. Sixers qualify as one of those teams, and it's tough to see them being able to get above the 90 point mark. Sixers have given up on the season apparently...1-12 in their last 13 games, scoring barely 90 points per game in those losses...shooting less than 40% in five of those, and allowing over 50% shooting in six of those games. Nets have dominated in Philly going 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Only thing that is holding me back from the spread is the early reverse line movement despite heavy public money in the first couple hours on the Nets.
No initial lean here. Surprised how many people are going big on the Thunder in this one. Spurs much better at home, and I would assume there will be a little bit of anger after the embarrassment against the Blazers the other night. Thunder played a tough physical game yesterday against the Celtics and I can't see how that won't affect them tonight. Spurs have been at home and well rested for a while after finishing up the rodeo road trip...2 weeks and counting now. A couple of things that might end up being the deciding factor in this game are...
1. Refs...very home friendly. With a short spread like this...and a possibility of it going down farther, having refs where the home team is 96-43 SU is nice.
2. Spurs are VERY GOOD after getting upset. 8-2 ATS this season. First time they followed up a loss against the Knicks with a 26 point victory over the Nuggets. They followed up a 5 point loss to the Clips with an 8 point win @ Boston. They followed up an OT loss against the Suns with a 28 point win against the Kings. So far they have been able to score 126, 112, and 130 points in games following a home loss.
3. Thunder haven't exactly lit the world on fire on B2B games this season. I pointed this out the other night against Charlotte, but forgot the basic fact that the Bobcats are a Division II college team. The teams they have BEAT ATS on 2 B2B this season are Phoenix, Charlotte, New Orleans, Philadelphia, and Portland. Not exactly the cream of the crop.
Thunder vs. Spurs -
No initial lean here. Surprised how many people are going big on the Thunder in this one. Spurs much better at home, and I would assume there will be a little bit of anger after the embarrassment against the Blazers the other night. Thunder played a tough physical game yesterday against the Celtics and I can't see how that won't affect them tonight. Spurs have been at home and well rested for a while after finishing up the rodeo road trip...2 weeks and counting now. A couple of things that might end up being the deciding factor in this game are...
1. Refs...very home friendly. With a short spread like this...and a possibility of it going down farther, having refs where the home team is 96-43 SU is nice.
2. Spurs are VERY GOOD after getting upset. 8-2 ATS this season. First time they followed up a loss against the Knicks with a 26 point victory over the Nuggets. They followed up a 5 point loss to the Clips with an 8 point win @ Boston. They followed up an OT loss against the Suns with a 28 point win against the Kings. So far they have been able to score 126, 112, and 130 points in games following a home loss.
3. Thunder haven't exactly lit the world on fire on B2B games this season. I pointed this out the other night against Charlotte, but forgot the basic fact that the Bobcats are a Division II college team. The teams they have BEAT ATS on 2 B2B this season are Phoenix, Charlotte, New Orleans, Philadelphia, and Portland. Not exactly the cream of the crop.
Initial lean here is on the Jazz. Pistons are just flat out terrible on the road against the Western Conference. In fact, they haven't WON a game on the road vs. the Western Conference all season (0-11). They aren't much better ATS (3-8) with their only wins ATS coming against Phoenix, Sacramento, and OKC by a 1/2 point. Devil's advocate point of view in this game is that the Jazz are just returning home after a long road trip, and have a big game against the Thunder coming up on Wednesday. What I think overrules that theory, and the reason why I'm leaning towards the Jazz in this one is the fact that now being supplanted by the Lakers for the 8th seed in the playoffs should motivate them to put maximum effort into games that they NEED to win.
Pistons vs. Jazz -
Initial lean here is on the Jazz. Pistons are just flat out terrible on the road against the Western Conference. In fact, they haven't WON a game on the road vs. the Western Conference all season (0-11). They aren't much better ATS (3-8) with their only wins ATS coming against Phoenix, Sacramento, and OKC by a 1/2 point. Devil's advocate point of view in this game is that the Jazz are just returning home after a long road trip, and have a big game against the Thunder coming up on Wednesday. What I think overrules that theory, and the reason why I'm leaning towards the Jazz in this one is the fact that now being supplanted by the Lakers for the 8th seed in the playoffs should motivate them to put maximum effort into games that they NEED to win.
Nuggets are seeking their first four game road winning streak of the season, while they have also managed to win SU and ATS in each of their last 8 games. Suns are possibly the most inconsistent team in the NBA right now, and can give you a 107 point performance against the Rockets or a 71 point performance against the Raptors...within a couple of days. I would lean away from this game for those reasons...even though the Nuggets seem like the only logical play here.
Nuggets vs. Suns -
Nuggets are seeking their first four game road winning streak of the season, while they have also managed to win SU and ATS in each of their last 8 games. Suns are possibly the most inconsistent team in the NBA right now, and can give you a 107 point performance against the Rockets or a 71 point performance against the Raptors...within a couple of days. I would lean away from this game for those reasons...even though the Nuggets seem like the only logical play here.
The Jazz aren't playing well enough to lay this many points even to a weak foe such as the Pistons. Utah is 1-7 in its last eight games. The Jazz just finished an 0-4 road trip that ended at New York this past Saturday. This is their first home game in 10 days so their minds might be distracted.
This marks Utah's third game in four days and fourth in six days. The Jazz have been a strong home team, but are just 3-3 during their past six at EnergySolutions Arena. Utah also will be missing underrated Paul Millsap, who missed the Knicks' game this past Saturday with a sore knee.
The Pistons shouldn't lack for motivation. They were embarrassed, 129-97, by the Clippers last night in Los Angeles. Both Greg Monroe and Jose Calderon expressed frustration with the loss with Monroe saying his team played with no effort. That's a strong criticism that should light a fire. The Pistons also have revenge for blowing a 15-point lead in a 90-87 home loss to Utah.
Detroit is 3-3 in its last six road matchups defeating Milwaukee, Charlotte and much-improved Washington. The Pistons, when motivated and catching a less-than-elite foe in a slump and in an unfavorable situational spot, can hold its own. Note, too, that the Jazz are just 1-6 ATS the past seven times when facing an opponent with a winning percentage below .400.
Detroit +9.5
The Jazz aren't playing well enough to lay this many points even to a weak foe such as the Pistons. Utah is 1-7 in its last eight games. The Jazz just finished an 0-4 road trip that ended at New York this past Saturday. This is their first home game in 10 days so their minds might be distracted.
This marks Utah's third game in four days and fourth in six days. The Jazz have been a strong home team, but are just 3-3 during their past six at EnergySolutions Arena. Utah also will be missing underrated Paul Millsap, who missed the Knicks' game this past Saturday with a sore knee.
The Pistons shouldn't lack for motivation. They were embarrassed, 129-97, by the Clippers last night in Los Angeles. Both Greg Monroe and Jose Calderon expressed frustration with the loss with Monroe saying his team played with no effort. That's a strong criticism that should light a fire. The Pistons also have revenge for blowing a 15-point lead in a 90-87 home loss to Utah.
Detroit is 3-3 in its last six road matchups defeating Milwaukee, Charlotte and much-improved Washington. The Pistons, when motivated and catching a less-than-elite foe in a slump and in an unfavorable situational spot, can hold its own. Note, too, that the Jazz are just 1-6 ATS the past seven times when facing an opponent with a winning percentage below .400.
Warriors are struggling right now despite having a long homestand...and looking at the referees in this game it's hard to see them getting off this slide. Knicks have stepped up big time into the "star player out" phenomenon. Only loss was a heartbreaker against the Thunder. Might have to lean towards the UNDER here because of the lack of offensive options on the Knicks right now and the fact that they haven't scored 100+ on the road against a team with a winning record since December 11th against Brooklyn. Warriors have also seriously struggled on the offensive end in the past couple games.
Knicks vs. Warriors -
Warriors are struggling right now despite having a long homestand...and looking at the referees in this game it's hard to see them getting off this slide. Knicks have stepped up big time into the "star player out" phenomenon. Only loss was a heartbreaker against the Thunder. Might have to lean towards the UNDER here because of the lack of offensive options on the Knicks right now and the fact that they haven't scored 100+ on the road against a team with a winning record since December 11th against Brooklyn. Warriors have also seriously struggled on the offensive end in the past couple games.
No initial lean here. Surprised how many people are going big on the Thunder in this one. Spurs much better at home, and I would assume there will be a little bit of anger after the embarrassment against the Blazers the other night. Thunder played a tough physical game yesterday against the Celtics and I can't see how that won't affect them tonight. Spurs have been at home and well rested for a while after finishing up the rodeo road trip...2 weeks and counting now. A couple of things that might end up being the deciding factor in this game are...
1. Refs...very home friendly. With a short spread like this...and a possibility of it going down farther, having refs where the home team is 96-43 SU is nice.
2. Spurs are VERY GOOD after getting upset. 8-2 ATS this season. First time they followed up a loss against the Knicks with a 26 point victory over the Nuggets. They followed up a 5 point loss to the Clips with an 8 point win @ Boston. They followed up an OT loss against the Suns with a 28 point win against the Kings. So far they have been able to score 126, 112, and 130 points in games following a home loss.
3. Thunder haven't exactly lit the world on fire on B2B games this season. I pointed this out the other night against Charlotte, but forgot the basic fact that the Bobcats are a Division II college team. The teams they have BEAT ATS on 2 B2B this season are Phoenix, Charlotte, New Orleans, Philadelphia, and Portland. Not exactly the cream of the crop.
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
Thunder vs. Spurs -
No initial lean here. Surprised how many people are going big on the Thunder in this one. Spurs much better at home, and I would assume there will be a little bit of anger after the embarrassment against the Blazers the other night. Thunder played a tough physical game yesterday against the Celtics and I can't see how that won't affect them tonight. Spurs have been at home and well rested for a while after finishing up the rodeo road trip...2 weeks and counting now. A couple of things that might end up being the deciding factor in this game are...
1. Refs...very home friendly. With a short spread like this...and a possibility of it going down farther, having refs where the home team is 96-43 SU is nice.
2. Spurs are VERY GOOD after getting upset. 8-2 ATS this season. First time they followed up a loss against the Knicks with a 26 point victory over the Nuggets. They followed up a 5 point loss to the Clips with an 8 point win @ Boston. They followed up an OT loss against the Suns with a 28 point win against the Kings. So far they have been able to score 126, 112, and 130 points in games following a home loss.
3. Thunder haven't exactly lit the world on fire on B2B games this season. I pointed this out the other night against Charlotte, but forgot the basic fact that the Bobcats are a Division II college team. The teams they have BEAT ATS on 2 B2B this season are Phoenix, Charlotte, New Orleans, Philadelphia, and Portland. Not exactly the cream of the crop.
Warriors are struggling right now despite having a long homestand...and looking at the referees in this game it's hard to see them getting off this slide. Knicks have stepped up big time into the "star player out" phenomenon. Only loss was a heartbreaker against the Thunder. Might have to lean towards the UNDER here because of the lack of offensive options on the Knicks right now and the fact that they haven't scored 100+ on the road against a team with a winning record since December 11th against Brooklyn. Warriors have also seriously struggled on the offensive end in the past couple games.
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
Knicks vs. Warriors -
Warriors are struggling right now despite having a long homestand...and looking at the referees in this game it's hard to see them getting off this slide. Knicks have stepped up big time into the "star player out" phenomenon. Only loss was a heartbreaker against the Thunder. Might have to lean towards the UNDER here because of the lack of offensive options on the Knicks right now and the fact that they haven't scored 100+ on the road against a team with a winning record since December 11th against Brooklyn. Warriors have also seriously struggled on the offensive end in the past couple games.
The Jazz aren't playing well enough to lay this many points even to a weak foe such as the Pistons. Utah is 1-7 in its last eight games. The Jazz just finished an 0-4 road trip that ended at New York this past Saturday. This is their first home game in 10 days so their minds might be distracted.
This marks Utah's third game in four days and fourth in six days. The Jazz have been a strong home team, but are just 3-3 during their past six at EnergySolutions Arena. Utah also will be missing underrated Paul Millsap, who missed the Knicks' game this past Saturday with a sore knee.
The Pistons shouldn't lack for motivation. They were embarrassed, 129-97, by the Clippers last night in Los Angeles. Both Greg Monroe and Jose Calderon expressed frustration with the loss with Monroe saying his team played with no effort. That's a strong criticism that should light a fire. The Pistons also have revenge for blowing a 15-point lead in a 90-87 home loss to Utah.
Detroit is 3-3 in its last six road matchups defeating Milwaukee, Charlotte and much-improved Washington. The Pistons, when motivated and catching a less-than-elite foe in a slump and in an unfavorable situational spot, can hold its own. Note, too, that the Jazz are just 1-6 ATS the past seven times when facing an opponent with a winning percentage below .400.
the embarrassing loss should be motivation enough for detroit. but they've been in a slump and are on the verge of quitting. brandon knight looked gimpy last night. excellent perspective, nonetheless. hope it's wrong. best of luck
Quote Originally Posted by JimmyTheLegend:
Detroit +9.5
The Jazz aren't playing well enough to lay this many points even to a weak foe such as the Pistons. Utah is 1-7 in its last eight games. The Jazz just finished an 0-4 road trip that ended at New York this past Saturday. This is their first home game in 10 days so their minds might be distracted.
This marks Utah's third game in four days and fourth in six days. The Jazz have been a strong home team, but are just 3-3 during their past six at EnergySolutions Arena. Utah also will be missing underrated Paul Millsap, who missed the Knicks' game this past Saturday with a sore knee.
The Pistons shouldn't lack for motivation. They were embarrassed, 129-97, by the Clippers last night in Los Angeles. Both Greg Monroe and Jose Calderon expressed frustration with the loss with Monroe saying his team played with no effort. That's a strong criticism that should light a fire. The Pistons also have revenge for blowing a 15-point lead in a 90-87 home loss to Utah.
Detroit is 3-3 in its last six road matchups defeating Milwaukee, Charlotte and much-improved Washington. The Pistons, when motivated and catching a less-than-elite foe in a slump and in an unfavorable situational spot, can hold its own. Note, too, that the Jazz are just 1-6 ATS the past seven times when facing an opponent with a winning percentage below .400.
the embarrassing loss should be motivation enough for detroit. but they've been in a slump and are on the verge of quitting. brandon knight looked gimpy last night. excellent perspective, nonetheless. hope it's wrong. best of luck
Warriors are struggling right now despite having a long homestand...and looking at the referees in this game it's hard to see them getting off this slide. Knicks have stepped up big time into the "star player out" phenomenon. Only loss was a heartbreaker against the Thunder. Might have to lean towards the UNDER here because of the lack of offensive options on the Knicks right now and the fact that they haven't scored 100+ on the road against a team with a winning record since December 11th against Brooklyn. Warriors have also seriously struggled on the offensive end in the past couple games.
Warriors definitely have tired legs right now. Under looks like a solid play here
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
Knicks vs. Warriors -
Warriors are struggling right now despite having a long homestand...and looking at the referees in this game it's hard to see them getting off this slide. Knicks have stepped up big time into the "star player out" phenomenon. Only loss was a heartbreaker against the Thunder. Might have to lean towards the UNDER here because of the lack of offensive options on the Knicks right now and the fact that they haven't scored 100+ on the road against a team with a winning record since December 11th against Brooklyn. Warriors have also seriously struggled on the offensive end in the past couple games.
Warriors definitely have tired legs right now. Under looks like a solid play here
kaka123, how bout some constructive input as to what your reasoning is for making a pick on the Detroit/Utah game. Oh, I see, you don't have any, nothing new. Thanks for your concern about how much we wager on a game, if saving us from hari cari is your real mission in life, we appreciate that.
kaka123, how bout some constructive input as to what your reasoning is for making a pick on the Detroit/Utah game. Oh, I see, you don't have any, nothing new. Thanks for your concern about how much we wager on a game, if saving us from hari cari is your real mission in life, we appreciate that.
Initial lean here is on the Jazz. Pistons are just flat out terrible on the road against the Western Conference. In fact, they haven't WON a game on the road vs. the Western Conference all season (0-11). They aren't much better ATS (3-8) with their only wins ATS coming against Phoenix, Sacramento, and OKC by a 1/2 point. Devil's advocate point of view in this game is that the Jazz are just returning home after a long road trip, and have a big game against the Thunder coming up on Wednesday. What I think overrules that theory, and the reason why I'm leaning towards the Jazz in this one is the fact that now being supplanted by the Lakers for the 8th seed in the playoffs should motivate them to put maximum effort into games that they NEED to win.
What Utah - the smallest of the small markets in the NBA - wants is hardly relevant. They are 0-3 in the same time span the Lakers are 3-0. Utah is done this year, unless GSW or Houston decide to donate their playoff spot to them.
Also, Detroit may be more motivated to play than you think.
It wasn't in the scouting reports that the clippers threw lobs lol
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
Pistons vs. Jazz -
Initial lean here is on the Jazz. Pistons are just flat out terrible on the road against the Western Conference. In fact, they haven't WON a game on the road vs. the Western Conference all season (0-11). They aren't much better ATS (3-8) with their only wins ATS coming against Phoenix, Sacramento, and OKC by a 1/2 point. Devil's advocate point of view in this game is that the Jazz are just returning home after a long road trip, and have a big game against the Thunder coming up on Wednesday. What I think overrules that theory, and the reason why I'm leaning towards the Jazz in this one is the fact that now being supplanted by the Lakers for the 8th seed in the playoffs should motivate them to put maximum effort into games that they NEED to win.
What Utah - the smallest of the small markets in the NBA - wants is hardly relevant. They are 0-3 in the same time span the Lakers are 3-0. Utah is done this year, unless GSW or Houston decide to donate their playoff spot to them.
Also, Detroit may be more motivated to play than you think.
Hot Forum Topics
